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This paper studies optimal insurance design under asymmetric information in a Stackelberg framework, where a monopolistic insurer faces uncertainty about both the insured's risk attitude, captured by a risk-aversion parameter, and the…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-04-20 Xia Han , Bin Li

Cyber risk classifications are widely used in the modeling of cyber event distributions, yet their effectiveness in out of sample forecasting performance remains underexplored. In this paper, we analyse the most commonly used…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2024-10-10 Matteo Malavasi , Gareth W. Peters , Stefan Treuck , Pavel V. Shevchenko , Jiwook Jang , Georgy Sofronov

In this article, we employ a principal-agent model to analyze optimal contract design in a monopolistic reinsurance market under adverse selection with a continuum of insurer types. Instead of using the classical expected utility framework,…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-01-06 Ka Chun Cheung , Sheung Chi Phillip Yam , Fei Lung Yuen , Yiying Zhang

Firms in inter-organizational networks such as supply chains or strategic alliances are exposed to interdependent risks. These are risks that are transferable across partner firms. They can be decomposed into intrinsic risks a firm faces…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2023-05-09 Sanjith Gopalakrishnan , Sriram Sankaranarayanan

Cybersecurity risk is commonly expressed through impact and likelihood, yet likelihood remains difficult to estimate because cyber incidents are underreported, heterogeneous datasets are weakly comparable, and attacker behaviour changes…

We focus on model risk and risk sensitivity when addressing the insurability of cyber risk. The standard statistical approaches to assessment of insurability and potential mispricing are enhanced in several aspects involving consideration…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-03-30 Gareth W. Peters , Matteo Malavasi , Georgy Sofronov , Pavel V. Shevchenko , Stefan Trück , Jiwook Jang

Cybersecurity risk management consists of several steps including the selection of appropriate controls to minimize risks. This is a difficult task that requires to search through all possible subsets of a set of available controls and…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2024-10-14 Majid Mollaeefar , Silvio Ranise

Efficient risk transfer is an important condition for ensuring the sustainability of a market according to the established economics literature. In an inefficient market, significant financial imbalances may develop and potentially…

General Economics · Economics 2023-08-17 Henry Skeoch , Christos Ioannidis

Motivated by the developments in cyber risk treatment in the finance industry, we propose a general framework of cyber bond, whose main purpose is to insure (compensate) losses of a cyber attack. Based on a database of publicly available…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2019-11-18 Oleg Kolesnikov , Alexander Markov , Daulet Smagulov , Sergejs Solovjovs

Public-Private Partnership (PPP) is a contract between a public entity and a consortium, in which the public outsources the construction and the maintenance of an equipment (hospital, university, prison...). One drawback of this contract is…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-03-07 Ishak Hajjej , Caroline Hillairet , Mohamed Mnif , Monique Pontier

Customer loyalty is crucial for internet services since retaining users of a service to ensure the staying time of the service is of significance for increasing revenue. It demands the retention of customers to be high enough to meet the…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2017-10-20 Junhua Chen , Wei Zeng , Ge Fan , Junmin Shao

Not a day goes by without news about a cyber attack. Fear spreads out and lots of wrong ideas circulate. This survey aims at showing how all these uncertainties about cyber can be transformed into manageable risk. After reviewing the main…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2023-03-24 Michel Dacorogna , Marie Kratz

Proactive cyber-risk assessment is gaining momentum due to the wide range of sectors that can benefit from the prevention of cyber-incidents by preserving integrity, confidentiality, and the availability of data. The rising attention to…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-11 Mario Angelelli , Serena Arima , Christian Catalano , Enrico Ciavolino

Cyberattacks in the energy sector are commonplace. Load-altering cyberattacks launched via the manipulations of high-wattage appliances and assets are particularly alarming, as they are not continuously monitored by electric power…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-12-07 Samrat Acharya , Robert Mieth , Charalambos Konstantinou , Ramesh Karri , Yury Dvorkin

In economic analysis, rational decision-makers often take actions to reduce their risk exposure. These actions include purchasing market insurance and implementing prevention measures to modify the shape of the loss distribution. Under the…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-02-24 Qiqi Li , Wei Wang , Yiying Zhang

This paper provides the first large-scale data-driven analysis to evaluate the predictive power of different attributes for assessing risk of cyberattack data breaches. Furthermore, motivated by rapid increase in third party enabled…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-11-14 Kevin Hu , Retsef Levi , Raphael Yahalom , El Ghali Zerhouni

Quantifying cyber risks is essential for organizations to grasp their vulnerability to threats and make informed decisions. However, current approaches still need to work on blending economic viewpoints to provide insightful analysis. To…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2024-05-07 Muriel Figueredo Franco , Aiatur Rahaman Mullick , Santosh Jha

There continue to be numerous breaches publicised pertaining to cyber security despite security practices being applied within industry for many years. This article is intended to be the first in a number of articles as research into cyber…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2016-01-18 Mark Evans , Leandros A. Maglaras , Ying He , Helge Janicke

There are two strategic and longstanding questions about cyber risk that organizations largely have been unable to answer: What is an organization's estimated risk exposure and how does its security compare with peers? Answering both…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2024-02-12 Taylor Reynolds , Sarah Scheffler , Daniel J. Weitzner , Angelina Wu

Many incentive design problems must contend with information asymmetries due to non-observation of efficiency (adverse selection) or non-observation of effort (moral hazard). And although a growing body of literature considers incentive…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-05-04 Jaewon Jeong , Pan-Yang Su , S. Shankar Sastry , Anil Aswani