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In many applications, data are observed as matrices with temporal dependence. Matrix-variate time series modeling is a new branch of econometrics. Although stylized facts in several fields, the existing models do not account for regime…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-19 Andrea Bucci

The pursuit of world model based artificial intelligence has predominantly relied on projecting high-dimensional observations into parameterized latent spaces, wherein transition dynamics are subsequently learned. However, this conventional…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-17 Vladimer Khasia

We propose a new autocorrelation measure for functional time series that we term spherical autocorrelation. It is based on measuring the average angle between lagged pairs of series after having been projected onto the unit sphere. This new…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-14 Chi-Kuang Yeh , Gregory Rice , Joel A. Dubin

In this paper we extend the hierarchical model reduction framework based on reduced basis techniques for the application to nonlinear partial differential equations. The major new ingredient to accomplish this goal is the introduction of…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-02-27 Kathrin Smetana , Mario Ohlberger

Many computer vision challenges require continuous outputs, but tend to be solved by discrete classification. The reason is classification's natural containment within a probability $n$-simplex, as defined by the popular softmax activation…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-04-12 Shuai Liao , Efstratios Gavves , Cees G. M. Snoek

Diffusion models provide a principled framework for generative modeling via stochastic differential equations and time-reversed dynamics. Extending spectral diffusion approaches to spherical data, however, raises nontrivial geometric and…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-29 Pierpaolo Brutti , Claudio Durastanti , Francesco Mari

We provide a novel approach to model space-time random fields where the temporal argument is decomposed into two parts. The former captures the linear argument, which is related, for instance, to the annual evolution of the field. The…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-01-18 Alfredo Alegría , Emilio Porcu

Higher spatial resolution and larger imaging scene are always the goals pursued by advanced space-borne SAR system.High resolution and wide swath SAR imaging can provide more information about the illuminated scene of interest on one…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-02-27 Xinhua Mao

We are concerned with time-dependent inverse source problems in elastodynamics. The source term is supposed to be the product of a spatial function and a temporal function with compact support. We present frequency-domain and time-domain…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2018-04-04 Gang Bao , Guanghui Hu , Yavar Kian , Tao Yin

We propose a transform for signals defined on the sphere that reveals their localized directional content in the spatio-spectral domain when used in conjunction with an asymmetric window function. We call this transform the directional…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2013-04-23 Z. Khalid , R. A. Kennedy , S. Durrani , P. Sadeghi , Y. Wiaux , J. D. McEwen

Time series autoregression (AR) is a classical tool for modeling auto-correlations and periodic structures in real-world systems. We revisit this model from an interpretable machine learning perspective by introducing sparse autoregression…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-15 Xinyu Chen , Vassilis Digalakis , Lijun Ding , Dingyi Zhuang , Jinhua Zhao

Time series foundation models have recently gained a lot of attention due to their ability to model complex time series data encompassing different domains including traffic, energy, and weather. Although they exhibit strong average…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-21 Shivani Tomar , Seshu Tirupathi , Elizabeth Daly , Ivana Dusparic

To fulfill the requirements of space object cataloging and enable automated intelligent responses to anomalous events, we designed a novel observation scheduling system named Sky Survey Schedule (SSS). This framework facilitates coordinated…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2025-09-04 Kai-Tian Yuan , Hou-Yuan Lin

Time-series classification is an important domain of machine learning and a plethora of methods have been developed for the task. In comparison to existing approaches, this study presents a novel method which decomposes a time-series…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-03-12 Josif Grabocka , Lars Schmidt-Thieme

Weather forecasting is a fundamental task in spatiotemporal data analysis, with broad applications across a wide range of domains. Existing data-driven forecasting methods typically model atmospheric dynamics over a fixed short time…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-01 Jindong Tian , Yifei Ding , Ronghui Xu , Hao Miao , Chenjuan Guo , Bin Yang

A functional time series approach is proposed for investigating spatial correlation in daily maximum temperature forecast errors for 111 cities spread across the U.S. The modelling of spatial correlation is most fruitful for longer forecast…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-23 Phillip A. Jang , David S. Matteson

The paper revisits the $\alpha$--regression framework for compositional data. The model uses a flexible power transformation parameterized by $\alpha$ to interpolate between raw data analysis and log--ratio methods, naturally handling zeros…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-14 Michail Tsagris , Yannis Pantazis

The purpose of this paper is to construct universal, auto--adaptive, localized, linear, polynomial (-valued) operators based on scattered data on the (hyper--)sphere $\SS^q$ ($q\ge 2$). The approximation and localization properties of our…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2008-11-11 Q. T. Le Gia , H. N. Mhaskar

We study the estimation and prediction of functional autoregressive~(FAR) processes, a statistical tool for modeling functional time series data. Due to the infinite-dimensional nature of FAR processes, the existing literature addresses its…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-12-01 Daren Wang , Zifeng Zhao , Rebecca Willett , Chun Yip Yau

We propose a new class of univariate nonstationary time series models, using the framework of modulated time series, which is appropriate for the analysis of rapidly-evolving time series as well as time series observations with missing…