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In classic Kelly gambling, bets are chosen to maximize the expected log growth of wealth, under a known probability distribution. Breiman provides rigorous mathematical proofs that Kelly strategy maximizes the rate of asset growth…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-06-11 Qingyun Sun , Stephen Boyd

Wasserstein distributionally robust control (DRC) recently emerges as a principled paradigm for handling uncertainty in stochastic dynamical systems. However, it constructs data-driven ambiguity sets via uniform distribution shifts before…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-10-14 Jingyi Wu , Chao Ning , Yang Shi

Portfolio optimization is a critical task in investment. Most existing portfolio optimization methods require information on the distribution of returns of the assets that make up the portfolio. However, such distribution information is…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-10-09 Masahiro Kato , Kentaro Baba , Hibiki Kaibuchi , Ryo Inokuchi

In the ever-changing and intricate landscape of financial markets, portfolio optimisation remains a formidable challenge for investors and asset managers. Conventional methods often struggle to capture the complex dynamics of market…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-10-09 Himanshu Choudhary , Arishi Orra , Manoj Thakur

Portfolio selection is the central task for assets management, but it turns out to be very challenging. Methods based on pattern matching, particularly the CORN-K algorithm, have achieved promising performance on several stock markets. A…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2018-03-01 Yang Wang , Dong Wang , Yaodong Wang , You Zhang

Intensively studied in theory as a promising data-driven tool for decision-making under ambiguity, two-stage distributionally robust optimization (DRO) problems over Wasserstein balls are not necessarily easy to solve in practice. This is…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-01-03 Youngchae Cho , Insoon Yang

Neural networks are vulnerable to adversarial examples and researchers have proposed many heuristic attack and defense mechanisms. We address this problem through the principled lens of distributionally robust optimization, which guarantees…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-05-04 Aman Sinha , Hongseok Namkoong , Riccardo Volpi , John Duchi

A common goal in statistics and machine learning is to learn models that can perform well against distributional shifts, such as latent heterogeneous subpopulations, unknown covariate shifts, or unmodeled temporal effects. We develop and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-07-21 John Duchi , Hongseok Namkoong

Portfolio diversification is a cornerstone of modern finance, while risk aversion is central to decision theory; both concepts are long-standing and foundational. We investigate their connections by studying how different forms of…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2026-03-26 Xiangxin He , Fangda Liu , Ruodu Wang

This paper studies Markov Decision Processes under parameter uncertainty. We adapt the distributionally robust optimization framework, and assume that the uncertain parameters are random variables following an unknown distribution, and…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2015-05-14 Pengqian Yu , Huan Xu

This paper studies a distributionally robust chance constrained program (DRCCP) with Wasserstein ambiguity set, where the uncertain constraints should be satisfied with a probability at least a given threshold for all the probability…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-02-17 Weijun Xie

Graphs are playing a crucial role in different fields since they are powerful tools to unveil intrinsic relationships among signals. In many scenarios, an accurate graph structure representing signals is not available at all and that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-14 Xiang Zhang , Yinfei Xu , Qinghe Liu , Zhicheng Liu , Jian Lu , Qiao Wang

Consider an investor trading dynamically to maximize expected utility from terminal wealth. Our aim is to study the dependence between her risk aversion and the distribution of the optimal terminal payoff. Economic intuition suggests that…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2011-09-15 Mathias Beiglboeck , Johannes Muhle-Karbe , Johannes Temme

We investigate the Distributionally Robust Regret-Optimal (DR-RO) control of discrete-time linear dynamical systems with quadratic cost over an infinite horizon. Regret is the difference in cost obtained by a causal controller and a…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-01-01 Taylan Kargin , Joudi Hajar , Vikrant Malik , Babak Hassibi

Building on a recent framework for distributionally robust optimization, we consider estimation of the inverse covariance matrix for multivariate data. We provide a novel notion of a Wasserstein ambiguity set specifically tailored to this…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-10-08 Pedro Cisneros-Velarde , Sang-Yun Oh , Alexander Petersen

Safely deploying robots in uncertain and dynamic environments requires a systematic accounting of various risks, both within and across layers in an autonomy stack from perception to motion planning and control. Many widely used motion…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-02-10 Venkatraman Renganathan , Iman Shames , Tyler H. Summers

Robustness to adversarial attacks is an important concern due to the fragility of deep neural networks to small perturbations and has received an abundance of attention in recent years. Distributionally Robust Optimization (DRO), a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-09 Hisham Husain

We consider a two-stage distributionally robust optimization (DRO) model with multimodal uncertainty, where both the mode probabilities and uncertainty distributions could be affected by the first-stage decisions. To address this setting,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-02-03 Xian Yu , Beste Basciftci

Real-world applications require RL algorithms to act safely. During learning process, it is likely that the agent executes sub-optimal actions that may lead to unsafe/poor states of the system. Exploration is particularly brittle in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-06-17 Elena Smirnova , Elvis Dohmatob , Jérémie Mary

This paper considers a robust time-consistent mean-variance-skewness portfolio selection problem for an ambiguity-averse investor by taking into account wealth-dependent risk aversion and wealth-dependent skewness preference as well as…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-01-19 Jian-hao Kang , Nan-jing Huang , Zhihao Hu , Ben-Zhang Yang