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Related papers: A prediction for the 25th solar cycle maximum ampl…

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Direct observations over the past four centuries show that the number of sunspots observed on the Sun's surface vary periodically, going through successive maxima and minima. Following sunspot cycle 23, the Sun went into a prolonged minimum…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2013-03-05 Dibyendu Nandy , Andrés Muñoz-Jaramillo , Petrus C. H. Martens

The forthcoming solar cycle (SC) 25 was beleived to be rather low when using the sunspot number (SN) as a measurement of the level of activity. The most popular prediction was made by the panel of NASA in 2019, including works based on…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2022-05-19 S. Koutchmy , B. Filippov , E. Tavabi , J-C. Noens , O. Wurmser

Context: The Sun's polar fields and open flux around the time of activity minima have been considered to be strongly correlated with the strength of the subsequent maximum of solar activity. Aims: We aim to investigate the behavior of a…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-15 J. Jiang , R. H. Cameron , D. Schmitt , E. Isik

The Sun's polar magnetic fields are directly related to solar cycle variability. The strength of the polar fields at the start (minimum) of a cycle determine the subsequent amplitude of that cycle. In addition, the polar field reversals at…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2014-08-01 Lisa Upton , David H. Hathaway

We use Sun-as-a-star helioseismology data, collected by the Birmingham Solar-Oscillations Network (BiSON), to examine the relationship between the solar-cycle-induced frequency shifts of whole-Sun, low-angular degree solar p modes and…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2026-05-29 William J. Chaplin , Sarbani Basu , Rachel Howe , Yvonne Elsworth , Steven J. Hale , Eleanor Murray

Is Solar Cycle 24 anomalous? How do we predict the main features of a forthcoming cycle? In order to reply such questions, this work partitions quantitatively each cycle into valley, ascend, peak, and descend phases, statistically…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2018-12-26 Baolin Tan

The availability of continuous helioseismic data for two consecutive solar minima has provided a unique opportunity to study the changes in the solar interior that might have led to this unusual minimum. We present preliminary analysis of…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2010-02-12 Kiran Jain , S. C. Tripathy , O. Burtseva , I. Gonzalez Hernandez , F. Hill , R. Howe , S. Kholikov , R. Komm , J. Leibacher

We present a new and up-to-date analysis of the solar low-degree $p$-mode parameter shifts from the Birmingham Solar-Oscillations Network (BiSON) over the past 22 years, up to the end of 2014. We aim to demonstrate that they are not…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2015-11-04 R. Howe , G. R. Davies , W. J. Chaplin , Y. P. Elsworth , S. J. Hale

Aims. The Sun shows strong variability in its magnetic activity, from Grand minima to Grand maxima, but the nature of the variability is not fully understood, mostly because of the insufficient length of the directly observed solar activity…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2014-02-24 I. G. Usoskin , G. Hulot , Y. Gallet , R. Roth , A. Licht , F. Joos , G. A. Kovaltsov , E. Thebault , A. Khokhlov

Based on the data of the solar wind (SW) measurements of the OMNI base for the period 1976-2019, the behavior of SW types as well as plasma and interplanetary magnetic field (IMF) parameters for 21-24 solar cycles (SCs) is studied. It is…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2023-05-02 Yuri I. Yermolaev , Irina G. Lodkina , Aleksander A. Khokhlachev , Mikhail Yu. Yermolaev

Using neural networks as a prediction method, we attempt to demonstrate that forecasting of the Sun's sunspot time series can be extended to the spatial-temporal case. We employ this machine learning methodology to forecast not only in time…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2019-03-08 Eurico Covas , Nuno Peixinho , Joao Fernandes

The sunspot number data during the past 400 years indicates that both the profile and the amplitude of the solar cycle have large variations. Some precursors of the solar cycle were identified aiming to predict the solar cycle. The polar…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-15 Jie Jiang

Although systematic measurements of the solar polar magnetic field exist only from mid 1970s, other proxies can be used to infer the polar field at earlier times. The observational data indicate a strong correlation between the polar field…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-11-13 Jie Jiang , Piyali Chatterjee , Arnab Rai Choudhuri

The unexpected development of cycle 24 emphasizes the need for a better way to model future solar activity. In this article, we analyze the accumulation of spotless days during individual cycles from 1798-2010. The analysis shows that…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2011-04-27 M. Lindholm Nielsen , H. Kjeldsen

Recently discovered long-term oscillations of the solar background magnetic field associated with double dynamo waves generated in inner and outer layers of the Sun indicate that the solar activity is heading in the next three decades…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2020-04-13 V. V. Zharkova , S. J. Shepherd , E. Popova

We study the behaviour of the van der Pol oscillator when either its damping parameter $\mu$ or its nonlinearity parameter $\xi$ is subject to additive or multiplicative random noise. Assuming various power law exponents for the relation…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2014-04-15 M. Nagy , K. Petrovay

Using both wavelet and Fourier analysis, a study has been undertaken of the changes in the quasi-periodic variations in solar photospheric fields in the build-up to one of the deepest solar minima experienced in the past 100 years. This…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-15 Susanta Kumar Bisoi , P. Janardhan , D. Chakrabarty , S. Ananthakrishnan , Ankur Divekar

We present a study of the solar wind over different periods of the solar cycle, specifically focussing on the minimum between solar cycles 24 and 25, and the active, ascending phase of solar cycle 25. With the use of interplanetary…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2025-06-18 A. Waszewski , J. S. Morgan , R. Ekers , M. Johnston-Hollitt , M. C. M. Cheung , N. D. R. Bhat , R. Chhetri , S. C. Fu

The solar cycle periodically reshapes the magnetic structure and radiative output of the Sun and determines its impact on the heliosphere roughly every 11 years. Besides this main periodicity, it shows century-long variations (including…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2022-03-23 A. Munoz-Jaramillo , J. M. Vaquero

After reviewing potential early indicators of an upcoming solar cycle at high latitudes, we focus attention on the rush-to-the-poles (RTTP) phenomenon in coronal green line emission. Considering various correlations between properties of…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2019-12-18 K. Petrovay , M. Nagy , T. Gerják , L. Juhász