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Related papers: A Risk-Driven Probabilistic Approach to Quantify R…

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In recent years, probabilistic forecasts techniques were proposed in research as well as in applications to integrate volatile renewable energy resources into the electrical grid. These techniques allow decision makers to take the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-10-30 Jens Schreiber , Bernhard Sick

This paper proposes a novel resilience index, a microgrid survivability rate (SR) under extreme events, and then proposes a novel Resilient Operational Planning (ROP) algorithm to maximize the proposed resilience index SR. The proposed ROP…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-06-17 Cunzhi Zhao , Jesus Silva-Rodriguez , Xingpeng Li

The objective of this study is to propose a system-level framework with quantitative measures to assess the resilience of road networks. The framework proposed in this paper can help transportation agencies incorporate resilience…

Resilience has emerged as a crucial concept for evaluating structural performance under disasters because of its ability to extend beyond traditional risk assessments, accounting for a system's ability to minimize disruptions and maintain…

Applications · Statistics 2024-04-23 Taeyong Kim , Sang-ri Yi

Security of supply is a common and important concern when integrating renewables in net-zero power systems. Extreme weather affects both demand and supply leading to power system stress; in Europe this stress spreads continentally beyond…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-08-08 Aleksander Grochowicz , Hannah C. Bloomfield , Marta Victoria

The focus of this paper is on operating the electric power grid in a secure manner when wildfire risks are high. This is a challenging problem because of the uncertain ways in which the fires can impact the operation of the power system. To…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-07-15 Satyaprajna Sahoo , Anamitra Pal

Wildfires pose an increasing threat to the safety and reliability of power systems, particularly in distribution networks located in fire-prone regions. To mitigate ignition risk from electrical infrastructure, utilities often employ safety…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-09 Xinyi Zhao , Prasanna Raut , Chaoyue Zhao , Alexandre Moreira

Sustainability aspects of transportation infrastructure systems primarily focus on system performance based on environmental, social, and economic impacts. In contrast, resilience aspects demonstrate the ability to withstand external shocks…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-08-23 H M Imran Kays , Arif Mohaimin Sadri

Resilience broadly describes a quality of withstanding perturbations. Measures of system resilience have gathered increasing attention across applied disciplines, yet existing metrics often lack computational accessibility and…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2026-02-09 Andreas Morr , Christian Kuehn , George Datseris

The interaction between extreme weather events and interdependent critical infrastructure systems involves complex spatiotemporal dynamics. Multi-type emergency decisions within energy-transportation infrastructures significantly influence…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-26 Jiawei Wang , Qinglai Guo , Haotian Zhao , Bin Wang , Hongbin Sun

Recently a likelihood-based methodology has been developed by the Collaboratory for the Study of Earthquake Predictability (CSEP) with a view to testing and ranking seismicity models. We analyze this approach from the standpoint of possible…

Geophysics · Physics 2011-08-19 George Molchan

The growing amount of fluctuating renewable infeeds and market liberalization increases uncertainty in power system operation. To capture the influence of fluctuations in operational planning, we model the forecast errors of the uncertain…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-08-26 Line Roald , Frauke Oldewurtel , Bart Van Parys , Göran Andersson

Weather and environmental factors are verified to have played significant roles in historical major cascading outages and blackouts. Therefore, in the simulation and risk assessment of cascading outages in power systems, it is necessary to…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2017-05-05 Rui Yao , Kai Sun

This paper establishes a novel analytical approach to quantify robustness of scheduling and battery management for battery supported cyber-physical systems. A dynamic schedulability test is introduced to determine whether tasks are…

Emerging Technologies · Computer Science 2011-11-28 Fumin Zhang , Zhenwu Shi , Shayok Mukhopadhyay

The future energy system will largely depend on volatile renewable energy sources and temperature-dependent loads, which makes the weather a central influencing factor. This article presents a novel approach for simulating weather scenarios…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-05-31 Jan Peper , David Kröger , Jonathan Kipp , Florian Ziel , Christian Rehtanz

In safety-critical deep learning applications, robustness measures the ability of neural models that handle imperceptible perturbations in input data, which may lead to potential safety hazards. Existing pre-deployment robustness assessment…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-27 Wenchuan Mu , Kwan Hui Lim

This paper investigates the use of extreme value theory for modelling the distribution of demand-net-of-wind for capacity adequacy assessment. Extreme value theory approaches are well-established and mathematically justified methods for…

Applications · Statistics 2019-07-31 Amy L Wilson , Stan Zachary

This paper introduces a probabilistic framework to quantify community vulnerability towards power losses due to extreme weather events. To analyze the impact of weather events on the power grid, the wind fields of historical hurricanes from…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-11-28 Abodh Poudyal , Shishir Lamichhane , Charlotte Wertz , Sajjad Uddin Mahmud , Anamika Dubey

Networked power grid systems are susceptible to a phenomenon known as Coherent Swing Instability (CSI), in which a subset of machines in the grid lose synchrony with the rest of the network. We develop network level evaluation metrics to…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-05-24 Daniel Dylewsky , Xiu Yang , Alexandre Tartakovsky , J. Nathan Kutz

Power systems with high renewable energy penetration are highly influenced by weather conditions, often facing significant challenges such as persistent power shortages and severe power fluctuations over long time scales. This paper…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-07-01 Kai Kang , Feng Liu , Yifan Su , Zhaojian Wang
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