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We present a significantly-improved data-driven global weather forecasting framework using a deep convolutional neural network (CNN) to forecast several basic atmospheric variables on a global grid. New developments in this framework…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-10-14 Jonathan A. Weyn , Dale R. Durran , Rich Caruana

The fast-growing number of research articles makes it problematic for scholars to keep track of the new findings related to their areas of expertise. Furthermore, linking knowledge across disciplines in rapidly developing fields becomes…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-07-04 Sofia Gil-Clavel , Tatiana Filatova

In this work, we present a method that exploits a scenario with inter-Wireless Sensor Networks (WSNs) information exchange by making predictions and adapting the workload of a WSN according to their outcomes. We show the feasibility of an…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2016-07-13 Gabriel Martins Dias , Simon Oechsner , Boris Bellalta

We introduce a technique of time series analysis, potential forecasting, which is based on dynamical propagation of the probability density of time series. We employ polynomial coefficients of the orthogonal approximation of the empirical…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-06-12 V. N. Livina , G. Lohmann , M. Mudelsee , T. M. Lenton

Time-series causal discovery (TSCD) is a fundamental problem of machine learning. However, existing synthetic datasets cannot properly evaluate or predict the algorithms' performance on real data. This study introduces the CausalTime…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-04 Yuxiao Cheng , Ziqian Wang , Tingxiong Xiao , Qin Zhong , Jinli Suo , Kunlun He

Earth system science is producing increasingly large, high-dimensional datasets from physics based Earth system models to AI-based weather and climate models. Embedding-based representations can make these data searchable through similarity…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2026-05-05 Nihanth W. Cherukuru , Matt Rehme , Kirsten J. Mayer , David John Gagne , John Schreck , John Clyne , Charlie Becker

Forecasting can estimate the statement of events according to the historical data and it is considerably important in many disciplines. At present, time series models have been utilized to solve forecasting problems in various domains. In…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2014-03-10 S. Chen , X. Lan , Y. Hu , Q. Liu , Y. Deng

We propose a neural network approach to produce probabilistic weather forecasts from a deterministic numerical weather prediction. Our approach is applied to operational surface temperature outputs from the Global Deterministic Prediction…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-04-07 David Landry , Anastase Charantonis , Claire Monteleoni

This article explores a novel approach to time series forecasting applied to the context of Chennai's climate data. Our methodology comprises two distinct established time series models, leveraging their strengths in handling seasonality…

Applications · Statistics 2025-07-11 Tanmay Kayal , Abhishek Das , U Saranya

Global climate change, extreme climate events, earthquakes and their accompanying natural disasters pose significant risks to humanity. Yet due to the nonlinear feedbacks, strategic interactions and complex structure of the Earth system,…

This study addresses the challenge of predicting network dynamics, such as forecasting disease spread in social networks or estimating species populations in predator-prey networks. Accurate predictions in large networks are difficult due…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2023-08-23 Rui Luo

We introduce a new network marker for climate network analysis. It is based upon an available special definition of local clustering coefficient for weighted correlation networks, which was previously introduced in the neuroscience context…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2021-03-02 Mikhail Krivonosov , Olga Vershinina , Anna Pirova , Shraddha Gupta , Oleg Kanakov , Juergen Kurths

Given the rapid rise in energy demand by data centers and computing systems in general, it is fundamental to incorporate energy considerations when designing (scheduling) algorithms. Machine learning can be a useful approach in practice by…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2021-12-07 Antonios Antoniadis , Peyman Jabbarzade Ganje , Golnoosh Shahkarami

Societal and industrial infrastructures and systems increasingly leverage sensors that emit correlated time series. Forecasting of future values of such time series based on recorded historical values has important benefits. Automatically…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-12 Xinle Wu , Xingjian Wu , Dalin Zhang , Miao Zhang , Chenjuan Guo , Bin Yang , Christian S. Jensen

Experimentally observed networks of interacting dynamical systems are inferred from recorded multivariate time series by evaluating a statistical measure of dependence, usually the cross-correlation coefficient, or mutual information. These…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2017-07-03 Milan Palus

When the climate system is forced, e.g. by emission of greenhouse gases, it responds on multiple time scales. As temperatures rise, feedback processes might intensify or weaken. Current methods to analyze feedback strength, however, do not…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2021-11-03 Robbin Bastiaansen , Henk A. Dijkstra , Anna S. von der Heydt

The problem of Time-series Forecasting is generally addressed by recurrent, Transformer-based and the recently proposed Mamba-based architectures. However, existing architectures generally process their input at a single temporal scale,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-06 Yusuf Meric Karadag , Ismail Talaz , Ipek Gursel Dino , Sinan Kalkan

Network science investigates the architecture of complex systems to understand their functional and dynamical properties. Structural patterns such as communities shape diffusive processes on networks. However, these results hold under the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-06-26 Jean-Charles Delvenne , Renaud Lambiotte , Luis E. C. Rocha

Physics-based climate projections using general circulation models are essential for assessing future risks, but their coarse resolution limits regional decision-making. Statistical downscaling can efficiently add detail, yet many methods…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-05-13 Takuro Kutsuna , Noriko N. Ishizaki , Norihiro Oyama , Hiroaki Yoshida

In this paper, we propose a method that extends the persistence-based topological data analysis (TDA) that is typically used for characterizing shapes to general networks. We introduce the concept of the community tree, a tree structure…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2022-04-08 Wei Guo , Ruqian Chen , Yen-Chi Chen , Ashis G. Banerjee