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Multifractal formalisms provide an apt framework to study random cascades in which multifractal spectrum width $\Delta\alpha$ fluctuates depending on the number of estimable power-law relationships. Then again, multifractality without…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2023-12-12 Madhur Mangalam , Aaron D Likens , Damian G Kelty-Stephen

Canonical characterization techniques that rely upon mean squared displacement ($\mathrm{MSD}$) break down for non-ergodic processes, making it challenging to characterize anomalous diffusion from an individual time-series measurement.…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2023-02-21 Madhur Mangalam , Ralf Metzler , Damian G. Kelty-Stephen

Any reliable biomarker has to be specific, generalizable, and reproducible across individuals and contexts. The exact values of such a biomarker must represent similar health states in different individuals and at different times within the…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2023-05-12 Madhur Mangalam , Arash Sadri , Junichiro Hayano , Eiichi Watanabe , Ken Kiyono , Damian G. Kelty-Stephen

The stochastic processes underlying the growth and stability of biological and psychological systems reveal themselves when far from equilibrium. Far from equilibrium, nonergodicity reigns. Nonergodicity implies that the average outcome for…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-02-03 Madhur Mangalam , Damian G. Kelty-Stephen

Understanding the stochastic properties of conductance fluctuations in disordered mesoscopic systems is fundamental to quantum transport. In this work, we investigate the multifractal and ergodic properties of the fictitious time series of…

We present a modelling approach for diffusion in a complex medium characterized by a random length scale. The resulting stochastic process shows subdiffusion with a behavior in qualitative agreement with single particle tracking experiments…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-12-14 Daniel Molina-García , Tuan Minh Pham , Paolo Paradisi , Carlo Manzo , Gianni Pagnini

We investigate the well-posedness and long-time behavior of a general continuum neural field model with Gaussian noise on possibly unbounded domains. In particular, we give conditions for the existence of invariant probability measures by…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-05-21 Anna-Mariya Otsetova , Jonas M. Tölle

We show that the codifference is a useful tool in studying the ergodicity breaking and non-Gaussianity properties of stochastic time series. While the codifference is a measure of dependence that was previously studied mainly in the context…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-07-25 Jakub Slezak , Ralf Metzler , Marcin Magdziarz

Time averages extracted from single-particle trajectories in complex media often vary strongly from one trajectory to another, even for long measurement times. Such persistent trajectory-to trajectory scatter is commonly observed in…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-03-18 Dan Shafir , Stanislav Burov

Recovering a unique causal graph from observational data is an ill-posed problem because multiple generating mechanisms can lead to the same observational distribution. This problem becomes solvable only by exploiting specific structural or…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-09 Ameya Rathod , Sujay Belsare , Salvik Krishna Nautiyal , Dhruv Laad , Ponnurangam Kumaraguru

Long-range dependence and non-Gaussianity are ubiquitous in many natural systems like ecosystems, biological systems and climate. However, it is not always appreciated that both phenomena may occur together in natural systems and that…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-03-18 Christian L. E. Franzke , Timothy Graves , Nicholas W. Watkins , Robert B. Gramacy , Cecilia Hughes

Real-time monitoring in modern medical research introduces functional longitudinal data, characterized by continuous-time measurements of outcomes, treatments, and confounders. This complexity leads to uncountably infinite…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-15 Andrew Ying

The concept of Granger causality is increasingly being applied for the characterization of directional interactions in different applications. A multivariate framework for estimating Granger causality is essential in order to account for…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-11-04 Angeliki Papana , Elsa Siggiridou , Dimitris Kugiumtzis

Multi-electrode neurophysiological recordings produce massive quantities of data. Multivariate time series analysis provides the basic framework for analyzing the patterns of neural interactions in these data. It has long been recognized…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2007-05-23 Mingzhou Ding , Yonghong Chen , Steven L. Bressler

We explore the mechanism responsible for the ergodicity breaking in systems with long-range forces. In thermodynamic limit such systems do not evolve to the Boltzmann-Gibbs equilibrium, but become trapped in an out-of-equilibrium…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2013-05-14 Fernanda P. da C. Benetti , Tarcísio N. Teles , Renato Pakter , Yan Levin

We study the nature and mechanisms of broken ergodicity (BE) in specific random walk models corresponding to diffusion on random potential surfaces, in both one and high dimension. Using both rigorous results and nonrigorous methods, we…

adap-org · Physics 2008-02-03 D. L. Stein , C. M. Newman

Understanding causal relationships in time series is fundamental to many domains, including neuroscience, economics, and behavioral science. Granger causality is one of the well-known techniques for inferring causality in time series.…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-08-04 Chakattrai Sookkongwaree , Tattep Lakmuang , Chainarong Amornbunchornvej

Modern biomedical, behavioral and psychological inference about cause-effect relationships respects an ergodic assumption, that is, that mean response of representative samples allow predictions about individual members of those samples.…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2021-05-31 Madhur Mangalam , Damian G. Kelty-Stephen

Granger causality (GC), a popular statistical method for the inference of directional influences between time series measured from a complex network, is sensitive to high-order (non-pairwise) interactions which fundamentally shape the…

In modeling multivariate time series for either forecast or policy analysis, it would be beneficial to have figured out the cause-effect relations within the data. Regression analysis, however, is generally for correlation relation, and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-11-23 Xingwei Hu
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