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We consider a new class of non Markovian processes with a countable number of interacting components. At each time unit, each component can take two values, indicating if it has a spike or not at this precise moment. The system evolves as…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-06-12 Antonio Galves , Eva Löcherbach

We study the joint occurrence of large values of a Markov random field or undirected graphical model associated to a block graph. On such graphs, containing trees as special cases, we aim to generalize recent results for extremes of Markov…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-09 Stefka Asenova , Johan Segers

In this study, a new extension of the Markov Renewal theory is introduced by allowing time to evolve in multiple dimensions. The resulting chains are referred to as multi-time Markov Renewal chains and since this extension is new, the state…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-08-21 Leonidas Kordalis , Samis Trevezas

We show how to construct a topological Markov map of the interval whose invariant probability measure is the stationary law of a given stochastic chain of infinite order. In particular we caracterize the maps corresponding to stochastic…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-06-05 Pierre Collet , Antonio Galves

The transition matrix of a Markov chain $(X_k,k\geq 0)$ on a finite or infinite rooted tree is said to be almost upper-directed if, given $X_k$, the node $X_{k+1}$ is either a descendant of $X_k$ or the parent of $X_k$. It is said to be…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-11-12 Luis Fredes , Jean-François Marckert

We consider a Markov chain that iteratively generates a sequence of random finite words in such a way that the $n^{\mathrm{th}}$ word is uniformly distributed over the set of words of length $2n$ in which $n$ letters are $a$ and $n$ letters…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-12-23 Hye Soo Choi , Steven N. Evans

For Markov chains with a partially ordered finite state space we show strong stationary duality under the condition of M\"obius monotonicity of the chain. We show relations of M\"obius monotonicity to other definitions of monotone chains.…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-01-04 Pawel Lorek , Ryszard Szekli

In the classical theory of Markov chains, one may study the mean time to reach some chosen state, and it is well-known that in the irreducible, finite case, such quantity can be calculated in terms of the fundamental matrix of the walk, as…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2022-06-17 C. F. Lardizabal , L. Velázquez

We study discrete-time, discrete-state multistate Markov models from the perspective of algebraic statistics. These models are widely studied in event history analysis, and are characterized by the state space, the initial distribution and…

We analyze a stochastic process resulting from the normalization of states in the zeroth-order optimization method CMA-ES. On a specific class of minimization problems where the objective function is scaling-invariant, this process defines…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-10-02 Armand Gissler , Shan-Conrad Wolf , Anne Auger , Nikolaus Hansen

Let $(X_n)_{n \ge 0}$ be an irreducible, aperiodic, homogeneous Markov chain, with state space an ordered finite alphabet of size $m$. Using combinatorial constructions and weak invariance principles, we obtain the limiting shape of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-10-17 Christian Houdré , Trevis J. Litherland

We consider a class of skew product maps of interval diffeomorphisms over the doubling map. The interval maps fix the end points of the interval. It is assumed that the system has zero fiber Lyapunov exponent at one endpoint and zero or…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2018-12-21 Ale Jan Homburg , Vahatra Rabodonandrianandraina

Locally Markov walks are natural generalizations of classical Markov chains, where instead of a particle moving independently of the past, it decides where to move next depending on the last action performed at the current location. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-02 Robin Kaiser , Lionel Levine , Ecaterina Sava-Huss

A Markov tree is a random vector indexed by the nodes of a tree whose distribution is determined by the distributions of pairs of neighbouring variables and a list of conditional independence relations. Upon an assumption on the tails of…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-10-05 Johan Segers

Randomising networks using a naive `accept-all' edge-swap algorithm is generally biased. Building on recent results for nondirected graphs, we construct an ergodic detailed balance Markov chain with non-trivial acceptance probabilities for…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2011-12-21 E. S. Roberts , A. C. C. Coolen

We construct a bounded degree graph $G$, such that a simple random walk on it is transient but the random walk path (i.e., the subgraph of all the edges the random walk has crossed) has only finitely many cutpoints, almost surely. We also…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-04-11 Itai Benjamini , Ori Gurel-Gurevich , Oded Schramm

In his 2011 work, Maas has shown that the law of any time-reversible continuous-time Markov chain with finite state space evolves like a gradient flow of the relative entropy with respect to its stationary distribution. In this work we show…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-04-03 Helge Dietert

In this paper, we study the controllability and stabilizability properties of the Kolmogorov forward equation of a continuous time Markov chain (CTMC) evolving on a finite state space, using the transition rates as the control parameters.…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-03-29 Karthik Elamvazhuthi , Vaibhav Deshmukh , Matthias Kawski , Spring Berman

Large continuous-time Markov chains with exponentially small transition rates arise in modeling complex systems in physics, chemistry and biology. We propose a constructive graph-algorithmic approach to determine the sequence of critical…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-02-01 Tingyue Gan , Maria Cameron

Metastability is a physical phenomenon ubiquitous in first order phase transitions. A fruitful mathematical way to approach this phenomenon is the study of rare transitions Markov chains. For Metropolis chains associated with Statistical…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-09-30 Emilio Cirillo , Francesca Nardi , Julien Sohier