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Studying the effects of one-way variation of any number of parameters on any number of output probabilities quickly becomes infeasible in practice, especially if various evidence profiles are to be taken into consideration. To provide for…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-07-09 Silja Renooij , Linda C. van der Gaag

Recent years have witnessed an increased focus on interpretability and the use of machine learning to inform policy analysis and decision making. This paper applies machine learning to examine travel behavior and, in particular, on modeling…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-02-11 Xilei Zhao , Xiang Yan , Pascal Van Hentenryck

We present an approach to estimate distance-dependent heterogeneous associations between point-referenced exposures to built environment characteristics and health outcomes. By estimating associations that depend non-linearly on distance…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-14 Adam Peterson , Emma Sanchez-Vaznaugh , Brisa Sanchez

Statistical inference about the average effect in random-effects meta-analysis has been considered insufficient in the presence of substantial between-study heterogeneity. Predictive distributions are well-suited for quantifying…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-16 David Kronthaler , Leonhard Held

Many real world networks exhibit edge heterogeneity with different pairs of nodes interacting with different intensities. Further, nodes with similar attributes tend to interact more with each other. Thus, in the presence of observed node…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-24 Swati Chandna , Benjamin Bagozzi , Snigdhansu Chatterjee

Presence/absence data and presence-only data are the two customary sources for learning about species distributions over a region. We illuminate the fundamental modeling differences between the two types of data. Most simply, locations are…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-04-04 Alan. E. Gelfand , Shinichiro Shirota

Average partial effects (APEs) are often not point identified in panel models with unrestricted unobserved individual heterogeneity, such as a binary response panel model with fixed effects and logistic errors as a special case. This lack…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-08-01 Laura Liu , Alexandre Poirier , Ji-Liang Shiu

The random coefficients model is an extension of the linear regression model that allows for unobserved heterogeneity in the population by modeling the regression coefficients as random variables. Given data from this model, the statistical…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-03-15 Fabian Dunker , Konstantin Eckle , Katharina Proksch , Johannes Schmidt-Hieber

Prediction becomes more challenging with missing covariates. What method is chosen to handle missingness can greatly affect how models perform. In many real-world problems, the best prediction performance is achieved by models that can…

We study identification in models of aggregate choice generated by unobserved behavioral types. An analyst observes only aggregate choice behavior, while the population distribution of types and their type-level choice patterns are latent.…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2026-02-12 Christopher Kops , Paola Manzini , Marco Mariotti , Illia Pasichnichenko

The pervasive use of prevalent cohort studies on disease duration, increasingly calls for appropriate methodologies to account for the biases that invariably accompany samples formed by such data. It is well-known, for example, that…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-11-07 Ashkan Ertefaie , Masoud Asgharian , David Stephens

Conditional density estimation (CDE) models can be useful for many statistical applications, especially because the full conditional density is estimated instead of traditional regression point estimates, revealing more information about…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-12 Alex Akira Okuno , Felipe Maia Polo

Existing methods for anomaly detection often fall short due to their inability to handle the complexity, heterogeneity, and high dimensionality inherent in real-world mobility data. In this paper, we propose DeepBayesic, a novel framework…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-07 Minxuan Duan , Yinlong Qian , Lingyi Zhao , Zihao Zhou , Zeeshan Rasheed , Rose Yu , Khurram Shafique

Classic item response models assume that all items with the same difficulty have the same response probability among all respondents with the same ability. These assumptions, however, may very well be violated in practice, and it is not…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-23 Minjeong Jeon , Ick Hoon Jin , Michael Schweinberger , Samuel Baugh

Many event sequence data exhibit mutually exciting or inhibiting patterns. Reliable detection of such temporal dependency is crucial for scientific investigation. The de facto model is the Multivariate Hawkes Process (MHP), whose impact…

Applications · Statistics 2023-05-31 Yu Chen , Fengpei Li , Anderson Schneider , Yuriy Nevmyvaka , Asohan Amarasingham , Henry Lam

Risk assessment instruments are used across the criminal justice system to estimate the probability of some future behavior given covariates. The estimated probabilities are then used in making decisions at the individual level. In the…

Applications · Statistics 2021-02-03 Kristian Lum , David B. Dunson , James Johndrow

In this paper we study online change point detection in dynamic networks with time heterogeneous missing pattern within networks and dependence across the time course. The missingness probabilities, the entrywise sparsity of networks, the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-24 Haotian Xu , Paromita Dubey , Yi Yu

Individual-based models of contagious processes are useful for predicting epidemic trajectories and informing intervention strategies. In such models, the incorporation of contact network information can capture the non-randomness and…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-11-09 Maxwell H. Wang , Jukka-Pekka Onnela

Missing data is frequently encountered in many areas of statistics. Propensity score weighting is a popular method for handling missing data. The propensity score method employs a response propensity model, but correct specification of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-28 Hengfang Wang , Jae Kwang Kim , Jeongseop Han , Youngjo Lee

Species distribution modeling is a highly versatile tool for understanding the intricate relationship between environmental conditions and species occurrences. However, the available data often lacks information on confirmed species absence…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2024-06-18 Robin Zbinden , Nina van Tiel , Benjamin Kellenberger , Lloyd Hughes , Devis Tuia
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