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Battery-based energy storage has emerged as an enabling technology for a variety of grid energy optimizations, such as peak shaving and cost arbitrage. A key component of battery-driven peak shaving optimizations is peak forecasting, which…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-05-28 Akhil Soman , Amee Trivedi , David Irwin , Beka Kosanovic , Benjamin McDaniel , Prashant Shenoy

Power systems face increasing challenges in maintaining resource adequacy due to lower operating margins, rising renewable energy uncertainty, and demand variability. Forecasting the probability distribution of peak demand on shorter…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-10-28 Buyi Yu , Wenyuan Tang

In response to the increasing deployment of battery storage systems for cost reduction and grid stress mitigation, this study presents the development of a new real-time Markov decision process model to efficiently schedule battery systems…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-09-17 Hussein Sharadga , Ahmad Dawahdeh , Golbon Zakeri , Abdullah Hayajneh , Geoff Pritchard

The power system is undergoing rapid evolution with the roll-out of advanced metering infrastructure and local energy applications (e.g. electric vehicles) as well as the increasing penetration of intermittent renewable energy at both…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-08-04 Shuang Dai , Fanlin Meng , Hongsheng Dai , Qian Wang , Xizhong Chen

The prediction of electrical power in combined cycle power plants is a key challenge in the electrical power and energy systems field. This power output can vary depending on environmental variables, such as temperature, pressure, and…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-08-06 Jesus L. Lobo , Igor Ballesteros , Izaskun Oregi , Javier Del Ser

In this paper, we study the peak-aware energy scheduling problem using the competitive framework with machine learning prediction. With the uncertainty of energy demand as the fundamental challenge, the goal is to schedule the energy output…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2019-11-20 Russell Lee , Mohammad H. Hajiesmaili , Jian Li

Short-term forecasts of energy consumption are invaluable for the operation of energy systems, including low voltage electricity networks. However, network loads are challenging to predict when highly desegregated to small numbers of…

Applications · Statistics 2023-01-10 Ciaran Gilbert , Jethro Browell , Bruce Stephen

Electricity load forecasting for buildings and campuses is becoming increasingly important as the penetration of distributed energy resources (DERs) grows. Efficient operation and dispatch of DERs require reasonably accurate predictions of…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-12-20 Sakshi Mishra , Stephen M. Frank , Anya Petersen , Robert Buechler , Michelle Slovensky

This paper presents a coordinative demand charge mitigation (DCM) strategy for reducing electricity consumption during system peak periods. Available DCM resources include batteries, diesel generators, controllable loads, and conservation…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-02-02 Rongxing Hu , Kai Ye , Hyeonjin Kim , Hanpyo Lee , Ning Lu , Di Wu , PJ Rehm

Load forecasting at distribution networks is more challenging than load forecasting at transmission networks because its load pattern is more stochastic and unpredictable. To plan sufficient resources and estimate DER hosting capacity, it…

Applications · Statistics 2017-03-21 Hossein Sangrody , Ning Zhou , Xingye Qiao

We propose a novel machine learning approach for probabilistic forecasting of hourly day-ahead electricity prices. In contrast with the recent advances in data-rich probabilistic forecasting, which approximates distributions with few…

General Economics · Economics 2025-07-04 Jozef Barunik , Lubos Hanus

Meeting the ever-growing needs of the power grid requires constant infrastructure enhancement. There are two important aspects for a grid ability to ensure continuous and reliable electricity delivery to consumers: capacity, the maximum…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-07-08 Rene Carmona , Xinshuo Yang , Claire Zeng

Electrified heating systems with thermal storage, such as electric boilers and heat pumps, represent a major source of demand-side flexibility. Under current electricity market designs, balance responsible parties (BRPs) operating such…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-02-20 Alessandro Quattrociocchi , Manisha Talukdar , Pere Izquierdo Gómez , Tomislav Dragicevic

In the context of smart grids and load balancing, daily peak load forecasting has become a critical activity for stakeholders of the energy industry. An understanding of peak magnitude and timing is paramount for the implementation of smart…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-10 Yvenn Amara-Ouali , Matteo Fasiolo , Yannig Goude , Hui Yan

Deep Learning is applied to energy markets to predict extreme loads observed in energy grids. Forecasting energy loads and prices is challenging due to sharp peaks and troughs that arise due to supply and demand fluctuations from intraday…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-04-11 Michael Polson , Vadim Sokolov

Energy storage is a key enabler towards a low-emission electricity system, but requires appropriate dispatch models to be economically coordinated with other generation resources in bulk power systems. This paper analyzes how different…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-07-26 Ningkun Zheng , Bolun Xu

With the growing popularity of electric vehicles as a means of addressing climate change, concerns have emerged regarding their impact on electric grid management. As a result, predicting EV charging demand has become a timely and important…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-01 Iason Kyriakopoulos , Yannis Theodoridis

The smart metering infrastructure has changed how electricity is measured in both residential and industrial application. The large amount of data collected by smart meter per day provides a huge potential for analytics to support the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-05-31 Nameer Al Khafaf , Mahdi Jalili , Peter Sokolowski

We study operations of a battery energy storage system under a baseline-based demand response (DR) program with an uncertain schedule of DR events. Baseline-based DR programs may provide undesired incentives to inflate baseline consumption…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-09-30 Douglas Ellman , Yuanzhang Xiao

Urban wastewater sector is being pushed to optimize processes in order to reduce energy consumption without compromising its quality standards. Energy costs can represent a significant share of the global operational costs (between 50% and…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2019-05-14 Jorge Filipe , Ricardo J. Bessa , Marisa Reis , Rita Alves , Pedro Póvoa
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