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A variety of natural phenomena comprises a huge number of competing reactions and short-lived intermediates. Any study of such processes requires the discovery and accurate modeling of their underlying reaction network. However, this task…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2014-05-27 Paolo Elvati , Angela Violi

Computational inference of causal relationships underlying complex networks, such as gene-regulatory pathways, is NP-complete due to its combinatorial nature when permuting all possible interactions. Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) has been…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2012-10-19 Yu Wang , Weikang Qian , Shuchang Zhang , Bo Yuan

Generative models see increasing use in computer-aided drug design. However, while performing well at capturing distributions of molecular motifs, they often produce synthetically inaccessible molecules. To address this, we introduce…

Biochemical reactions involving three or more reactants, called higher-molecular reactions, play an important role in theoretical systems and synthetic biology. In particular, such reactions underpin a variety of important bio-dynamical…

Molecular Networks · Quantitative Biology 2021-01-05 Tomislav Plesa

Reaction rates are a complicated function of molecular interactions, which can be selected from vast chemical design spaces. Seeking the design that optimizes a rate is a particularly challenging problem since the rate calculation for any…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-11-18 Alex Albaugh , Todd R. Gingrich

Embedding sequential computations in biochemical environments is challenging because the computations are carried out by chemical reactions, which are inherently disordered. In this paper we apply modular design to specific calculations…

Molecular Networks · Quantitative Biology 2024-01-05 Xiaopeng Shi , Chuanhou Gao , Denis Dochain

We introduce Deep Adaptive Design (DAD), a method for amortizing the cost of adaptive Bayesian experimental design that allows experiments to be run in real-time. Traditional sequential Bayesian optimal experimental design approaches…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-06-14 Adam Foster , Desi R. Ivanova , Ilyas Malik , Tom Rainforth

This paper proposes a Sequential Monte Carlo approach for the Bayesian estimation of mixed causal and noncausal models. Unlike previous Bayesian estimation methods developed for these models, Sequential Monte Carlo offers extensive…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-01-08 Gianluca Cubadda , Francesco Giancaterini , Stefano Grassi

Sequential Monte Carlo is a family of algorithms for sampling from a sequence of distributions. Some of these algorithms, such as particle filters, are widely used in the physics and signal processing researches. More recent developments…

Computation · Statistics 2013-06-25 Yan Zhou

In this work, we consider the problem of estimating summary statistics to characterise biochemical reaction networks of interest. Such networks are often described using the framework of the Chemical Master Equation (CME). For…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2018-11-27 Christopher Lester , Christian A. Yates , Ruth E. Baker

Discrete-state, continuous-time Markov models are becoming commonplace in the modelling of biochemical processes. The mathematical formulations that such models lead to are opaque, and, due to their complexity, are often considered…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2017-10-31 Christopher Lester

Nonlinear differential equations (DEs) are used in a wide range of scientific problems to model complex dynamic systems. The differential equations often contain unknown parameters that are of scientific interest, which have to be estimated…

Computation · Statistics 2021-09-07 Shijia Wang , Shufei Ge , Renny Doig , Liangliang Wang

We study the computational complexity of Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods for high-dimensional Bayesian linear regression under sparsity constraints. We first show that a Bayesian approach can achieve variable-selection consistency…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-06-01 Yun Yang , Martin J. Wainwright , Michael I. Jordan

Generating novel drug molecules with desired biological properties is a time consuming and complex task. Conditional generative adversarial models have recently been proposed as promising approaches for de novo drug design. In this paper,…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2021-10-26 Yuansan Liu , James Bailey

Bayesian model selection provides a powerful framework for objectively comparing models directly from observed data, without reference to ground truth data. However, Bayesian model selection requires the computation of the marginal…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-17 Xiaohao Cai , Jason D. McEwen , Marcelo Pereyra

We consider the problem of optimizing a real-valued continuous function $f$ using a Bayesian approach, where the evaluations of $f$ are chosen sequentially by combining prior information about $f$, which is described by a random process…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2011-11-22 Romain Benassi , Julien Bect , Emmanuel Vazquez

Bayesian experimental design (BED) has been used as a method for conducting efficient experiments based on Bayesian inference. The existing methods, however, mostly focus on maximizing the expected information gain (EIG); the cost of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-16 Hikaru Asano

From medicines to materials, small organic molecules are indispensable for human well-being. To plan their syntheses, chemists employ a problem solving technique called retrosynthesis. In retrosynthesis, target molecules are recursively…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2018-04-17 Marwin H. S. Segler , Mike Preuss , Mark P. Waller

The design of biological systems is hindered by uncertainty arising from both intrinsic stochasticity of biomolecular reactions and variability across laboratory or experimental conditions. In this work, we present a sequential framework to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-08 Michal Kobiela , Diego A. Oyarzún , Michael U. Gutmann

In many problems, complex non-Gaussian and/or nonlinear models are required to accurately describe a physical system of interest. In such cases, Monte Carlo algorithms are remarkably flexible and extremely powerful approaches to solve such…

Computation · Statistics 2015-04-23 Thi Le Thu Nguyen , Francois Septier , Gareth W. Peters , Yves Delignon