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We introduce a novel modeling approach for time series imputation and forecasting, tailored to address the challenges often encountered in real-world data, such as irregular samples, missing data, or unaligned measurements from multiple…

When modelling time series, it is common to decompose observed variation into a "signal" process, the process of interest, and "noise", representing nuisance factors that obfuscate the signal. To separate signal from noise, assumptions must…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-11-11 Richard Creswell , Ben Lambert , Chon Lok Lei , Martin Robinson , David Gavaghan

Interpretable classification of time series presents significant challenges in high dimensions. Traditional feature selection methods in the frequency domain often assume sparsity in spectral density matrices (SDMs) or their inverses, which…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-08-19 Sarbojit Roy , Malik Shahid Sultan , Hernando Ombao

In this paper, we study the problem of locating a predefined sequence of patterns in a time series. In particular, the studied scenario assumes a theoretical model is available that contains the expected locations of the patterns. This…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-02-20 Steven Van Vaerenbergh , Ignacio Santamaria , Victor Elvira , Matteo Salvatori

Using a proper model to characterize a time series is crucial in making accurate predictions. In this work we use time-varying autoregressive process (TVAR) to describe non-stationary time series and model it as a mixture of multiple stable…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-11-17 Jie Ding , Mohammad Noshad , Vahid Tarokh

Recent state-of-the-art forecasting methods are trained on collections of time series. These methods, often referred to as global models, can capture common patterns in different time series to improve their generalization performance.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-30 Vitor Cerqueira , Nuno Moniz , Ricardo Inácio , Carlos Soares

Imagine generating a city's electricity demand pattern based on weather, the presence of an electric vehicle, and location, which could be used for capacity planning during a winter freeze. Such real-world time series are often enriched…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-31 Sai Shankar Narasimhan , Shubhankar Agarwal , Oguzhan Akcin , Sujay Sanghavi , Sandeep Chinchali

The performance of fault localization techniques is critical to their adoption in practice. This paper reports on an empirical study of a wide range of fault localization techniques on real-world faults. Different from previous studies,…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2019-01-08 Daming Zou , Jingjing Liang , Yingfei Xiong , Michael D. Ernst , Lu Zhang

Time Series Classification and Extrinsic Regression are important and challenging machine learning tasks. Deep learning has revolutionized natural language processing and computer vision and holds great promise in other fields such as time…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-21 Navid Mohammadi Foumani , Lynn Miller , Chang Wei Tan , Geoffrey I. Webb , Germain Forestier , Mahsa Salehi

Clock synchronization is a necessary component in modern distributed systems, especially Wirless Sensor Networks (WSNs). Despite the great effort and the numerous improvements, the existing synchronization schemes do not yet address the…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2018-08-20 Federico Terraneo , Alberto Leva , Silvano Seva , Martina Maggio , Alessandro Vittorio Papadopoulos

The wave properties of complex scattering systems that are large compared to the wavelength, and show chaos in the classical limit, are extremely sensitive to system details. A solution to the wave equation for a specific configuration can…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2019-12-24 Shukai Ma , Bo Xiao , Ron Hong , Bisrat Addissie , Zachary Drikas , Thomas Antonsen , Edward Ott , Steven Anlage

Nonlinear dynamical systems are ubiquitous in nature and they are hard to forecast. Not only they may be sensitive to small perturbations in their initial conditions, but they are often composed of processes acting at multiple scales.…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2025-10-06 Chenyu Dong , Davide Faranda , Adriano Gualandi , Valerio Lucarini , Gianmarco Mengaldo

Faults in HVAC systems degrade thermal comfort and energy efficiency in buildings and have received significant attention from the research community, with data driven methods gaining in popularity. Yet the lack of labeled data, such as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-02-05 Chase P. Dowling , Baosen Zhang

Time series forecasting (TSF) is an essential branch of machine learning with various applications. Most methods for TSF focus on constructing different networks to extract better information and improve performance. However, practical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-19 Yanru Sun , Zongxia Xie , Haoyu Xing , Hualong Yu , Qinghua Hu

In many applications, accurate class probability estimates are required, but many types of models produce poor quality probability estimates despite achieving acceptable classification accuracy. Even though probability calibration has been…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-02-18 Tim Leathart , Maksymilian Polaczuk

With the prevalence of sensor failures, imputation, the process of estimating missing values, has emerged as the cornerstone of time series data pre-processing. While numerous imputation algorithms have been developed to repair these data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-23 Quentin Nater , Mourad Khayati

The growing popularity of wearable sensors has generated large quantities of temporal physiological and activity data. Ability to analyze this data offers new opportunities for real-time health monitoring and forecasting. However, temporal…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-06-02 Nazgol Tavabi , Kristina Lerman

A technique is introduced for estimating unknown parameters when time series of only one variable from a multivariate nonlinear dynamical system is given. The technique employs a combination of two different control methods, a linear…

chao-dyn · Physics 2009-10-31 Anil Maybhate , R. E. Amritkar

The paper presents a comparative study of the performance of Back Propagation and Instance Based Learning Algorithm for classification tasks. The study is carried out by a series of experiments will all possible combinations of parameter…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-04-20 Nadia Kanwal , Erkan Bostanci

The integrity of time series data in smart grids is often compromised by missing values due to sensor failures, transmission errors, or disruptions. Gaps in smart meter data can bias consumption analyses and hinder reliable predictions,…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-02-21 Amir Sartipi , Joaquín Delgado Fernández , Sergio Potenciano Menci , Alessio Magitteri