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This paper proposes a novel uncertainty quantification framework for computationally demanding systems characterized by a large vector of non-Gaussian uncertainties. It combines state-of-the-art techniques in advanced Monte Carlo sampling…

Computation · Statistics 2018-03-05 Phaedon-Stelios Koutsourelakis

Principal component regression uses principal components as regressors. It is particularly useful in prediction settings with high-dimensional covariates. The existing literature treating of Bayesian approaches is relatively sparse. We…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-01-28 Philippe Gagnon , Mylène Bédard , Alain Desgagné

We develop a method to carry out MAP estimation for a class of Bayesian regression models in which coefficients are assigned with Gaussian-based spike and slab priors. The objective function in the corresponding optimization problem has a…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-11-26 Tso-Jung Yen

This paper develops a sequential-linearization feedback optimization framework for driving nonlinear dynamical systems to an optimal steady state. A fundamental challenge in feedback optimization is the requirement of accurate first-order…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-07-22 Shijie Huang , Sergio Grammatico

Dynamical system state estimation and parameter calibration problems are ubiquitous across science and engineering. Bayesian approaches to the problem are the gold standard as they allow for the quantification of uncertainties and enable…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2024-11-12 Kairui Hao , Ilias Bilionis

The goal of robust motion planning consists of designing open-loop controls which optimally steer a system to a specific target region while mitigating uncertainties and disturbances which affect the dynamics. Recently, stochastic optimal…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-03-03 Clara Leparoux , Riccardo Bonalli , Bruno Hérissé , Frédéric Jean

This thesis develops exact analytical tools to study strongly correlated stochastic systems, with a focus on extreme value statistics, gap statistics, and full counting statistics in multi-particle processes. A central contribution is the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-08-19 Marco Biroli

A typical problem in causal modeling is the instability of model structure learning, i.e., small changes in finite data can result in completely different optimal models. The present work introduces a novel causal modeling algorithm for…

We develop a new efficient methodology for Bayesian global sensitivity analysis for large-scale multivariate data. The focus is on computationally demanding models with correlated variables. A multivariate Gaussian process is used as a…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-01-25 Oluwole Oyebamiji , Christopher Nemeth , Paula Harrison , Rob Dunford , George Cojocaru

We propose an extension of the input-output feedback linearization for a class of multivariate systems that are not input-output linearizable in a classical manner. The key observation is that the usual input-output linearization problem…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-03-13 Sang-ik An , Dongheui Lee , Gyunghoon Park

We study feedback stabilization of continuous-time linear systems under finite data-rate constraints in the presence of unknown disturbances. A communication and control strategy based on sampled and quantized state measurements is…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-31 Mahmoud Zamani , Guosong Yang

We apply a recently developed measure of multiscale complexity to the Gaussian model consisting of continuous spins with bilinear interactions for a variety of interaction matrix structures. We find two universal behaviors of the complexity…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 Richard Metzler , Yaneer Bar-Yam

This paper addresses the positive synchronization of interconnected systems on undirected graphs. For homogeneous positive systems, a static feedback protocol design is proposed, based on the Linear Regulator problem. The solution to the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-04-09 Alba Gurpegui , Mark Jeeninga , Emma Tegling , Anders Rantzer

Discovering the underlying dynamics of complex systems from data is an important practical topic. Constrained optimization algorithms are widely utilized and lead to many successes. Yet, such purely data-driven methods may bring about…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-05-17 Nan Chen , Yinling Zhang

We present a Bayesian approach for modeling multivariate, dependent functional data. To account for the three dominant structural features in the data--functional, time dependent, and multivariate components--we extend hierarchical dynamic…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-07-02 Daniel R. Kowal , David S. Matteson , David Ruppert

Current methods for regularization in machine learning require quite specific model assumptions (e.g. a kernel shape) that are not derived from prior knowledge about the application, but must be imposed merely to make the method work. We…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-11-01 Matthias Wieler

We consider the problem of jointly estimating multiple related zero-mean Gaussian distributions from data. We propose to jointly estimate these covariance matrices using Laplacian regularized stratified model fitting, which includes loss…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-05-25 Jonathan Tuck , Stephen Boyd

The Bayesian approach to inverse problems typically relies on posterior sampling approaches, such as Markov chain Monte Carlo, for which the generation of each sample requires one or more evaluations of the parameter-to-observable map or…

Computation · Statistics 2014-12-23 Jinglai Li , Youssef M. Marzouk

Using Kalman techniques, it is possible to perform optimal estimation in linear Gaussian state-space models. We address here the case where the noise probability density functions are of unknown functional form. A flexible Bayesian…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-11-13 François Caron , Manuel Davy , Arnaud Doucet , Emmanuel Duflos , Philippe Vanheeghe

This paper introduces a Bayesian framework that combines Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling, dimensionality reduction, and neural density estimation to efficiently handle inverse problems that (i) must be solved multiple times, and…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2026-02-24 Giacomo Bottacini , Matteo Torzoni , Andrea Manzoni