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Accurate modeling of the patient flow within an Emergency Department (ED) is required by all studies dealing with the increasing and well-known problem of overcrowding. Since Discrete Event Simulation (DES) models are often adopted with the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-02-02 A. De Santis , T. Giovannelli , S. Lucidi , M. Messedaglia , M. Roma

Emergency Departments (EDs) overcrowding is a well recognized worldwide phenomenon. The consequences range from long waiting times for visits and treatment of patients up to life-threatening health conditions. The international community is…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2021-02-01 G. Fava , T. Giovannelli , M. Messedaglia , M. Roma

For a large portion of mental health patients, the Emergency Department is the first point of contact when in crisis and in need of urgent acute care. Unfortunately, those who have already received an admission disposition may wait hours or…

Applications · Statistics 2023-04-28 Nathan O. Adeyemi , Kayse Lee Maass , Amanda M. Graham , Kalyan S. Pasupathy

We develop a simulation tool to support policy-decisions about healthcare for chronic diseases in defined populations. Incident disease-cases are generated in-silico from an age-sex characterised general population using standard…

Applications · Statistics 2010-09-03 Nathan Green , Duncan Smith , Matthew Sperrin , Iain Buchan

Emergency department (ED) crowding has been an increasing problem worldwide. Prior research has identified factors that contribute to ED crowding. However, the relationships between these remain incompletely understood. This study's…

Infectious disease modeling and forecasting have played a key role in helping assess and respond to epidemics and pandemics. Recent work has leveraged data on disease peak infection and peak hospital incidence to fit compartmental models…

This paper focuses on the study of a practical management problem faced by a healthcare {\it emergency department} (ED) located in the north of Italy. The objective of our study was to propose organisational changes in the selected ED,…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2023-09-01 Arthur Kramer , Clio Dosi , Manuel Iori , Matteo Vignoli

We review and define the current state of the art as relating to discrete event simulation in healthcare-related systems. A review of published literature over the past five years (2017 - 2021) was conducted, building upon previously…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2022-11-02 John J. Forbus , Daniel Berleant

Testing symptomatic individuals for a disease can deliver treatment resources, if tests' results turn positive, which speeds up their treatment and might also decrease individuals' contacts to other ones. An imperfect test, however, might…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-06-25 Daniel A. M. Villela

Most of the studies dealing with the increasing and well-known problem of Emergency Department (ED) overcrowding usually mainly focus on modeling the patient flow within a single ED, without considering the possibilities offered by the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-08-10 Christian Piermarini , Massimo Roma

Infectious diseases are caused by pathogenic microorganisms and can spread through different ways. Mathematical models and computational simulation have been used extensively to investigate the transmission and spread of infectious…

Medical tourists face a scheduling problem that differs from that of local patients. Treatment delays extend not just care delivery time, but also accommodation and travel costs. This study develops a hybrid agent-based and discrete-event…

Performance · Computer Science 2026-05-20 Melika Baghi , Hadi Mosadegh

This study examined a simulated confined space modelled as a hospital waiting area, where people who could have underlying conditions congregate and mix with potentially infectious individuals. It further investigated the impact of the…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2021-05-24 J. A. Sarumi , E. C. Onwubiko , O. L. A. Ogunjimi

Epidemic models often reflect characteristic features of infectious spreading processes by coupled non-linear differential equations considering different states of health (such as Susceptible, Infected, or Recovered). This compartmental…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-12-01 Vaiva Vasiliauskaite , Nino Antulov-Fantulin , Dirk Helbing

We present a resource-planning tool for hospitals under special consideration of the COVID-19 pandemic, called babsim.hospital. It provides many advantages for crisis teams, e.g., comparison with their own local planning, simulation of…

Applications · Statistics 2020-12-15 Thomas Bartz-Beielstein , Frederik Rehbach , Olaf Mersmann , Eva Bartz

We introduce a modified SIR model with memory for the dynamics of epidemic spreading in a constant population of individuals. Each individual is in one of the states susceptible (${\bf S}$), infected (${\bf I}$) or recovered (${\bf R}$). In…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-03-03 Michael Bestehorn , Thomas M. Michelitsch , Bernard A. Collet , Alejandro P. Riascos , Andrzej F. Nowakowski

We study an epidemic model for a constant population by taking into account four compartments of the individuals characterizing their states of health. Each individual is in one of the compartments susceptible (S); incubated - infected yet…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-04-20 Teo Granger , Thomas M. Michelitsch , Michael Bestehorn , Alejandro P. Riascos , Bernard A. Collet

Emergency departments (ED) face challenges in patient care and resource management. We propose to explore optimization strategies in a realistic and flexible model and develop a hybrid Discrete Event Simulation (DES) and Agent-Based Model…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-05-14 Markus Wenzel , Tobias Strapatsas , Jessika Kress , Dorothea Sauer , Nele Gessler , Horst K. Hahn

We develop a way of simulating disease spread in networks faster at the cost of some accuracy. Instead of a discrete event simulation (DES) we use a discrete time simulation. This aggregates events into time periods. We prove a bound on the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2013-04-30 Aaron Lucas , Benjamin Armbruster

Recently, the combination of machine learning (ML) and simulation is gaining a lot of attention. This paper presents a novel application of ML within the simulation to improve patient flow within an emergency department (ED). An ML model…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2020-12-03 Emad Alenany , Abdessamad Ait El Cadi
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