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In a wide range of applications, the stochastic properties of the observed time series change over time. The changes often occur gradually rather than abruptly: the properties are (approximately) constant for some time and then slowly start…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-04-03 Michael Vogt , Holger Dette

The particle filter is a popular Bayesian filtering algorithm for use in cases where the state-space model is nonlinear and/or the random terms (initial state or noises) are non-Gaussian distributed. We study the behavior of the error in…

Computation · Statistics 2019-03-29 Ziyu Liu , Shihong Wei , James C. Spall

Features in machine learning problems are often time-varying and may be related to outputs in an algebraic or dynamical manner. The dynamic nature of these machine learning problems renders current higher order accelerated gradient descent…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-05-29 Joseph E. Gaudio , Travis E. Gibson , Anuradha M. Annaswamy , Michael A. Bolender

The focus of this paper is the estimation of a delay between two signals. Such a problem is common in signal processing and particularly challenging when the delay is non-stationary in nature. Our proposed solution is based on an all-pass…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-06-17 Beth Jelfs , Shuai Sun , Kamran Ghorbani , Christopher Gilliam

Differentiable particle filters provide a flexible mechanism to adaptively train dynamic and measurement models by learning from observed data. However, most existing differentiable particle filters are within the bootstrap particle…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-11-11 Xiongjie Chen , Hao Wen , Yunpeng Li

We revisit a model for time-varying linear regression that assumes the unknown parameters evolve according to a linear dynamical system. Counterintuitively, we show that when the underlying dynamics are stable the parameters of this model…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-01-03 Ali Jadbabaie , Horia Mania , Devavrat Shah , Suvrit Sra

Although persistent excitation is often acknowledged as a sufficient condition to exponentially converge in the field of adaptive parameter estimation, it must be noted that in practical applications this may be unguaranteed. Recently, more…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-03-19 Siyu Chen , Jing Na , Yingbo Huang

This paper studies the numerical approximation of evolution equations by nonlinear parametrizations $u(t)=\Phi(\param(t))$ with time-dependent parameters $\param(t)$, which are to be determined in the computation. The motivation comes from…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-03-23 Michael Feischl , Caroline Lasser , Christian Lubich , Jörg Nick

In this work, we consider the problem of online (real-time, single-shot) estimation of static or slow-varying parameters along quantum trajectories in quantum dynamical systems. Based on the measurement signal of a continuously-monitored…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2024-06-19 Henrik Glavind Clausen , Pierre Rouchon , Rafal Wisniewski

It is crucially important to estimate unknown parameters in earth system models by integrating observation and numerical simulation. For many applications in earth system sciences, an optimization method which allows parameters to…

Geophysics · Physics 2022-07-13 Yohei Sawada

Locally adapted parameterizations of a model (such as locally weighted regression) are expressive but often suffer from high variance. We describe an approach for reducing the variance, based on the idea of estimating simultaneously a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-07-03 Doina Precup , Philip Bachman

The problem of parameterization is often central to the effective deployment of nature-inspired algorithms. However, finding the optimal set of parameter values for a combination of problem instance and solution method is highly…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2014-06-26 Matthew Crossley , Andy Nisbet , Martyn Amos

The non-stationary evolution of observable quantities in complex systems can frequently be described as a juxtaposition of quasi-stationary spells. Given that standard theoretical and data analysis approaches usually rely on the assumption…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2011-10-18 S. Camargo , S. Duarte Queirós , C. Anteneodo

In this paper, we consider a new framework for particle filtering under model uncertainty that operates beyond the scope of Markovian switching systems. Specifically, we develop a novel particle filtering algorithm that applies to general…

Computation · Statistics 2020-09-11 Yousef El-Laham , Liu Yang , Petar M. Djuric , Monica F. Bugallo

Variational system identification is a new formulation of maximum likelihood for estimation of parameters of dynamical systems subject to process and measurement noise, such as aircraft flying in turbulence. This formulation is an…

Applications · Statistics 2025-10-31 Dimas Abreu Archanjo Dutra

Recent works on deep non-linear spatially selective filters demonstrate exceptional enhancement performance with computationally lightweight architectures for stationary speakers of known directions. However, to maintain this performance in…

Audio and Speech Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-07-08 Jakob Kienegger , Alina Mannanova , Huajian Fang , Timo Gerkmann

Discovering the underlying dynamics of complex systems from data is an important practical topic. Constrained optimization algorithms are widely utilized and lead to many successes. Yet, such purely data-driven methods may bring about…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-05-17 Nan Chen , Yinling Zhang

A Bayesian data assimilation scheme is formulated for advection-dominated or hyperbolic evolutionary problems, and observations. The method is referred to as the dynamic likelihood filter because it exploits the model physics to dynamically…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2017-04-26 Juan M. Restrepo

This paper considers the Linear Minimum Variance recursive state estimation for the linear discrete time dynamic system with random state transition and measurement matrices, i.e., random parameter matrices Kalman filtering. It is shown…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2007-07-13 Dandan Luo , Yunmin Zhu

We study the robustness of system estimation to parametric perturbations in system dynamics and initial conditions. We define the problem of sensitivity-based parametric uncertainty quantification in dynamical system estimation. The main…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-09-09 Ayush Pandey