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The lack of established rules and regulations in cyberspace is attributed to the absence of agreed-upon ethical principles, making it difficult to establish accountability, regulations, and laws. Addressing this challenge requires examining…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2023-02-28 Quanyan Zhu

Systems modeling practice lacks security analysis tools that can interface with modeling languages to facilitate security by design. Security by design is a necessity in the age of safety critical cyber-physical systems, where security…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2020-10-19 Georgios Bakirtzis , Garrett L. Ward , Christopher J. Deloglos , Carl R. Elks , Barry M. Horowitz , Cody H. Fleming

Nowadays, companies are highly exposed to cyber security threats. In many industrial domains, protective measures are being deployed and actively supported by standards. However the global process remains largely dependent on document…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2024-09-13 Christophe Ponsard

This paper considers dynamic moral hazard settings, in which the consequences of the agent's actions are not precisely understood. In a new continuous-time moral hazard model with drift ambiguity, the agent's unobservable action translates…

General Economics · Economics 2021-10-29 Martin Dumav

The increasing frequency and sophistication of cybersecurity incidents pose significant challenges to organisations, highlighting the critical need for robust incident response capabilities. This paper explores a possible utilisation of IR…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2024-10-04 Abdulaziz Gulay , Leandros Maglaras

Cyber data attacks are the worst-case interacting bad data to power system state estimation and cannot be detected by existing bad data detectors. In this paper, we for the first time analyze the likelihood of cyber data attacks by…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2016-11-15 Yingshuai Hao , Meng Wang , Joe Chow

In the dynamic cyber threat landscape, effective decision-making under uncertainty is crucial for maintaining robust information security. This paper introduces the Cyber Resilience Index (CRI), a threat-informed probabilistic approach to…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2024-09-09 Lampis Alevizos , Vinh-Thong Ta

It is very challenging to predict the cost of a cyber incident owing to the complex nature of cyber risk. However, it is inevitable for insurance companies who offer cyber insurance policies. The time to identifying an incident and the time…

Applications · Statistics 2022-09-27 Maochao Xu , Quynh Nhu Nguyen

Traditional Cyber-physical Systems(CPSs) were not built with cybersecurity in mind. They operated on separate Operational Technology (OT) networks. As these systems now become more integrated with Information Technology (IT) networks based…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2021-03-09 Ameerah-Muhsinah Jamil , Lotfi ben Othmane , Altaz Valani

This paper studies an attacker against a cyber-physical system (CPS) whose goal is to move the state of a CPS to a target state while ensuring that his or her probability of being detected does not exceed a given bound. The attacker's…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-03-31 Yuan Chen , Soummya Kar , José M. F. Moura

Risk scoring systems are widely used in high-stakes domains to assist decision-making. However, existing approaches often focus on optimizing predictive accuracy or likelihood-based criteria, which may not align with the main goal of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-07 Wenhao Chi , Ş. İlker Birbil

We consider moral hazard problems where a principal has access to rich monitoring data about an agent's action. Rather than focusing on optimal contracts (which are known to in general be complicated), we characterize the optimal rate at…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2024-07-04 Mira Frick , Ryota Iijima , Yuhta Ishii

These days, cyber-criminals target humans rather than machines since they try to accomplish their malicious intentions by exploiting the weaknesses of end users. Thus, human vulnerabilities pose a serious threat to the security and…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2021-06-25 Dimitra Papatsaroucha , Yannis Nikoloudakis , Ioannis Kefaloukos , Evangelos Pallis , Evangelos K. Markakis

Orchestrated collaborative effort of physical and cyber components to satisfy given requirements is the central concept behind Cyber-Physical Systems (CPS). To duly ensure the performance of components, a software-based resilience manager…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2020-04-14 Mohammad Shihabul Haque , Daniel Jun Xian Ng , Arvind Easwaran , Karthik Thangamariappan

Traditional insurance pricing relies on risk-based principles that ensure actuarial fairness and solvency but do not explicitly account for policyholders' price sensitivity. We formulate insurance pricing as a decision-making problem and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-29 Sascha Günther , Dimitri Semenovich , Mario V. Wüthrich

A contract is an economic tool used by a principal to incentivize one or more agents to exert effort on her behalf, by defining payments based on observable performance measures. A key challenge addressed by contracts -- known in economics…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2024-12-24 Paul Duetting , Michal Feldman , Inbal Talgam-Cohen

Risk measures are commonly used to capture the risk preferences of decision-makers (DMs). The decisions of DMs can be nudged or manipulated when their risk preferences are influenced by factors such as the availability of information about…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-11-29 Shutian Liu , Quanyan Zhu

Risk is part of the fabric of every business; surprisingly, there is little work on establishing best practices for systematic, repeatable risk identification, arguably the first step of any risk management process. In this paper, we…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-10-29 Jochen L. Leidner

Modeling cyber risks has been an important but challenging task in the domain of cyber security. It is mainly because of the high dimensionality and heavy tails of risk patterns. Those obstacles have hindered the development of statistical…

Applications · Statistics 2021-03-16 Mingyue Zhang Wu , Jinzhu Luo , Xing Fang , Maochao Xu , Peng Zhao

Cyber-physical systems are at the intersection of digital technology and engineering domains, rendering them high-value targets of sophisticated and well-funded cybersecurity threat actors. Prominent cybersecurity attacks on CPS have…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2026-04-23 Shaofei Huang , Christopher M. Poskitt , Lwin Khin Shar