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We propose a general formalism of iterated random functions with semigroup property, under which exact and approximate Bayesian posterior updates can be viewed as specific instances. A convergence theory for iterated random functions is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-11-05 Arash A. Amini , XuanLong Nguyen

In environmental studies, realistic simulations are essential for understanding complex systems. Statistical emulation with Gaussian processes (GPs) in functional data models have become a standard tool for this purpose. Traditional…

Applications · Statistics 2024-09-26 R. Jacob Andros , Rajarshi Guhaniyogi , Devin Francom , Donatella Pasqualini

The Bayesian Mallows model is a flexible tool for analyzing data in the form of complete or partial rankings, and transitive or intransitive pairwise preferences. In many potential applications of preference learning, data arrive…

Computation · Statistics 2025-11-26 Øystein Sørensen , Anja Stein , Waldir Leoncio Netto , David S. Leslie

Due to developments in instruments and computers, functional observations are increasingly popular. However, effective methodologies for flexibly estimating the underlying trends with valid uncertainty quantification for a sequence of…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-22 Tomoya Wakayama , Shonosuke Sugasawa

Bayesian inference provides a natural framework for updating knowledge as new information becomes available, often in a sequential manner by incorporating datasets in stages or reusing previous posteriors as priors. In practice, this is…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2026-05-22 Lipei Du

Multilevel compositional data are data that are repeatedly measured or clustered within groups and are non-negative and sum to a constant value. These data arise in various settings, such as intensive, longitudinal studies using ecological…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-21 Flora Le , Tyman E. Stanford , Dorothea Dumuid , Joshua F. Wiley

Bayesian networks are powerful statistical models to study the probabilistic relationships among set random variables with major applications in disease modeling and prediction. Here, we propose a continuous time Bayesian network with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-16 Syed Hasib Akhter Faruqui , Adel Alaeddini , Jing Wang , Carlos A. Jaramillo

Functional mixed models are widely useful for regression analysis with dependent functional data, including longitudinal functional data with scalar predictors. However, existing algorithms for Bayesian inference with these models only…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-14 Thomas Y. Sun , Daniel R. Kowal

Statistical depth, a commonly used analytic tool in non-parametric statistics, has been extensively studied for multivariate and functional observations over the past few decades. Although various forms of depth were introduced, they are…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-09-30 Weilong Zhao , Zishen Xu , Yun Yang , Wei Wu

Considering the context of functional data analysis, we developed and applied a new Bayesian approach via Gibbs sampler to select basis functions for a finite representation of functional data. The proposed methodology uses Bernoulli latent…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-02-13 Pedro Henrique T. O. Sousa , Camila P. E. de Souza , Ronaldo Dias

This paper proposes a Sequential Monte Carlo approach for the Bayesian estimation of mixed causal and noncausal models. Unlike previous Bayesian estimation methods developed for these models, Sequential Monte Carlo offers extensive…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-01-08 Gianluca Cubadda , Francesco Giancaterini , Stefano Grassi

Sequential Bayesian inference can be used for continual learning to prevent catastrophic forgetting of past tasks and provide an informative prior when learning new tasks. We revisit sequential Bayesian inference and test whether having…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-09 Samuel Kessler , Adam Cobb , Tim G. J. Rudner , Stefan Zohren , Stephen J. Roberts

We consider the situation where a temporal process is composed of contiguous segments with differing slopes and replicated noise-corrupted time series measurements are observed. The unknown mean of the data generating process is modelled as…

The Bayes factor, the data-based updating factor from prior to posterior odds, is a principled measure of relative evidence for two competing hypotheses. It is naturally suited to sequential data analysis in settings such as clinical trials…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-07 Samuel Pawel , Leonhard Held

Increasingly complex applications involve large datasets in combination with non-linear and high dimensional mathematical models. In this context, statistical inference is a challenging issue that calls for pragmatic approaches that take…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2013-01-31 Andreas Raue , Clemens Kreutz , Fabian Joachim Theis , Jens Timmer

The clustering for functional data with misaligned problems has drawn much attention in the last decade. Most methods do the clustering after those functional data being registered and there has been little research using both functional…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-11-15 Pengcheng Zeng , Jian Qing Shi , Won-Seok Kim

The analysis of multivariate functional curves has the potential to yield important scientific discoveries in domains such as healthcare, medicine, economics and social sciences. However, it is common for real-world settings to present…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-23 Tui Nolan , Sylvia Richardson , Hélène Ruffieux

By approximating posterior distributions with weighted samples, particle filters (PFs) provide an efficient mechanism for solving non-linear sequential state estimation problems. While the effectiveness of particle filters has been…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-15 Xiongjie Chen , Yunpeng Li

Multi-electrode arrays (MEAs) can record extracellular action potentials (also known as 'spikes') from hundreds or thousands of neurons simultaneously. Inference of a functional network from a spike train is a fundamental and formidable…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2020-07-07 Yun Zhao , Richard Jiang , Zhenni Xu , Elmer Guzman , Paul K. Hansma , Linda Petzold

Sparse functional/longitudinal data have attracted widespread interest due to the prevalence of such data in social and life sciences. A prominent scenario where such data are routinely encountered are accelerated longitudinal studies,…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-24 Yidong Zhou , Hans-Georg Müller