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In more than two years since the COVID-19 virus was first detected in China, hundreds of millions of individuals have been infected, and millions have died. Aside from the immediate need for medical solutions (such as vaccines and…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-05-17 Hilla De-Leon , Francesco Pederiva

A novel coronavirus disease has emerged (later named COVID-19) and caused the world to enter a new reality, with many direct and indirect factors influencing it. Some are human-controllable (e.g. interventional policies, mobility and the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-12 Haonan Wu , Rajarshi Banerjee , Indhumathi Venkatachalam , Daniel Percy-Hughes , Praveen Chougale

The severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2), which causes the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), has led to the deepest global health and economic crisis of the current century. This dramatic situation has forced the…

Applications · Statistics 2021-10-22 Álvaro Briz-Redón , Ángel Serrano-Aroca

Exploring the spatio-temporal variations of COVID-19 transmission and its potential determinants could provide a deeper understanding of the dynamics of disease spread. This study aims to investigate the spatio-temporal spread of COVID-19…

Applications · Statistics 2023-08-21 Xueqing Yin , John M. Aiken , Richard Harris , Jonathan L. Bamber

We study the interaction between epidemic spreading and a vaccination process. We assume that, similar to the disease spreading, also the vaccination process occurs through direct contact, i.e., it follows the standard…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-06-22 Mozhgan Khanjanianpak , Nahid Azimi-Tafreshi , Claudio Castellano

The COVID-19 pandemic has influenced the lives of people globally. In the past year many researchers have proposed different models and approaches to explore in what ways the spread of the disease could be mitigated. One of the models that…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-06-17 Aram Ansary Ogholbake , Hana Khamfroush

We use aggregated data from Facebook to show that COVID-19 is more likely to spread between regions with stronger social network connections. Areas with more social ties to two early COVID-19 "hotspots" (Westchester County, NY, in the U.S.…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-12-15 Theresa Kuchler , Dominic Russel , Johannes Stroebel

Polarization of opinions about vaccination can have a negative impact on pandemic control. In this work we quantify this negative impact for the transmission of COVID-19, using an agent based simulation in an heterogeneous population with…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-06-02 Ixandra Achitouv

We present a modified age-structured SIR model based on known patterns of social contact and distancing measures within Washington, USA. We find that population age-distribution has a significant effect on disease spread and mortality rate,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-10-18 Vishaal Ram , Laura P. Schaposnik

During the COVID-19 pandemic, safely implementing in-person indoor instruction was a high priority for universities nationwide. To support this effort at the University, we developed a mathematical model for estimating the risk of…

Applications · Statistics 2024-02-21 Brian Liu , Yujia Zhang , Shane G. Henderson , David B. Shmoys , Peter I. Frazier

In this study, we use US county-level COVID-19 case data from January 21-March 25, 2020 to study the exponential behavior of case growth at the metropolitan scale. In particular, we assume that all localized outbreaks are in an early stage…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-04-07 Samuel Heroy

In all Countries the political decisions aim to achieve an almost stable configuration with a small number of new infected individuals per day due to Covid-19. When such a condition is reached, the containment effort is usually reduced in…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-12-03 D. Lanteri , D. Carcò , P. Castorina , M. Ceccarelli , B. Cacopardo

Aims: Nonpharmaceutical interventions against the spread of SARS-CoV-2 in Germany included the cancellation of mass events (from March 8), closures of schools and child day care facilities (from March 16) as well as a "lockdown" (from March…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-08-27 Thomas Wieland

Despite ample supply of COVID-19 vaccines, the proportion of fully vaccinated individuals remains suboptimal across much of the US. Rapid vaccination of additional people will prevent new infections among both the unvaccinated and the…

Using the COVID-19 Trends and Impact survey, we find that COVID-19 vaccinations reduced the prevalence of self-reported feelings of depression and anxiety, isolation, and worries about health among vaccine-accepting respondents in February…

Applications · Statistics 2023-02-14 Max Rubinstein , Amelia Haviland , Joshua Breslau

Vaccinations play a critical role in mitigating the impact of COVID-19 and other diseases. This study explores COVID-19 vaccine misinformation circulating on Twitter during 2021, when vaccines were being released to the public in an effort…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2023-02-27 Francesco Pierri , Matthew R. DeVerna , Kai-Cheng Yang , David Axelrod , John Bryden , Filippo Menczer

Vaccination campaigns have both direct and indirect effects that act to control an infectious disease as it spreads through a population. Indirect effects arise when vaccinated individuals block disease transmission in any infection chains…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-05-08 Lixin Lin , Homayoun Hamedmoghadam , Robert Shorten , Lewi Stone

The COVID-19 pandemic has created unprecedented challenges for governments and healthcare systems worldwide, highlighting the critical importance of understanding the factors that contribute to virus transmission. This study aimed to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-04 Md Khairul Islam , Tyler Valentine , Royal Wang , Levi Davis , Matt Manner , Judy Fox

It's been controversial whether re-opening school will facilitate viral spread among household communities with mitigation strategies such as mask-wearing in place. In this work, we propose an epidemiological model that explores the viral…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2022-11-17 Yurun Tian , Osman Yagan

Since the coronavirus disease (COVID-19) outbreak in December 2019, studies have been addressing diverse aspects in relation to COVID-19 and Variant of Concern 202012/01 (VOC 202012/01) such as potential symptoms and predictive tools.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-02 Wasiq Khan , Abir Hussain , Sohail Ahmed Khan , Mohammed Al-Jumailey , Raheel Nawaz , Panos Liatsis