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The financial domain presents a complex environment for stock market prediction, characterized by volatile patterns and the influence of multifaceted data sources. Traditional models have leveraged either Convolutional Neural Networks (CNN)…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-04-08 Arya Chakraborty , Auhona Basu

There has been much interest in accurate cryptocurrency price forecast models by investors and researchers. Deep Learning models are prominent machine learning techniques that have transformed various fields and have shown potential for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-04 Jingyang Wu , Xinyi Zhang , Fangyixuan Huang , Haochen Zhou , Rohtiash Chandra

The stock price prediction task holds a significant role in the financial domain and has been studied for a long time. Recently, large language models (LLMs) have brought new ways to improve these predictions. While recent financial large…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-09-16 Shengkun Wang , Taoran Ji , Linhan Wang , Yanshen Sun , Shang-Ching Liu , Amit Kumar , Chang-Tien Lu

The fusion of public sentiment data in the form of text with stock price prediction is a topic of increasing interest within the financial community. However, the research literature seldom explores the application of investor sentiment in…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-03-14 Mufhumudzi Muthivhi , Terence L. van Zyl

Stock trading has always been a key economic indicator in modern society and a primary source of profit for financial giants such as investment banks, quantitative trading firms, and hedge funds. Discovering the underlying patterns within…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-11-14 Fang Liu , Shaobo Guo , Qianwen Xing , Xinye Sha , Ying Chen , Yuhui Jin , Qi Zheng , Chang Yu

The US stock market experienced instability following the recession (2007-2009). COVID-19 poses a significant challenge to US stock traders and investors. Traders and investors should keep up with the stock market. This is to mitigate risks…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-06-07 Reza Nematirad , Amin Ahmadisharaf , Ali Lashgari

Time series analysis is the process of building a model using statistical techniques to represent characteristics of time series data. Processing and forecasting huge time series data is a challenging task. This paper presents Approximation…

Trading and investing in stocks for some is their full-time career, while for others, it's simply a supplementary income stream. Universal among all investors is the desire to turn a profit. The key to achieving this goal is…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-09-10 Rifa Gowani , Zaryab Kanjiani

This paper presents a novel hybrid model that integrates long-short-term memory (LSTM) networks and Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) to significantly enhance the accuracy of stock market predictions. The LSTM component adeptly captures temporal…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-02-25 Meet Satishbhai Sonani , Atta Badii , Armin Moin

This paper presents a deep learning framework based on Long Short-term Memory Network(LSTM) that predicts price movement of cryptocurrencies from trade-by-trade data. The main focus of this study is on predicting short-term price changes in…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-10-16 Qi Zhao

We present a novel approach for predicting the distribution of asset returns using a quantile-based method with Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) networks. Our model is designed in two stages: the first focuses on predicting the quantiles of…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-01-29 Ísak Pétursson , María Óskarsdóttir

We construct the maximally predictable portfolio (MPP) of stocks using machine learning. Solving for the optimal constrained weights in the multi-asset MPP gives portfolios with a high monthly coefficient of determination, given the sample…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-11-06 Michael Pinelis , David Ruppert

We adopt deep learning models to directly optimise the portfolio Sharpe ratio. The framework we present circumvents the requirements for forecasting expected returns and allows us to directly optimise portfolio weights by updating model…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-01-26 Zihao Zhang , Stefan Zohren , Stephen Roberts

In recent years, financial analysts have been trying to develop models to predict the movement of a stock price index. The task becomes challenging in vague economic, social, and political situations like in Pakistan. In this study, we…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-09-16 Tariq Mahmood , Ibtasam Ahmad , Malik Muhammad Zeeshan Ansar , Jumanah Ahmed Darwish , Rehan Ahmad Khan Sherwani

Deep learning offers new tools for portfolio optimization. We present an end-to-end framework that directly learns portfolio weights by combining Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) networks to model temporal patterns, Graph Attention Networks…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-05-27 Yun Lin , Jiawei Lou , Jinghe Zhang

We propose a two-level, learning-based portfolio method (RL-BHRP) that spreads risk across sectors and stocks, and adjusts exposures as market conditions change. Using U.S. Equities from 2012 to mid-2025, we design the model using 2012 to…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-08-19 Shaofeng Kang , Zeying Tian

Financial markets have a vital role in the development of modern society. They allow the deployment of economic resources. Changes in stock prices reflect changes in the market. In this study, we focus on predicting stock prices by deep…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-09-27 Jialin Liu , Fei Chao , Yu-Chen Lin , Chih-Min Lin

The financial market trend forecasting method is emerging as a hot topic in financial markets today. Many challenges still currently remain, and various researches related thereto have been actively conducted. Especially, recent research of…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-04-06 Jonghyeon Min

This paper intends to apply the Hidden Markov Model into stock market and and make predictions. Moreover, four different methods of improvement, which are GMM-HMM, XGB-HMM, GMM-HMM+LSTM and XGB-HMM+LSTM, will be discussed later with the…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2021-04-21 Mingwen Liu , Junbang Huo , Yulin Wu , Jinge Wu

In quantitative investment, constructing characteristic-sorted portfolios is a crucial strategy for asset allocation. Traditional methods transform raw stock data of varying frequencies into predictive characteristic factors for asset…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-05-28 Jianyuan Zhong , Zhijian Xu , Saizhuo Wang , Xiangyu Wen , Jian Guo , Qiang Xu
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