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Inferring a diffusion equation from discretely-observed measurements is a statistical challenge of significant importance in a variety of fields, from single-molecule tracking in biophysical systems to modeling financial instruments.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-12-12 Yinuo Ren , Yiping Lu , Lexing Ying , Grant M. Rotskoff

Given observations from a circular random variable contaminated by an additive measurement error, we consider the problem of minimax optimal goodness-of-fit testing in a non-asymptotic framework. We propose direct and indirect testing…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-07-14 Sandra Schluttenhofer , Jan Johannes

We investigate the problem of the rate of convergence to equilibrium for ergodic stochastic differential equations driven by fractional Brownian motion with Hurst parameter $H\in (1/3,1)$ and multiplicative noise component $\sigma$. When…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-10-05 Aurélien Deya , Fabien Panloup , Samy Tindel

We study pathwise approximation of scalar stochastic differential equations at a single point. We provide the exact rate of convergence of the minimal errors that can be achieved by arbitrary numerical methods that are based (in a…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Thomas Muller-Gronbach

Sub-fractional Brownian motion is a process analogous to fractional Brownian motion but without stationary increments. In \cite{GGL1} we proved a strong uniform approximation with a rate of convergence for fractional Brownian motion by…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-02-09 Johanna Garzon , Luis G. Gorostiza , Jorge A. Leon

We consider parametric hypotheses testing for multidimensional ergodic diffusion processes observed at discrete time. We propose a family of test statistics, related to the so called $\phi$-divergence measures. By taking into account the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-11-14 Alessandro De Gregorio , Stefano Iacus

We derive the strong consistency of the least squares estimator for the drift coefficient of a fractional stochastic differential system. The drift coeffcient is one-sided dissipative Lipschitz and the driving noise is additive and…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-03-06 Yaozhong Hu , David Nualart , Hongjuan Zhou

We investigate the problem of joint statistical estimation of several parameters for a stochastic differential equation driven by an additive fractional Brownian motion. Based on discrete-time observations of the model, we construct an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-06-10 El Mehdi Haress , Alexandre Richard

We analyze the effect of additive fractional noise with Hurst parameter $H > \frac{1}{2}$ on fast-slow systems. Our strategy is based on sample paths estimates, similar to the approach by Berglund and Gentz in the Brownian motion case. Yet,…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-02-19 Katharina Eichinger , Christian Kuehn , Alexandra Neamtu

We present a method to infer the arbitrary space-dependent drift and diffusion of a nonlinear stochastic model driven by multiplicative fractional Gaussian noise from a single trajectory. Our method, fractional Onsager-Machlup optimisation…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2023-11-07 Johannes A. Kassel , Benjamin Walter , Holger Kantz

An ordinary differential equation perturbed by a null-recurrent diffusion will be considered in the case where the averaging type perturbation is strong only when a fast motion is close to the origin. The normal deviations of these…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-08-24 Zsolt Pajor-Gyulai , Michael Salins

In this article, we consider a jump diffusion process (X_t)observed at discrete times t=0,Delta,...,nDelta. The sampling interval Delta tends to 0 and nDelta tends to infinity. We assume that (X_t) is ergodic, strictly stationary and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-09-27 Emeline Schmisser

Fractional Brownian motion, a Gaussian non-Markovian self-similar process with stationary long-correlated increments, has been identified to give rise to the anomalous diffusion behavior in a great variety of physical systems. The…

We study the nonparametric Nadaraya-Watson estimator of the drift function for ergodic stochastic processes driven by fractional Brownian motion of Hurst parameter H > 1/2. The estimator is based on the discretely observed stochastic…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-05-03 Han Yuecai , Zhang Dingwen

We obtain non-asymptotic Gaussian concentration bounds for the difference between the invariant measure $\nu$ of an ergodic Brownian diffusion process and the empirical distribution of an approximating scheme with decreasing time step along…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-05-28 Igor Honoré , Stephane Menozzi , Gilles Pagès

We consider the problem of the construction of the Goodness-of-Fit test in the case of continuous time observations of a diffusion process with small noise. The null hypothesis is parametric and we use a minimum distance estimator of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-06-17 Maroua Ben Abdeddaiem

This study explores a Gaussian quasi-likelihood approach for estimating parameters of diffusion processes with Markovian regime switching. Assuming the ergodicity under high-frequency sampling, we will show the asymptotic normality of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-05-19 Yuzhong Cheng , Hiroki Masuda

This paper studies a problem of Bayesian parameter estimation for a sequence of scaled counting processes whose weak limit is a Brownian motion with an unknown drift. The main result of the paper is that the limit of the posterior…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-03-19 Asaf Cohen

We consider the problem of nonparametric estimation of the drift of a continuously observed one-dimensional diffusion with periodic drift. Motivated by computational considerations, van der Meulen e.a. (2014) defined a prior on the drift as…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-02-04 Frank van der Meulen , Moritz Schauer , Jan van Waaij

We consider the problem of nonparametric estimation of the drift and diffusion coefficients of a Stochastic Differential Equation (SDE), based on $n$ independent replicates $\left\{X_i(t)\::\: t\in [0,1]\right\}_{1 \leq i \leq n}$, observed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-11-28 Neda Mohammadi , Leonardo Santoro , Victor M. Panaretos