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Inferring the processes underlying the emergence of observed patterns is a key challenge in theoretical ecology. Much effort has been made in the past decades to collect extensive and detailed information about the spatial distribution of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-01-21 P. Villegas , A. Cavagna , M. Cencini , H. Fort , T. S. Grigera

Understanding and forecasting precipitation events in the Arctic maritime environments, such as Bear Island and Ny-{\AA}lesund, is crucial for assessing climate risk and developing early warning systems in vulnerable marine regions. This…

A new stochastic control problem of population dynamics under partial observation is formulated and analyzed both mathematically and numerically, with an emphasis on environmental and ecological problems. The decision-maker can only…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-04-13 Hidekazu Yoshioka , Yuta Yaegashi , Motoh Tsujimura

The scarcity of water characterising drylands forces vegetation to adopt appropriate survival strategies. Some of these generate water-vegetation feedback mechanisms that can lead to spatial self-organisation of vegetation, as it has been…

Biological Physics · Physics 2013-08-30 John Realpe-Gomez , Mara Baudena , Tobias Galla , Alan J. McKane , Max Rietkerk

Spatial documentation is exponentially increasing given the availability of Big IoT Data, enabled by the devices miniaturization and data storage capacity. Bayesian spatial statistics is a useful statistical tool to determine the dependence…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-10-01 Francisco Louzada , Diego C. Nascimento , Osafu Augustine Egbon

There is mounting empirical evidence that many communities of living organisms display key features which closely resemble those of physical systems at criticality. We here introduce a minimal model framework for the dynamics of a community…

Biological Physics · Physics 2020-02-17 Fabio Peruzzo , Mauro Mobilia , Sandro Azaele

Previously, we developed a population model incorporating the Allee effect and periodic environmental fluctuations, in which organisms alternate between nomadic and colonial behaviours. This switching strategy is regulated by biological…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-01-24 Jin Ming Koh , Kang Hao Cheong

In 2016 the British government acknowledged the importance of reducing antimicrobial prescriptions in order to avoid the long-term harmful effects of over-prescription. Prescription needs are highly dependent on factors that have a…

Applications · Statistics 2021-09-14 Antonia Gieschen , Jake Ansell , Raffaella Calabrese , Belen Martin-Barragan

1. Spatial memory plays a role in the way animals perceive their environments, resulting in memory-informed movement patterns that are observable to ecologists. Developing mathematical techniques to understand how animals use memory in…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2022-02-17 Peter R. Thompson , Andrew E. Derocher , Mark A. Edwards , Mark A. Lewis

Spatial reciprocity is a well known tour de force of cooperation promotion. A thorough understanding of the effects of different population densities is therefore crucial. Here we study the evolution of cooperation in social dilemmas on…

Physics and Society · Physics 2012-05-14 Zhen Wang , Attila Szolnoki , Matjaz Perc

Swarming is a conspicuous behavioural trait observed in bird flocks, fish shoals, insect swarms and mammal herds. It is thought to improve collective awareness and offer protection from predators. Many current models involve the hypothesis…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2015-06-22 Daniel J. G. Pearce , A. M. Miller , George Rowlands , Matthew S. Turner

Climate models have become an important tool in the study of climate and climate change, and ensemble experiments consisting of multiple climate-model runs are used in studying and quantifying the uncertainty in climate-model output.…

Applications · Statistics 2011-04-15 Stephan R. Sain , Reinhard Furrer , Noel Cressie

Spatial statistics is concerned with the analysis of data that have spatial locations associated with them, and those locations are used to model statistical dependence between the data. The spatial data are treated as a single realisation…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-02-09 Noel Cressie , Matthew Sainsbury-Dale , Andrew Zammit-Mangion

Stochastic methods are a crucial area in contemporary climate research and are increasingly being used in comprehensive weather and climate prediction models as well as reduced order climate models. Stochastic methods are used as…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-11-16 Christian L. E. Franzke , Terence J. O'Kane , Judith Berner , Paul D. Williams , Valerio Lucarini

We study the influence of spatially varying reaction rates on a spatial stochastic two-species Lotka-Volterra lattice model for predator-prey interactions using two-dimensional Monte Carlo simulations. The effects of this quenched…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-18 Ulrich Dobramysl , Uwe C. Tauber

The enigmatic stability of population oscillations within ecological systems is analyzed. The underlying mechanism is presented in the framework of two interacting species free to migrate between two spatial patches. It is shown that that…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2015-06-25 Refael Abta , Marcello Schiffer , Nadav M. Shnerb

Over the last few decades, ecologists have come to appreciate that key ecological patterns, which describe ecological communities at relatively large spatial scales, are not only scale dependent, but also intimately intertwined. The…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2016-09-13 Fabio Peruzzo , Sandro Azaele

In the era of climate change, the distribution of climate variables evolves with changes not limited to the mean value. Consequently, clustering algorithms based on central tendency could produce misleading results when used to summarize…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-19 Carlo Gaetan , Paolo Girardi , Victor Muthama Musau

We propose a data-driven framework to simplify the description of spatiotemporal climate variability into few entities and their causal linkages. Given a high-dimensional climate field, the methodology first reduces its dimensionality into…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-04-08 Fabrizio Falasca , Pavel Perezhogin , Laure Zanna

We describe a challenging robotics deployment in a complex ecosystem to monitor a rich plant community. The study site is dominated by dynamic grassland vegetation and is thus visually ambiguous and liable to drastic appearance change over…