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Scientific forecasting typically relies on direct state prediction, an approach that grows brittle under data scarcity, extended horizons, non-stationary dynamics, or high-dimensional complexity. While raw state trajectories are highly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-19 Qian Jiang , Liping Sun

Ambitious decarbonisation targets are rapidly increasing the commission of new offshore wind farms. For these newly commissioned plants to run, accurate power forecasts are needed from the onset. These allow grid stability, good reserve…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-27 Dominic Weisser , Chloé Hashimoto-Cullen , Benjamin Guedj

Big-data-based artificial intelligence (AI) supports profound evolution in almost all of science and technology. However, modeling and forecasting multi-physical systems remain a challenge due to unavoidable data scarcity and noise.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-08 Pengpeng Shi , Zhi Zeng , Tianshou Liang

Accurate prediction of main engine power is essential for vessel performance optimization, fuel efficiency, and compliance with emission regulations. Conventional machine learning approaches, such as Support Vector Machines, variants of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-23 Orfeas Bourchas , George Papalambrou

In numerical modeling of the Earth System, many processes remain unknown or ill represented (let us quote sub-grid processes, the dependence to unknown latent variables or the non-inclusion of complex dynamics in numerical models) but…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2019-03-19 Julien Brajard , Anastase Charantonis , Jérôme Sirven

This paper presents a method for probabilistic wind power forecasting that quantifies and integrates uncertainties from weather forecasts and weather-to-power conversion. By addressing both uncertainty sources, the method achieves…

Applications · Statistics 2025-02-18 Gabriel Dantas , Jethro Browell

The midlatitude climate and weather are shaped by storms, yet the factors governing their predictability remain insufficiently understood. Here, we use a Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) to predict and quantify uncertainty in the…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-10-30 Wuqiushi Yao , Or Hadas , Yohai Kaspi

This article implements a Convolutional Neural Network (CNN)-based deep learning model for solar-wind prediction. Images from the Atmospheric Imaging Assembly (AIA) at 193\.A wavelength are used for training. Solar-wind speed is taken from…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2021-09-15 Hemapriya Raju , Saurabh Das

We introduce Air Learning, an open-source simulator, and a gym environment for deep reinforcement learning research on resource-constrained aerial robots. Equipped with domain randomization, Air Learning exposes a UAV agent to a diverse set…

Robotics · Computer Science 2022-11-15 Srivatsan Krishnan , Behzad Boroujerdian , William Fu , Aleksandra Faust , Vijay Janapa Reddi

We present a framework for forecasting significant wave height on the Southwestern Atlantic Ocean using the long short-term memory algorithm (LSTM), trained with the ERA5 database available through Copernicus Climate Data Store (CDS)…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-12-28 Felipe C. Minuzzi , Leandro Farina

Ahead-of-time forecasting of the output power of power plants is essential for the stability of the electricity grid and ensuring uninterrupted service. However, forecasting renewable energy sources is difficult due to the chaotic behavior…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-10-27 Anas Al-lahham , Obaidah Theeb , Khaled Elalem , Tariq A. Alshawi , Saleh A. Alshebeili

Informed machine learning methods allow the integration of prior knowledge into learning systems. This can increase accuracy and robustness or reduce data needs. However, existing methods often assume hard constraining knowledge, that does…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-10 Christian Schlauch , Nadja Klein , Christian Wirth

Over the past decade, wind energy has gained more attention in the world. However, owing to its indirectness and volatility properties, wind power penetration has increased the difficulty and complexity in dispatching and planning of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-08 Onder Eyecioglu , Batuhan Hangun , Korhan Kayisli , Mehmet Yesilbudak

We study the applicability of GNNs to the problem of wind energy forecasting. We find that certain architectures achieve performance comparable to our best CNN-based benchmark. The study is conducted on three wind power facilities using…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-02 Javier Castellano , Ignacio Villanueva

Airborne Wind Energy is a lightweight technology that allows power extraction from the wind using airborne devices such as kites and gliders, where the airfoil orientation can be dynamically controlled in order to maximize performance. The…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2022-03-29 N. Orzan , C. Leone , A. Mazzolini , J. Oyero , A. Celani

We propose a custom learning algorithm for shallow over-parameterized neural networks, i.e., networks with single hidden layer having infinite width. The infinite width of the hidden layer serves as an abstraction for the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-19 Alexis Teter , Iman Nodozi , Abhishek Halder

Authors: Yifan Xu Abstract: Conventional wind power prediction methods often struggle to provide accurate and reliable predictions in the presence of sudden changes in wind speed and power output. To address this challenge, this study…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-19 Yifan Xu

Wind energy is becoming an increasingly crucial component of a sustainable grid, but its inherent variability and limited predictability present challenges for grid operators. The energy sector needs novel forecasting techniques that can…

Applications · Statistics 2023-12-05 Zheng Dong , Hanyu Zhang , Shixiang Zhu , Yao Xie , Pascal Van Hentenryck

Because of the global need to increase power production from renewable energy resources, developments in the online monitoring of the associated infrastructure is of interest to reduce operation and maintenance costs. However, challenges…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-29 Simon M. Brealy , Lawrence A. Bull , Pauline Beltrando , Anders Sommer , Nikolaos Dervilis , Keith Worden

This paper describes a statistical method for short-term forecasting of surface layer wind velocity amplitude relying on the notion of continuous cascades. Inspired by recent empirical findings that suggest the existence of some cascading…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2010-04-20 Rachel Baile , Jean-Francois Muzy , Philippe Poggi