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How do we know if a particular medical treatment actually works? Ideally one would consult all available evidence from relevant clinical trials. Unfortunately, such results are primarily disseminated in natural language scientific articles,…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2019-04-08 Eric Lehman , Jay DeYoung , Regina Barzilay , Byron C. Wallace

Clinical trials provide essential guidance for practicing Evidence-Based Medicine, though often accompanying with unendurable costs and risks. To optimize the design of clinical trials, we introduce a novel Clinical Trial Result Prediction…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2020-10-13 Qiao Jin , Chuanqi Tan , Mosha Chen , Xiaozhong Liu , Songfang Huang

Outcome prediction from clinical text can prevent doctors from overlooking possible risks and help hospitals to plan capacities. We simulate patients at admission time, when decision support can be especially valuable, and contribute a…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2021-02-09 Betty van Aken , Jens-Michalis Papaioannou , Manuel Mayrdorfer , Klemens Budde , Felix A. Gers , Alexander Löser

A clinical trial is a study that evaluates new biomedical interventions. To design new trials, researchers draw inspiration from those current and completed. In 2022, there were on average more than 100 clinical trials submitted to…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2023-08-02 Renee D. White , Tristan Peng , Pann Sripitak , Alexander Rosenberg Johansen , Michael Snyder

Clinical trials are a systematic endeavor to assess the safety and efficacy of new drugs or treatments. Conducting such trials typically demands significant financial investment and meticulous planning, highlighting the need for accurate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-03 Tien Huu Do , Antoine Masquelier , Nae Eoun Lee , Jonathan Crowther

Background and Aims: The methods with which prediction models are usually developed mean that neither the parameters nor the predictions should be interpreted causally. However, when prediction models are used to support decision making,…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-01-25 Lijing Lin , Matthew Sperrin , David A. Jenkins , Glen P. Martin , Niels Peek

Clinical trial outcome prediction seeks to estimate the likelihood that a clinical trial will successfully reach its intended endpoint. This process predominantly involves the development of machine learning models that utilize a variety of…

Biomolecules · Quantitative Biology 2024-05-14 Chufan Gao , Tianfan Fu , Jimeng Sun

When a new treatment is considered for use, whether a pharmaceutical drug or a search engine ranking algorithm, a typical question that arises is, will its performance exceed that of the current treatment? The conventional way to answer…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-10-27 Nir Rosenfeld , Yishay Mansour , Elad Yom-Tov

Predictions under interventions are estimates of what a person's risk of an outcome would be if they were to follow a particular treatment strategy, given their individual characteristics. Such predictions can give important input to…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-17 Ruth H. Keogh , Nan van Geloven

Clinical trials need to recruit a sufficient number of volunteer patients to demonstrate the statistical power of the treatment (e.g., a new drug) in curing a certain disease. Clinical trial recruitment has a significant impact on trial…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-19 Ling Yue , Sixue Xing , Jintai Chen , Tianfan Fu

Clinical trials are vital for evaluation of safety and efficacy of new treatments. However, clinical trials are resource-intensive, time-consuming and expensive to conduct, where errors in trial design, reduced efficacy, and safety events…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-05-19 Trisha Das , Afrah Shafquat , Beigi Mandis , Jacob Aptekar , Jimeng Sun

In clinical research and clinical decision-making, it is important to know if a study changes or only supports the current standards of care for specific disease management. We define such a change as transformative and a support as…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2021-12-28 Xuanyu Shi , Jian Du

In clinical trials, inferences on clinical outcomes are often made conditional on specific selective processes. For instance, only when a treatment demonstrates a significant effect on the primary outcome, further analysis is conducted to…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-15 Tianyu Pan , Vivek Charu , Ying Lu , Lu Tian

Sepsis is a life-threatening disease with high morbidity, mortality and healthcare costs. The early prediction and administration of antibiotics and intravenous fluids is considered crucial for the treatment of sepsis and can save…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2021-07-26 Fred Qin , Vivek Madan , Ujjwal Ratan , Zohar Karnin , Vishaal Kapoor , Parminder Bhatia , Taha Kass-Hout

We consider the problem of automatically generating a narrative biomedical evidence summary from multiple trial reports. We evaluate modern neural models for abstractive summarization of relevant article abstracts from systematic reviews…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2020-12-23 Byron C. Wallace , Sayantan Saha , Frank Soboczenski , Iain J. Marshall

Objective: Automatic text summarization tools can help users in the biomedical domain to access information efficiently from a large volume of scientific literature and other sources of text documents. In this paper, we propose a…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2018-11-26 Milad Moradi , Nasser Ghadiri

Attrition in survey and field experiments presents a challenge for social science research. Common approaches to deal with this problem -- such as complete case analysis, multiple imputation, and weighting methods -- rely on strong…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-13 Xiangyu Song

The best evidence concerning comparative treatment effectiveness comes from clinical trials, the results of which are reported in unstructured articles. Medical experts must manually extract information from articles to inform…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2022-01-11 Benjamin E. Nye , Jay DeYoung , Eric Lehman , Ani Nenkova , Iain J. Marshall , Byron C. Wallace

The predictions from an accurate prognostic model can be of great interest to patients and clinicians. When predictions are reported to individuals, they may decide to take action to improve their health or they may simply be comforted by…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2019-09-10 Michael C Sachs , Arvid Sjölander , Erin E Gabriel

As the COVID-19 pandemic progresses, researchers are reporting findings of randomized trials comparing standard care with care augmented by experimental drugs. The trials have small sample sizes, so estimates of treatment effects are…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-06-02 Charles F. Manski , Aleksey Tetenov
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