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We consider the problem of setting confidence intervals on a parameter of interest from the maximum-likelihood fit of a physics model to a binned data set with a large number of bins, large event-counts per bin, and in the presence of…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2026-02-09 Cristina-Andreea Alexe , Joshua Bendavid , Lorenzo Bianchini , Davide Bruschini

Discrete-time robust optimal control problems generally take a min-max structure over continuous variable spaces, which can be difficult to solve in practice. In this paper, we extend the class of such problems that can be solved through a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-04-30 Jad Wehbeh , Eric C. Kerrigan

The regression function is one of the key objects of binary classification, since it not only determines a Bayes optimal classifier, hence, defines an optimal decision boundary, but also encodes the conditional distribution of the output…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-03 Ambrus Tamás , Balázs Csanád Csáji

In this paper, we develop invariance-based procedures for testing and inference in high-dimensional regression models. These procedures, also known as randomization tests, provide several important advantages. First, for the global null…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-12-27 Wenxuan Guo , Panos Toulis

This paper proposes a max-test for testing (possibly infinitely) many zero parameter restrictions in an extremum estimation framework. The test statistic is formed by estimating key parameters one at a time based on many empirical loss…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-04-12 Jonathan B. Hill

In this paper, we develop an approach for the exact determination of the minimum sample size for estimating the parameter of an integer-valued random variable, which is parameterized by its expectation. Under some continuity and unimodal…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-11-20 Xinjia Chen , Zhengjia Chen

We propose a general method for constructing confidence intervals and statistical tests for single or low-dimensional components of a large parameter vector in a high-dimensional model. It can be easily adjusted for multiplicity taking…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-06-24 Sara van de Geer , Peter Bühlmann , Ya'acov Ritov , Ruben Dezeure

Estimating the parameters of a probabilistic directed graphical model from incomplete data is a long-standing challenge. This is because, in the presence of latent variables, both the likelihood function and posterior distribution are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-04 Vy Vo , Trung Le , Tung-Long Vuong , He Zhao , Edwin Bonilla , Dinh Phung

Analysis and processing of data is a vital part of our modern society and requires vast amounts of computational resources. To reduce the computational burden, compressing and approximating data has become a central topic. We consider the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-03-17 Jürgen Dölz , Michael Multerer

Matrix completion aims to estimate missing entries in a data matrix, using the assumption of a low-complexity structure (e.g., low rank) so that imputation is possible. While many effective estimation algorithms exist in the literature,…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-24 Yu Gui , Rina Foygel Barber , Cong Ma

Estimating the mode of a unimodal distribution is a classical problem in statistics. Although there are several approaches for point-estimation of mode in the literature, very little has been explored about the interval-estimation of mode.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-04-01 Manit Paul , Arun Kumar Kuchibhotla

We address the problem of learning an unknown smooth function and its derivatives from noisy pointwise evaluations under the supremum norm. While classical nonparametric regression provides a strong theoretical foundation, traditional…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-10 Davide Maran , Marcello Restelli

Conformal prediction is an assumption-lean approach to generating distribution-free prediction intervals or sets, for nearly arbitrary predictive models, with guaranteed finite-sample coverage. Conformal methods are an active research topic…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-19 Jerzy Wieczorek

Model checking plays an important role in linear regression as model misspecification seriously affects the validity and efficiency of regression analysis. In practice, model checking is often performed by subjectively evaluating the plot…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-11-19 Rok Blagus , Jakob Peterlin , Janez Stare

Precision matrices play important roles in many practical applications. Motivated by temporally dependent multivariate data in modern social and scientific studies, we consider the statistical inference of precision matrices for…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-12-21 Jinyuan Chang , Yumou Qiu , Qiwei Yao , Tao Zou

When data contains measurement errors, it is necessary to make assumptions relating the observed, erroneous data to the unobserved true phenomena of interest. These assumptions should be justifiable on substantive grounds, but are often…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-12-24 Noam Finkelstein , Roy Adams , Suchi Saria , Ilya Shpitser

When the experimental data set is contaminated, we usually employ robust alternatives to common location and scale estimators such as the sample median and Hodges-Lehmann estimators for location and the sample median absolute deviation and…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-08-11 Chanseok Park , Haewon Kim , Min Wang

This paper describes how to specify probability models for data analysis via a backward induction procedure. The new approach yields coherent, prior-free uncertainty assessment. After presenting some intuition-building examples, the new…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-02-24 P. Richard Hahn

Reliable inference for spatial regression remains challenging because it requires the correct specification of the spatial dependence structure, the mean trend, and the error distribution. Existing parametric testing methods rely on…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-12 Kanghyun Wi , Hyoeun Kim , Tomáš Mrkvička , Jorge Mateu , Jaewoo Park

Monte Carlo approximations for random linear elliptic PDE constrained optimization problems are studied. We use empirical process theory to obtain best possible mean convergence rates $O(n^{-\frac{1}{2}})$ for optimal values and solutions,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-06-14 Werner Römisch , Thomas M. Surowiec