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In safety-critical applications data-driven models must not only be accurate but also provide reliable uncertainty estimates. This property, commonly referred to as calibration, is essential for risk-aware decision-making. In regression a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-23 Jelke Wibbeke , Nico Schönfisch , Sebastian Rohjans , Andreas Rauh

Modern machine learning uses more and more advanced optimization techniques to find optimal hyper parameters. Whenever the objective function is non-convex, non continuous and with potentially multiple local minima, standard gradient…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-02-13 Eric Benhamou , Jamal Atif , Rida Laraki

When the experimental objective is expressed by a set of estimable functions, and any eigenvalue-based optimality criterion is selected, we prove the equivalence of the recently introduced weighted optimality and the 'standard' optimality…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-10-21 Samuel Rosa

In this article a novel approach for training deep neural networks using Bayesian techniques is presented. The Bayesian methodology allows for an easy evaluation of model uncertainty and additionally is robust to overfitting. These are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-04-03 Konstantin Posch , Jürgen Pilz

The performance of deep neural networks is enhanced by ensemble methods, which average the output of several models. However, this comes at an increased cost at inference. Weight averaging methods aim at balancing the generalization of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-29 Louis Fournier , Adel Nabli , Masih Aminbeidokhti , Marco Pedersoli , Eugene Belilovsky , Edouard Oyallon

This paper studies the problem of estimation from relative measurements in a graph, in which a vector indexed over the nodes has to be reconstructed from pairwise measurements of differences between its components associated to nodes…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-07-27 Chiara Ravazzi , Nelson P. K. Chan , Paolo Frasca

A weighted likelihood technique for robust estimation of a multivariate Wrapped Normal distribution for data points scattered on a p-dimensional torus is proposed. The occurrence of outliers in the sample at hand can badly compromise…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-01 Giovanni Saraceno , Claudio Agostinelli , Luca Greco

In many scientific fields, the generation and evolution of data are governed by partial differential equations (PDEs) which are typically informed by established physical laws at the macroscopic level to describe general and predictable…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-01 Ziyuan Chen , Shunxing Yan , Fang Yao

As a typical model-based evolutionary algorithm (EA), estimation of distribution algorithm (EDA) possesses unique characteristics and has been widely applied to global optimization. However, the common-used Gaussian EDA (GEDA) usually…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2018-08-01 Yongsheng Liang , Zhigang Ren , Xianghua Yao , Zuren Feng , An Chen

The efficient modeling for disorder in a phenomena depends on the chosen score and objective functions. The main parameters in modeling are location, scale and shape. The exponential power distribution known as generalized Gaussian is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-02-08 Mehmet Niyazi Çankaya

In this article, we proposed a new probability distribution named as power Maxwell distribution (PMaD). It is another extension of Maxwell distribution (MaD) which would lead more flexibility to analyze the data with non-monotone failure…

Applications · Statistics 2018-07-04 Abhimanyu Singh Yadav , Hassan S. Bakouch , Sanjay Kumar Singh , Umesh Singh

The Milestoning algorithm created by Ron Elber et al. is a method for determining the time scale of processes too complex to be studied using brute force simulation methods. The fundamental objects implemented in the Milestoning algorithm…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-11-03 Gianmarc Grazioli , Ioan Andricioaei

In the last decade, the Winograd Schema Challenge (WSC) has become a central aspect of the research community as a novel litmus test. Consequently, the WSC has spurred research interest because it can be seen as the means to understand…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-09-07 Nicos Isaak , Loizos Michael

Most machine learning models operate under the assumption that the training, testing and deployment data is independent and identically distributed (i.i.d.). This assumption doesn't generally hold true in a natural setting. Usually, the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-14 Kumud Lakara , Akshat Bhandari , Pratinav Seth , Ujjwal Verma

The Expectation--Maximization (EM) algorithm is a simple meta-algorithm that has been used for many years as a methodology for statistical inference when there are missing measurements in the observed data or when the data is composed of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-11-15 Hideitsu Hino , Shotaro Akaho , Noboru Murata

This paper focuses on stochastic saddle point problems with decision-dependent distributions. These are problems whose objective is the expected value of a stochastic payoff function and whose data distribution drifts in response to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-11-15 Killian Wood , Emiliano Dall'Anese

Evolutionary algorithms (EA) have been widely accepted as efficient solvers for complex real world optimization problems, including engineering optimization. However, real world optimization problems often involve uncertain environment…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2016-11-17 Maumita Bhattacharya , R. Islam , A. Mahmood

Variability in multiple independent input parameters makes it difficult to estimate the resultant variability in the system's overall response. The Propagation of Errors and Monte-Carlo techniques are two major methods to predict the…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2026-04-28 Seungju Yeoa , Paul Funkenbuscha , Hesam Askari

Stochastic differential equations (SDEs) are established tools to model physical phenomena whose dynamics are affected by random noise. By estimating parameters of an SDE intrinsic randomness of a system around its drift can be identified…

Computation · Statistics 2012-05-03 Umberto Picchini , Susanne Ditlevsen

Estimating and quantifying uncertainty in unknown system parameters from limited data remains a challenging inverse problem in a variety of real-world applications. While many approaches focus on estimating constant parameters, a subset of…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-05-09 Andrea Arnold
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