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There is nowadays a constant flux of data being generated and collected in all types of real world systems. These data sets are often indexed by time, space or both requiring appropriate approaches to analyze the data. In univariate…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-10-20 Vanessa Freitas Silva , Maria Eduarda Silva , Pedro Ribeiro , Fernando Silva

We consider estimation of high-dimensional long-run covariance matrices for time series with nonconstant means, a setting in which conventional estimators can be severely biased. To address this difficulty, we propose a difference-based…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-19 Yanhong Liu , Fengyi Song , Long Feng

This paper is a note on the use of Bayesian nonparametric mixture models for continuous time series. We identify a key requirement for such models, and then establish that there is a single type of model which meets this requirement. As it…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-03-05 George Karabatsos , Stephen G. Walker

Statistical differentiability of the measure along the reconstructed trajectory is a good candidate to quantify determinism in time series. The procedure is based upon a formula that explicitly shows the sensitivity of the measure to…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2009-10-31 Guillermo J. Ortega , Enrique Louis

Time series anomaly detection is an important task, with applications in a broad variety of domains. Many approaches have been proposed in recent years, but often they require that the length of the anomalies be known in advance and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-01-31 Yifeng Gao , Jessica Lin , Constantin Brif

This paper presents a time series forecasting framework which combines standard forecasting methods and a machine learning model. The inputs to the machine learning model are not lagged values or regular time series features, but instead…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-01-15 Shi Zhao , Ying Feng

Complex networks are an important paradigm of modern complex systems sciences which allows quantitatively assessing the structural properties of systems composed of different interacting entities. During the last years, intensive efforts…

The paper examines the problem of representing the dynamics of low order autoregressive (AR) models with time varying (TV) coefficients. The existing literature computes the forecasts of the series from a recursion relation. Instead, we…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-03-14 Menelaos Karanasos , Alexandros Paraskevopoulos , Stavros Dafnos

In this paper we consider different model reduction techniques for systems with moving loads. Due to the time-dependency of the input and output matrices, the application of time-varying projection matrices for the reduction offers new…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2016-07-12 Maria Cruz Varona , Boris Lohmann

We aim to mine temporal causal sequences that explain observed events (consequents) in time-series traces. Causal explanations of key events in a time-series has applications in design debugging, anomaly detection, planning, root-cause…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-26 Antonio Anastasio Bruto da Costa , Pallab Dasgupta

A new method involving particle diagrams is introduced and developed into a rigorous framework for carrying out embedded random matrix calculations. Using particle diagrams and the attendant methodology including loop counting it becomes…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2015-04-01 Rupert A Small

The random matrix ensembles are applied to the quantum chaotic systems. The quantum systems are studied using the finite dimensional real, complex and quaternion Hilbert spaces of the eigenfunctions. The linear operators describing the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Maciej M. Duras

Financial markets are prominent examples for highly non-stationary systems. Sample averaged observables such as variances and correlation coefficients strongly depend on the time window in which they are evaluated. This implies severe…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-06-15 Thilo A. Schmitt , Desislava Chetalova , Rudi Schäfer , Thomas Guhr

Time series forecasting is difficult. It is difficult even for recurrent neural networks with their inherent ability to learn sequentiality. This article presents a recurrent neural network based time series forecasting framework covering…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-01-03 Gábor Petneházi

Time series classification is a field which has drawn much attention over the past decade. A new approach for classification of time series uses classification trees based on shapelets. A shapelet is a subsequence extracted from one of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-09-25 Daniel Gordon , Danny Hendler , Lior Rokach

In this paper we give definitions of matrix rates of return which do not depend on the choice of basis describing baskets. We give their economic interpretation. The matrix rate of return describes baskets of arbitrary type and extends…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-13 Anna Zambrzycka , Edward W. Piotrowski

The present work provides an original framework for random matrix analysis based on revisiting the concentration of measure theory from a probabilistic point of view. By providing various notions of vector concentration ($q$-exponential,…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-01-19 Cosme Louart , Romain Couillet

The random matrix ensembles are applied to the quantum statistical systems. The quantum systems are studied using the finite dimensional real, complex and quaternion Hilbert spaces of the eigenfunctions. The linear operators describing the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Maciej M. Duras

The gmwm R package for inference on time series models is mainly based on the quantity called wavelet variance which is derived from a wavelet decomposition of a time series. This quantity provides a means to summarize and graphically…

Computation · Statistics 2016-07-18 James Balamuta , Roberto Molinari , Stéphane Guerrier , Wenchao Yang

These lecture notes provide a comprehensive, self-contained introduction to the analysis of Wishart matrix moments. This study may act as an introduction to some particular aspects of random matrix theory, or as a self-contained exposition…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-02-12 Adrian N. Bishop , Pierre Del Moral , Angele Niclas
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