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Multiple instance learning (MIL) is concerned with learning from sets (bags) of objects (instances), where the individual instance labels are ambiguous. In this setting, supervised learning cannot be applied directly. Often, specialized MIL…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-12-04 Veronika Cheplygina , David M. J. Tax , Marco Loog

We conduct a post hoc analysis of solar flare predictions made by a Long Short Term Memory (LSTM) model employing data in the form of Space-weather HMI Active Region Patches (SHARP) parameters calculated from data in proximity to the…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2020-03-11 Hu Sun , Ward Manchester , Zhenbang Jiao , Xiantong Wang , Yang Chen

Ways to give medium- and short-term predictions of solar flares are proposed according to the statistical analysis of events during solar cycle 23. On one hand, the time distribution of both C and M class flares shows two main periods of…

Astrophysics · Physics 2008-11-17 Z. Q. Qu

Spectroscopic observations of solar flares provide critical diagnostics of the physical conditions in the flaring atmosphere. Some key features in observed spectra have not yet been accounted for in existing flare models. Here we report a…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2016-08-16 Fatima Rubio da Costa , Lucia Kleint , Vahé Petrosian , Wei Liu , Joel C. Allred

The precise physical process that triggers solar flares is not currently understood. Here we attempt to capture the signature of this mechanism in solar image data of various wavelengths and use these signatures to predict flaring activity.…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2018-03-14 Eric Jonas , Monica G. Bobra , Vaishaal Shankar , J. Todd Hoeksema , Benjamin Recht

This study aims to evaluate the performance of deep learning models in predicting $\geq$M-class solar flares with a prediction window of 24 hours, using hourly sampled full-disk line-of-sight (LoS) magnetogram images, particularly focusing…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2024-06-18 Chetraj Pandey , Rafal A. Angryk , Berkay Aydin

Accurate solar flare prediction is crucial due to the significant risks that intense solar flares pose to astronauts, space equipment, and satellite communication systems. Our research enhances solar flare prediction by utilizing advanced…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2024-09-24 MohammadReza EskandariNasab , Shah Muhammad Hamdi , Soukaina Filali Boubrahimi

In recent years, there has been a rapid growth in the application of machine learning techniques that leverage aviation data collected from commercial airline operations to improve safety. Anomaly detection and predictive maintenance have…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-03-11 Marc-Henri Bleu-Laine , Tejas G. Puranik , Dimitri N. Mavris , Bryan Matthews

Solar flares occur in complex sunspot groups, but it remains unclear how the probability of producing a flare of a given magnitude relates to the characteristics of the sunspot group. Here, we use Geostationary Operational Environmental…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2012-02-28 D. Shaun Bloomfield , Paul A. Higgins , R. T. James McAteer , Peter T. Gallagher

The Interface Region Imaging Spectrograph(IRIS) with its high spatial and temporal resolution brings exceptional plasma diagnostics of solar chromospheric and coronal activity during magnetic reconnection. The aim of this work is to study…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2021-01-20 Reetika Joshi , Brigitte Schmieder , Akiko Tei , Guillaume Aulanier , Juraj Lörinčík , Ramesh Chandra , Petr Heinzel

This study explores the behavior of machine learning-based flare forecasting models deployed in a simulated operational environment. Using Georgia State University's Space Weather Analytics for Solar Flares benchmark dataset (Angryk et al.…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2024-02-09 Griffin T. Goodwin , Viacheslav M. Sadykov , Petrus C. Martens

We present the first rates of flares from M dwarf stars in both red optical and near infrared (NIR) filters. We have studied ~50,000 M dwarfs from the SDSS Stripe 82 area, and 1,321 M dwarfs from the 2MASS Calibration Scan Point Source…

When applying multi-instance learning (MIL) to make predictions for bags of instances, the prediction accuracy of an instance often depends on not only the instance itself but also its context in the corresponding bag. From the viewpoint of…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-04-25 Tiancheng Lin , Hongteng Xu , Canqian Yang , Yi Xu

The detection of induced pluripotent stem cell (iPSC) colonies often needs the precise extraction of the colony features. However, existing computerized systems relied on segmentation of contours by preprocessing for classifying the colony…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-03-10 Novanto Yudistira , Muthu Subash Kavitha , Jeny Rajan , Takio Kurita

The bulk of the radiative output of a solar flare is emitted from the chromosphere, which produces enhancements in the optical and UV continuum, and in many lines, both optically thick and thin. We have, until very recently, lacked…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2015-10-07 Graham S. Kerr , Paulo J. A. Simões , Jiong Qiu , Lyndsay Fletcher

Understanding how energy is released in flares is one of the central problems of solar and stellar astrophysics. Observations of high temperature flare plasma hold many potential clues as to the nature of this energy release. It is clear,…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2020-05-27 Jeffrey W. Reep , Harry P. Warren , Christopher S. Moore , Crisel Suarez , Laura A. Hayes

We develop a mixed Long Short Term Memory (LSTM) regression model to predict the maximum solar flare intensity within a 24-hour time window 0$\sim$24, 6$\sim$30, 12$\sim$36 and 24$\sim$48 hours ahead of time using 6, 12, 24 and 48 hours of…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2020-08-26 Zhenbang Jiao , Hu Sun , Xiantong Wang , Ward Manchester , Tamas Gombosi , Alfred Hero , Yang Chen

We present a case study of solar flare forecasting by means of metadata feature time series, by treating it as a prominent class-imbalance and temporally coherent problem. Taking full advantage of pre-flare time series in solar active…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2021-05-26 Azim Ahmadzadeh , Berkay Aydin , Manolis K. Georgoulis , Dustin J. Kempton , Sushant S. Mahajan , Rafal A. Angryk

Multiple Instance Learning (MIL) is widely used in medical imaging classification to reduce the labeling effort. While only bag labels are available for training, one typically seeks predictions at both bag and instance levels…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-11-19 Francisco M. Castro-Macías , Pablo Morales-Álvarez , Yunan Wu , Rafael Molina , Aggelos K. Katsaggelos

We attempt to forecast M-and X-class solar flares using a machine-learning algorithm, called Support Vector Machine (SVM), and four years of data from the Solar Dynamics Observatory's Helioseismic and Magnetic Imager, the first instrument…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2015-01-09 Monica G. Bobra , Sebastien Couvidat