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The Growth-at-Risk (GaR) framework has garnered attention in recent econometric literature, yet current approaches implicitly assume a constant Pareto exponent. We introduce novel and robust econometrics to estimate the tails of GaR based…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-03-16 Tobias Adrian , Yuya Sasaki , Yulong Wang

Recently, there has been a growing need in analyzing data on manifolds owing to their important role in diverse fields of science and engineering. In the literature of manifold-valued data analysis up till now, however, only a few works…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-01-29 Hwiyoung Lee

This paper deals with the parametric inference for integrated signals embedded in an additive Gaussian noise and observed at deterministic discrete instants which are not necessarily equidistant. The unknown parameter is multidimensional…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-03-18 Dominique Dehay , Khalil El Waled , Vincent Monsan

Estimating a high-dimensional sparse covariance matrix from a limited number of samples is a fundamental problem in contemporary data analysis. Most proposals to date, however, are not robust to outliers or heavy tails. Towards bridging…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-08-04 John Goes , Gilad Lerman , Boaz Nadler

We study the fundamental problem of high-dimensional mean estimation in a robust model where a constant fraction of the samples are adversarially corrupted. Recent work gave the first polynomial time algorithms for this problem with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-11-26 Yu Cheng , Ilias Diakonikolas , Rong Ge

This paper develops robust inference methods for predictive regressions that address key challenges posed by endogenously persistent or heavy-tailed regressors, as well as persistent volatility in errors. Building on the Cauchy estimation…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-04-21 Rustam Ibragimov , Jihyun Kim , Anton Skrobotov

This paper presents a robust version of the stratified sampling method when multiple uncertain input models are considered for stochastic simulation. Various variance reduction techniques have demonstrated their superior performance in…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-06-16 Seung Min Baik , Eunshin Byon , Young Myoung Ko

In many settings, robust data analysis involves computational methods for uncertainty quantification and statistical inference. To design frequentist studies that leverage robust analysis methods, suitable sample sizes to achieve desired…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-19 Luke Hagar , Andrew J. Martin

Robust estimators, like the median of a point set, are important for data analysis in the presence of outliers. We study robust estimators for locationally uncertain points with discrete distributions. That is, each point in a data set has…

Discrete Mathematics · Computer Science 2018-03-14 Kevin Buchin , Jeff M. Phillips , Pingfan Tang

In this paper, we propose a uniformly dithered 1-bit quantization scheme for high-dimensional statistical estimation. The scheme contains truncation, dithering, and quantization as typical steps. As canonical examples, the quantization…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-01-23 Junren Chen , Cheng-Long Wang , Michael K. Ng , Di Wang

As the most fundamental problem in statistics, robust location estimation has many prominent solutions, such as the trimmed mean, Winsorized mean, Hodges Lehmann estimator, Huber M estimator, and median of means. Recent studies suggest that…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-09-12 Li Tuobang

We propose and analyze a new estimator of the covariance matrix that admits strong theoretical guarantees under weak assumptions on the underlying distribution, such as existence of moments of only low order. While estimation of covariance…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-01-17 Stanislav Minsker , Xiaohan Wei

Real-world data is laden with outlying values. The challenge for machine learning is that the learner typically has no prior knowledge of whether the feedback it receives (losses, gradients, etc.) will be heavy-tailed or not. In this work,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-12-16 Matthew J. Holland

We introduce a novel class of Bayesian mixtures for normal linear regression models which incorporates a further Gaussian random component for the distribution of the predictor variables. The proposed cluster-weighted model aims to…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-26 Panagiotis Papastamoulis , Konstantinos Perrakis

Bayesian networks are one of the most widely used classes of probabilistic models for risk management and decision support because of their interpretability and flexibility in including heterogeneous pieces of information. In any applied…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-08 Manuele Leonelli , Jim Q. Smith , Sophia K. Wright

We benchmark the robustness of maximum likelihood based uncertainty estimation methods to outliers in training data for regression tasks. Outliers or noisy labels in training data results in degraded performances as well as incorrect…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-09 Deebul S. Nair , Nico Hochgeschwender , Miguel A. Olivares-Mendez

Cellwise outliers are likely to occur together with casewise outliers in modern data sets with relatively large dimension. Recent work has shown that traditional robust regression methods may fail for data sets in this paradigm. The…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-12-28 Andy Leung , Hongyang Zhang , Ruben H. Zamar

Penalized logistic regression is extremely useful for binary classification with large number of covariates (higher than the sample size), having several real life applications, including genomic disease classification. However, the…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-10 Ayanendranath Basu , Abhik Ghosh , María Jaenada , Leandro Pardo

Remote sensing hyperspectral sensors collect large volumes of high dimensional spectral and spatial data. However, due to spectral and spatial redundancy the true hyperspectral signal lies on a subspace of much lower dimension than the…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2016-11-17 Behnood Rasti , Magnus O. Ulfarsson , Johannes R. Sveinsson

We study the problem of robustly estimating the mean of a $d$-dimensional distribution given $N$ examples, where most coordinates of every example may be missing and $\varepsilon N$ examples may be arbitrarily corrupted. Assuming each…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2021-05-04 Lunjia Hu , Omer Reingold
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