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The applicability of computational fluid dynamics (CFD) based design tools depend on the accuracy and complexity of the physical models, for example turbulence models, which remains an unsolved problem in physics, and rotor models that…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2023-05-09 Shanti Bhushan , Greg W Burgreen , Joshua L Bowman , Ian D Dettwiller , Wesley Brewer

This work proposes a data-driven surrogate modeling framework for cost-effectively inferring the torque of a permanent magnet synchronous machine under geometric design variations. The framework is separated into a reduced-order modeling…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-03-13 Aylar Partovizadeh , Sebastian Schöps , Dimitrios Loukrezis

Deep neural network controllers for autonomous driving have recently benefited from significant performance improvements, and have begun deployment in the real world. Prior to their widespread adoption, safety guarantees are needed on the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-09-24 Rhiannon Michelmore , Matthew Wicker , Luca Laurenti , Luca Cardelli , Yarin Gal , Marta Kwiatkowska

The article focuses on determining the predictive uncertainty of a model on the example of atrial fibrillation detection problem by a single-lead ECG signal. To this end, the model predicts parameters of the beta distribution over class…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2018-08-08 Alexander Kuvaev , Roman Khudorozhkov

Inverse optimization (IO) is used to estimate unknown parameters of an optimization model from observed decisions. In the data-driven context, the estimated parameters are inherently uncertain, yet quantifying this uncertainty has received…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-05-26 Timothy C. Y. Chan , Nathan Sandholtz , Nasrin Yousefi

The Best Estimate plus Uncertainty (BEPU) approach for nuclear systems modeling and simulation requires that the prediction uncertainty must be quantified in order to prove that the investigated design stays within acceptance criteria. A…

Computation · Statistics 2023-03-24 Ziyu Xie , Farah Alsafadi , Xu Wu

Turning pass-through network architectures into iterative ones, which use their own output as input, is a well-known approach for boosting performance. In this paper, we argue that such architectures offer an additional benefit: The…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-05-27 Nikita Durasov , Doruk Oner , Jonathan Donier , Hieu Le , Pascal Fua

We develop a generative model-based approach to Bayesian inverse problems, such as image reconstruction from noisy and incomplete images. Our framework addresses two common challenges of Bayesian reconstructions: 1) It makes use of complex,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-10-24 Vanessa Böhm , François Lanusse , Uroš Seljak

The requirement for identifying accurate system representations has not only been a challenge to fulfill, but it has compromised the scalability of formal methods, as the resulting models are often too complex for effective decision making…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-10-20 Oliver Schön , Sofie Haesaert , Sadegh Soudjani

In recent decades, the main focus of computer modeling has been on supporting the design and development of engineering prototyes, but it is now ubiquitous in non-traditional areas such as medical rehabilitation. Conventional modeling…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-13 Jonas Kneifl , David Rosin , Oliver Röhrle , Jörg Fehr

State of the art research and treatment of biological tissues require accurate and efficient methods for describing their mechanical properties. Indeed, micromechanics motivated approaches provide a systematic method for elevating relevant…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2012-05-04 Gal deBotton , Tal Oren

Machine learning surrogates are increasingly employed to replace expensive computational models for physics-based reliability analysis. However, their use introduces epistemic uncertainty from model approximation errors, which couples with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-24 Amirreza Tootchi , Xiaoping Du

Our understanding of physical systems generally depends on our ability to match complex computational modelling with measured experimental outcomes. However, simulations with large parameter spaces suffer from inverse problem instabilities,…

Plasma Physics · Physics 2020-01-22 M. F. Kasim , T. P. Galligan , J. Topp-Mugglestone , G. Gregori , S. M. Vinko

We develop a new approach for quantifying uncertainty in finite populations, by using design distributions to calibrate sensitivity parameters in finite population identified sets. This yields uncertainty intervals that can be interpreted…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-05-12 Brendan Kline , Matthew A. Masten

Effective quantification of uncertainty is an essential and still missing step towards a greater adoption of deep-learning approaches in different applications, including mission-critical ones. In particular, investigations on the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-14 Marco Forgione , Dario Piga

Predicting the motion of dynamic agents is a critical task for guaranteeing the safety of autonomous systems. A particular challenge is that motion prediction algorithms should obey dynamics constraints and quantify prediction uncertainty…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-09-28 Renukanandan Tumu , Lars Lindemann , Truong Nghiem , Rahul Mangharam

The use of deep learning for medical imaging has seen tremendous growth in the research community. One reason for the slow uptake of these systems in the clinical setting is that they are complex, opaque and tend to fail silently. Outside…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2018-07-03 Terrance DeVries , Graham W. Taylor

Explicit quantification of uncertainty in engineering simulations is being increasingly used to inform robust and reliable design practices. In the aerospace industry, computationally-feasible analyses for design optimization purposes often…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2019-11-13 Jayant Mukhopadhaya , Brian T. Whitehead , John F. Quindlen , Juan J. Alonso

Uncertainty Quantification (UQ) is receiving more and more attention for engineering applications in particular from robust optimization. Indeed, running a computer experiment only provides a limited knowledge in terms of uncertainty and…

The computational efficiency of approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) has been improved by using surrogate models such as Gaussian processes (GP). In one such promising framework the discrepancy between the simulated and observed data is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-08-07 Marko Järvenpää , Aki Vehtari , Pekka Marttinen