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We consider the asymptotic behavior of posterior distributions if the model is misspecified. Given a prior distribution and a random sample from a distribution $P_0$, which may not be in the support of the prior, we show that the posterior…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 B. J. K. Kleijn , A. W. van der Vaart

This paper introduces a comprehensive framework for complex-valued probability measures and explores their novel applications in information theory and statistical analysis. We define a complex probability measure as a phase-modulated…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2026-03-16 Siang Cheng , Hejun Xu , Tianxiao Pang

Experimental designs are tools which can drastically reduce the number of simulations required by time-consuming computer codes. One strategy for selecting the values of the inputs, whose response is to be observed, is to choose these…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-04-17 Astrid Jourdan , Jessica Franco

In this paper, we delve deeper into the Kullback-Leibler (KL) Divergence loss and mathematically prove that it is equivalent to the Decoupled Kullback-Leibler (DKL) Divergence loss that consists of (1) a weighted Mean Square Error (wMSE)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-12 Jiequan Cui , Beier Zhu , Qingshan Xu , Zhuotao Tian , Xiaojuan Qi , Bei Yu , Hanwang Zhang , Richang Hong

Very often, in the course of uncertainty quantification tasks or data analysis, one has to deal with high-dimensional random variables (RVs). A high-dimensional RV can be described by its probability density (pdf) and/or by the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-09-09 Alexander Litvinenko , Youssef Marzouk , Hermann G. Matthies , Marco Scavino , Alessio Spantini

A novel type of a multiscale approach, called Relative Resolution (RelRes), can correctly retrieve the behavior of various nonpolar liquids, whilst speeding up molecular simulations by almost an order of magnitude. In this approach in a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-03-15 Mark Chaimovich , Aviel Chaimovich

A new method called "variational sampling" is proposed to estimate integrals under probability distributions that can be evaluated up to a normalizing constant. The key idea is to fit the target distribution with an exponential family model…

Computation · Statistics 2013-10-15 Alexis Roche

In this paper we provide the asymptotic theory of the general of $\phi$-divergences measures, which include the most common divergence measures : Renyi and Tsallis families and the Kullback-Leibler measure. We are interested in divergence…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-04-01 Ba Amadou Diadie , Gane Samb Lo

The aim of this paper is to introduce new statistical criterions for estimation, suitable for inference in models with common continuous support. This proposal is in the direct line of a renewed interest for divergence based inference tools…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-03-19 Michel Broniatowski , Aida Toma , Igor Vajda

We present a technique for constructing random fields from a set of training samples. The learning paradigm builds increasingly complex fields by allowing potential functions, or features, that are supported by increasingly large subgraphs.…

cmp-lg · Computer Science 2016-08-31 S. Della Pietra , V. Della Pietra , J. Lafferty

This paper explores the connections between tempering (for Sequential Monte Carlo; SMC) and entropic mirror descent to sample from a target probability distribution whose unnormalized density is known. We establish that tempering SMC…

Computation · Statistics 2024-06-18 Nicolas Chopin , Francesca R. Crucinio , Anna Korba

We discuss a relation between the Kantorovich-Wasserstein (KW) metric and the Kullback-Leibler (KL) divergence. The former is defined using the optimal transport problem (OTP) in the Kantorovich formulation. The latter is used to define…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2019-08-27 Roman V. Belavkin

We present a statistical mechanical framework based on the Kullback-Leibler divergence (KLD) to analyze the relativistic limits of decoding time-encoded information from a moving source. By modeling the symbol durations as…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2025-07-31 Tatsuaki Tsuruyama

We study the approximation of arbitrary distributions $P$ on $d$-dimensional space by distributions with log-concave density. Approximation means minimizing a Kullback--Leibler-type functional. We show that such an approximation exists if…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-10-17 Lutz Duembgen , Richard Samworth , Dominic Schuhmacher

Complex, high-dimensional data is ubiquitous across many scientific disciplines, including machine learning, biology, and the social sciences. One of the primary methods of visualizing these datasets is with two-dimensional scatter plots…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-13 Kiran Smelser , Kaviru Gunaratne , Jacob Miller , Stephen Kobourov

The density matrices are positively semi-definite Hermitian matrices of unit trace that describe the state of a quantum system. The goal of the paper is to develop minimax lower bounds on error rates of estimation of low rank density…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-04-19 Vladimir Koltchinskii , Dong Xia

We consider the random point processes on a measure space X defined by the Gibbs measures associated to a given sequence of N-particle Hamiltonians H^{(N)}. Inspired by the method of Messer-Spohn for proving concentration properties for the…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2016-10-27 Robert J. Berman

The paper covers the design and analysis of experiments to discriminate between two Gaussian process models, such as those widely used in computer experiments, kriging, sensor location and machine learning. Two frameworks are considered.…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-22 Elham Yousefi , Luc Pronzato , Markus Hainy , Werner G. Müller , Henry P. Wynn

We conduct non-asymptotic analysis on the mean-field variational inference for approximating posterior distributions in complex Bayesian models that may involve latent variables. We show that the mean-field approximation to the posterior…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-11-06 Wei Han , Yun Yang

Finding the proper entropy-like Lyapunov functional associated with the inelastic Boltzmann equation for an isolated freely cooling granular gas is a still unsolved challenge. The original $H$-theorem hypotheses do not fit here and the…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2020-11-19 Alberto Megías , Andrés Santos
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