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While diffusion models can successfully generate data and make predictions, they are predominantly designed for static images. We propose an approach for efficiently training diffusion models for probabilistic spatiotemporal forecasting,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-12 Salva Rühling Cachay , Bo Zhao , Hailey Joren , Rose Yu

Accurately perceiving instances and predicting their future motion are key tasks for autonomous vehicles, enabling them to navigate safely in complex urban traffic. While bird's-eye view (BEV) representations are commonplace in perception…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-06-21 Peizheng Li , Shuxiao Ding , Xieyuanli Chen , Niklas Hanselmann , Marius Cordts , Juergen Gall

This paper presents a continuous-time optimal control framework for the generation of reference trajectories in driving scenarios with uncertainty. A previous work presented a discrete-time stochastic generator for autonomous vehicles;…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-03-17 Ange Valli , Shangyuan Zhang , Abdel Lisser

Reliably predicting future occupancy of highly dynamic urban environments is an important precursor for safe autonomous navigation. Common challenges in the prediction include forecasting the relative position of other vehicles, modelling…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-05-09 Khushdeep Singh Mann , Abhishek Tomy , Anshul Paigwar , Alessandro Renzaglia , Christian Laugier

The inherently diverse and uncertain nature of trajectories presents a formidable challenge in accurately modeling them. Motion prediction systems must effectively learn spatial and temporal information from the past to forecast the future…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-11-28 Pranav Singh Chib , Pravendra Singh

We propose a new method for spatio-temporal forecasting on arbitrarily distributed points. Assuming that the observed system follows an unknown partial differential equation, we derive a continuous-time model for the dynamics of the data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-18 Marten Lienen , Stephan Günnemann

Discovering the underlying relationships among variables from temporal observations has been a longstanding challenge in numerous scientific disciplines, including biology, finance, and climate science. The dynamics of such systems are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-07 Benjie Wang , Joel Jennings , Wenbo Gong

Accurate spatiotemporal pattern analysis is critical in fields such as urban traffic, meteorology, and public health monitoring. However, existing methods face performance bottlenecks, typically yielding only incremental gains and often…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-20 Jing Chen , Shixiang Pan , Yujie Fan , Haocheng Ye , Haitao Xu , Wenqiang Xu

Traffic forecasting, a crucial application of spatio-temporal graph (STG) learning, has traditionally relied on deterministic models for accurate point estimations. Yet, these models fall short of quantifying future uncertainties. Recently,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-08 Lequan Lin , Dai Shi , Andi Han , Junbin Gao

Traffic prediction, an essential component for intelligent transportation systems, endeavours to use historical data to foresee future traffic features at specific locations. Although existing traffic prediction models often emphasize…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-09 Chenxi Liu , Sun Yang , Qianxiong Xu , Zhishuai Li , Cheng Long , Ziyue Li , Rui Zhao

We discuss Bayesian model uncertainty analysis and forecasting in sequential dynamic modeling of multivariate time series. The perspective is that of a decision-maker with a specific forecasting objective that guides thinking about relevant…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-07 Isaac Lavine , Michael Lindon , Mike West

The future instance prediction from a Bird's Eye View(BEV) perspective is a vital component in autonomous driving, which involves future instance segmentation and instance motion prediction. Existing methods usually rely on a redundant and…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-07-25 Xingtai Gui , Tengteng Huang , Haonan Shao , Haotian Yao , Chi Zhang

We introduce a method for learning the dynamics of complex nonlinear systems based on deep generative models over temporal segments of states and actions. Unlike dynamics models that operate over individual discrete timesteps, we learn the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-07-14 Nikhil Mishra , Pieter Abbeel , Igor Mordatch

Driving requires interacting with road agents and predicting their future behaviour in order to navigate safely. We present FIERY: a probabilistic future prediction model in bird's-eye view from monocular cameras. Our model predicts future…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-10-19 Anthony Hu , Zak Murez , Nikhil Mohan , Sofía Dudas , Jeffrey Hawke , Vijay Badrinarayanan , Roberto Cipolla , Alex Kendall

Understanding the world around us and making decisions about the future is a critical component to human intelligence. As autonomous systems continue to develop, their ability to reason about the future will be the key to their success.…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2018-11-22 Adam M. Terwilliger , Garrick Brazil , Xiaoming Liu

Accurate traffic flow prediction heavily relies on the spatio-temporal correlation of traffic flow data. Most current studies separately capture correlations in spatial and temporal dimensions, making it difficult to capture complex…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-03 Ben-Ao Dai , Nengchao Lyu , Yongchao Miao

Next location prediction is a critical task in human mobility modeling, enabling applications like travel planning and urban mobility management. Existing methods mainly rely on historical spatiotemporal trajectory data to train sequence…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-01 Bangchao Deng , Lianhua Ji , Chunhua Chen , Xin Jing , Ling Ding , Bingqing QU , Pengyang Wang , Dingqi Yang

Accurate travel time estimation is essential for navigation and itinerary planning. While existing research employs probabilistic modeling to assess travel time uncertainty and account for correlations between multiple trips, modeling the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-28 Chen Xu , Qiang Wang , Lijun Sun

Safety is critical for autonomous driving, and one aspect of improving safety is to accurately capture the uncertainties of the perception system, especially knowing the unknown. Different from only providing deterministic or probabilistic…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-09-12 Yunshuang Yuan , Hao Cheng , Michael Ying Yang , Monika Sester

Trajectory prediction is, naturally, a key task for vehicle autonomy. While the number of traffic rules is limited, the combinations and uncertainties associated with each agent's behaviour in real-world scenarios are nearly impossible to…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-12-21 Sushil Sharma , Arindam Das , Ganesh Sistu , Mark Halton , Ciarán Eising