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In the field of uncertainty quantification, sparse polynomial chaos (PC) expansions are commonly used by researchers for a variety of purposes, such as surrogate modeling. Ideas from compressed sensing may be employed to exploit this…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-05-09 Paul Diaz , Alireza Doostan , Jerrad Hampton

Deep neural networks have been shown to be highly miscalibrated. often they tend to be overconfident in their predictions. It poses a significant challenge for safety-critical systems to utilise deep neural networks (DNNs), reliably. Many…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-05 Aditya Singh , Alessandro Bay , Biswa Sengupta , Andrea Mirabile

The polynomial chaos (PC) expansion has been widely used as a surrogate model in the Bayesian inference to speed up the Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) calculations. However, the use of a PC surrogate introduces the modeling error, that may…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-02-20 Liang Yan , Tao Zhou

Compressive sampling has been widely used for sparse polynomial chaos (PC) approximation of stochastic functions. The recovery accuracy of compressive sampling highly depends on the incoherence properties of the measurement matrix. In this…

Computation · Statistics 2018-10-17 Negin Alemazkoor , Hadi Meidani

Confidence calibration - the process to calibrate the output probability distribution of neural networks - is essential for safety-critical applications of such networks. Recent works verify the link between mis-calibration and overfitting.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-24 Linwei Tao , Minjing Dong , Daochang Liu , Changming Sun , Chang Xu

In recent years we have witnessed a growing interest in various non-equilibrium systems described in terms of stochastic non-linear field theories. In some of those systems like the KPZ and related models, the interesting behavior is in the…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2008-04-21 Moshe Schwartz , Eytan Katzav

Backpropagation (BP) is the standard algorithm for training the deep neural networks that power modern artificial intelligence including large language models. However, BP is energy inefficient and unlikely to be implemented by the brain.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-30 Francesco Innocenti

This work is directed to uncertainty quantification of homogenized effective properties for composite materials with complex, three dimensional microstructure. The uncertainties arise in the material parameters of the single constituents as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-27 Alexander Henkes , Ismail Caylak , Rolf Mahnken

Counterfactual explanations (CEs) offer interpretable insights into machine learning predictions by answering ``what if?" questions. However, in real-world settings where models are frequently updated, existing counterfactual explanations…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-12 Jamie Duell , Xiuyi Fan

The Cluster Expansion (CE) Method encounters significant computational challenges in multicomponent systems due to the computational expense of generating training data through density functional theory (DFT) calculations. This work aims to…

Materials Science · Physics 2024-12-10 Guillermo Vazquez , Daniel Sauceda , Raymundo Arróyave

A novel approach to approximate solutions of Stochastic Differential Equations (SDEs) by Deep Neural Networks is derived and analysed. The architecture is inspired by the notion of Deep Operator Networks (DeepONets), which is based on…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-12-23 Martin Eigel , Charles Miranda

Many parametric statistical models are not properly normalised and only specified up to an intractable partition function, which renders parameter estimation difficult. Examples of unnormalised models are Gibbs distributions, Markov random…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-06-12 Ciwan Ceylan , Michael U. Gutmann

This paper addresses the Bayesian calibration of dynamic models with parametric and structural uncertainties, in particular where the uncertain parameters are unknown/poorly known spatio-temporally varying subsystem models. Independent…

Computation · Statistics 2012-11-02 Piyush Tagade , Han-Lim Choi

Constructing surrogate models for uncertainty quantification (UQ) on complex partial differential equations (PDEs) having inherently high-dimensional $\mathcal{O}(10^{\ge 2})$ stochastic inputs (e.g., forcing terms, boundary conditions,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-27 Katiana Kontolati , Dimitrios Loukrezis , Dimitris G. Giovanis , Lohit Vandanapu , Michael D. Shields

Recent research has highlighted a critical issue known as ``robust fairness", where robust accuracy varies significantly across different classes, undermining the reliability of deep neural networks (DNNs). A common approach to address this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-24 Gaojie Jin , Sihao Wu , Jiaxu Liu , Tianjin Huang , Ronghui Mu

Sequential propagation of chaos (SPoC) is a recently developed tool to solve mean-field stochastic differential equations and their related nonlinear Fokker-Planck equations. Based on the theory of SPoC, we present a new method (deepSPoC)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-30 Kai Du , Yongle Xie , Tao Zhou , Yuancheng Zhou

We present a new approach for constructing a data-driven surrogate model and using it for Bayesian parameter estimation in partial differential equation (PDE) models. We first use parameter observations and Gaussian Process regression to…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-07-15 Jing Li , Alexandre M Tartakovsky

Polynomial chaos expansion is a popular way to develop surrogate models for stochastic systems with arbitrary random variables. Standard techniques such as Galerkin projection, stochastic collocation, and least squares approximation, are…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-09-10 Vedang M. Deshpande , Raktim Bhattacharya

Counterfactual Explanations (CEs) have received increasing interest as a major methodology for explaining neural network classifiers. Usually, CEs for an input-output pair are defined as data points with minimum distance to the input that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-05 Junqi Jiang , Jianglin Lan , Francesco Leofante , Antonio Rago , Francesca Toni

Presence of a high-dimensional stochastic parameter space with discontinuities poses major computational challenges in analyzing and quantifying the effects of the uncertainties in a physical system. In this paper, we propose a stochastic…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-08-01 Anindya Bhaduri , Yanyan He , Michael D. Shields , Lori Graham-Brady , Robert M. Kirby
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