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Measuring the impact of an environmental point source exposure on the risk of disease, like cancer or childhood asthma, is well-developed. Modeling how an environmental health hazard that is extensive in space, like a wastewater canal,…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-29 Rob Trangucci , Jesse Contreras , Jon Zelner , Joseph N. S. Eisenberg , Yang Chen

We present a model for generating probabilistic forecasts by combining kernel density estimation (KDE) and quantile regression techniques, as part of the probabilistic load forecasting track of the Global Energy Forecasting Competition…

Applications · Statistics 2016-10-18 Stephen Haben , Georgios Giasemidis

An important goal of environmental epidemiology is to quantify the complex health risks posed by a wide array of environmental exposures. In analyses focusing on a smaller number of exposures within a mixture, flexible models like Bayesian…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-27 Glen McGee , Brent A. Coull , Ander Wilson

We introduce the SoftBart approach from Bayesian ensemble learning to estimate the relationship between multipollutant mixtures and health on chronic exposures in epidemiology research. This approach offers several key advantages over…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2025-05-26 Yu-Chien Ning , Xin Zhou , Francine Laden , Molin Wang

Motivated by environmental policy questions, we address the challenges of estimation, change point detection, and uncertainty quantification of a causal exposure-response function (CERF). Under a potential outcome framework, the CERF…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-01-27 Boyu Ren , Xiao Wu , Danielle Braun , Natesh Pillai , Francesca Dominici

Air pollution remains a major environmental risk factor that is often associated with adverse health outcomes. However, quantifying and evaluating its effects on human health is challenging due to the complex nature of exposure data. Recent…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-02 Soumyakanti Pan , Sudipto Banerjee

Maternal exposure to air pollution during pregnancy has a substantial public health impact. Epidemiological evidence supports an association between maternal exposure to air pollution and low birth weight. A popular method to estimate this…

Machine learning models are increasingly used to predict material properties and accelerate atomistic simulations, but the reliability of their predictions depends on the representativeness of the training data. We present a scalable,…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2025-10-20 Daniel Willimetz , Lukáš Grajciar

Children's health studies support an association between maternal environmental exposures and children's birth outcomes. A common goal is to identify critical windows of susceptibility--periods during gestation with increased association…

Environmental epidemiology has traditionally examined single exposure one at a time. Advances in exposure assessment and statistical methods now enable studies of multiple exposures and their combined health impacts. Bayesian Kernel Machine…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-02 Danlu Zhang , Stephanie M. Eick , Howard H. Chang

We introduce a framework for estimating causal effects of binary and continuous treatments in high dimensions. We show how posterior distributions of treatment and outcome models can be used together with doubly robust estimators. We…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-10-06 Joseph Antonelli , Georgia Papadogeorgou , Francesca Dominici

Epidemiological evidence supports an association between exposure to air pollution during pregnancy and birth and child health outcomes. Typically, such associations are estimated by regressing an outcome on daily or weekly measures of…

The relationship between short-term exposure to air pollution and mortality or morbidity has been the subject of much recent research, in which the standard method of analysis uses Poisson linear or additive models. In this paper we use a…

Applications · Statistics 2012-01-27 Duncan Lee , Gavin Shaddick

1. Understanding the mechanisms underlying biological systems, and ultimately, predicting their behaviours in a changing environment requires overcoming the gap between mathematical models and experimental or observational data.…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2017-04-19 Philipp H Boersch-Supan , Sadie J Ryan , Leah R Johnson

A key goal of environmental health research is to assess the risk posed by mixtures of pollutants. As epidemiologic studies of mixtures can be expensive to conduct, it behooves researchers to incorporate prior knowledge about mixtures into…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-04 Glen McGee , Ander Wilson , Brent A Coull , Thomas F Webster

Psychiatric and social epidemiology often involves assessing the effects of environmental exposure on outcomes that are difficult to measure directly. To address this problem, it is common to measure outcomes using a comprehensive battery…

Accurate air quality forecasting is essential for public health and environmental sustainability, but remains challenging due to the complex pollutant dynamics. Existing deep learning methods often model pollutant dynamics as an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-19 Binqing Wu , Zongjiang Shang , Shiyu Liu , Jianlong Huang , Jiahui Xu , Ling Chen

The reconstruction of smooth density fields from scattered data points is a procedure that has multiple applications in a variety of disciplines, including Lagrangian (particle-based) models of solute transport in fluids. In random walk…

Computational Physics · Physics 2019-09-04 Guillem Sole-Mari , Diogo Bolster , Daniel Fernàndez-Garcia , Xavier Sanchez-Vila

Fine particulate matter (PM2.5) measured at a given location is a mix of pollution generated locally and pollution traveling long distances in the atmosphere. Therefore, the identification of spatial scales associated with health effects…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-09-19 Joseph Antonelli , Joel Schwartz , Itai Kloog , Brent Coull

Estimating the joint effect of a multivariate, continuous exposure is crucial, particularly in environmental health where interest lies in simultaneously evaluating the impact of multiple environmental pollutants on health. We develop novel…