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Data assimilation algorithms combine information from observations and prior model information to obtain the most likely state of a dynamical system. The linearised weak-constraint four-dimensional variational assimilation problem can be…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-12-04 Jemima M. Tabeart , John W. Pearson

Data Assimilation is the process in which we improve the representation of the state of a physical system by combining information coming from a numerical model, real-world observations, and some prior modelling. It is widely used to model…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-01-09 Victor Trappler , Arthur Vidard

Variational data assimilation is a technique for combining measured data with dynamical models. It is a key component of Earth system state estimation and is commonly used in weather and ocean forecasting. The approach involves a…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-04-30 I. Daužickaitė , M. A. Freitag , S. Gürol , A. S. Lawless , A. Ramage , J. A. Scott , J. M. Tabeart

Weak constraint four-dimensional variational data assimilation is an important method for incorporating data (typically observations) into a model. The linearised system arising within the minimisation process can be formulated as a saddle…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-02-14 Melina A. Freitag , Daniel L. H. Green

The Strong Constraint 4D Variational (SC-4DVAR) data assimilation method is widely used in climate and weather applications. SC-4DVAR involves solving a minimization problem to compute the maximum a posteriori estimate, which we tackle…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-06-16 Amit N. Subrahmanya , Vishwas Rao , Arvind K. Saibaba

In variational assimilation, the most probable state of a dynamical system under Gaussian assumptions for the prior and likelihood can be found by solving a least-squares minimization problem . In recent years, we have seen the popularity…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-06-22 Shaerdan Shataer , Amos S. Lawless , Nancy K. Nichols

We consider the large-sparse symmetric linear systems of equations that arise in the solution of weak constraint four-dimensional variational data assimilation, a method of high interest for numerical weather prediction. These systems can…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-05-15 Ieva Daužickaitė , Amos S. Lawless , Jennifer A. Scott , Peter Jan van Leeuwen

Data assimilation combines prior (or background) information with observations to estimate the initial state of a dynamical system over a given time-window. A common application is in numerical weather prediction where a previous forecast…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-07-27 Coralia Cartis , Maha H. Kaouri , Amos S. Lawless , Nancy K. Nichols

Many core problems in robotics can be framed as constrained optimization problems. Often on these problems, the robotic system has uncertainty, or it would be advantageous to identify multiple high quality feasible solutions. To enable…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-06-03 Griffin Tabor , Tucker Hermans

This paper discusses the practical use of the saddle variational formulation for the weakly-constrained 4D-VAR method in data assimilation. It is shown that the method, in its original form, may produce erratic results or diverge because of…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-05-31 S. Gratton , S. Gürol , E. Simon , Ph. L. Toint

Variational data assimilation in continuous time is revisited. The central techniques applied in this paper are in part adopted from the theory of optimal nonlinear control. Alternatively, the investigated approach can be considered as a…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2015-05-18 Jochen Bröcker

In data assimilation, the model may be subject to uncertainties and errors. The weak-constraint data assimilation framework enables incorporating model uncertainty in the dynamics of the governing equations. We propose a new framework for…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-12-23 Alen Alexanderian , Hugo Díaz , Vishwas Rao , Arvind K. Saibaba

Data assimilation is a central problem in many geophysical applications, such as weather forecasting. It aims to estimate the state of a potentially large system, such as the atmosphere, from sparse observations, supplemented by prior…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-24 Matthieu Blanke , Ronan Fablet , Marc Lelarge

Data assimilation is a method that combines observations (that is, real world data) of a state of a system with model output for that system in order to improve the estimate of the state of the system and thereby the model output. The model…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-05-18 Melina A. Freitag

Data assimilation (DA) provides a general framework for estimation in dynamical systems based on the concepts of Bayesian inference. This constitutes a common basis for the different linear and nonlinear filtering and smoothing techniques…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-03-08 Tarek Diaa-Eldeen , Marcus Krogh Nielsen , Carl Fredrik Berg , Morten Hovd , John Bagterp Jørgensen

The effect of preconditioning linear weighted least-squares using an approximation of the model matrix is analyzed, showing the interplay of the eigenstructures of both the model and weighting matrices. A small example is given illustrating…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-05-31 Serge Gratton , Selime Gürol , Ehouarn Simon , Philippe L. Toint

State estimates from weak constraint 4D-Var data assimilation can vary significantly depending on the data and model error covariances. As a result, the accuracy of these estimates heavily depends on the correct specification of both model…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-28 Sandra R. Babyale , Jodi Mead , Donna Calhoun , Patricia O. Azike

This paper introduces a novel optimization algorithm designed for nonlinear least-squares problems. The method is derived by preconditioning the gradient descent direction using the Singular Value Decomposition (SVD) of the Jacobian. This…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-02-11 Zhipeng Chang , Wenrui Hao , Nian Liu

We propose a certified reduced basis approach for the strong- and weak-constraint four-dimensional variational (4D-Var) data assimilation problem for a parametrized PDE model. While the standard strong-constraint 4D-Var approach uses the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-02-08 Mark Kärcher , Sébastien Boyaval , Martin A. Grepl , Karen Veroy

Stein variational gradient descent (SVGD) is a deterministic sampling algorithm that iteratively transports a set of particles to approximate given distributions, based on an efficient gradient-based update that guarantees to optimally…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-11-15 Qiang Liu
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