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In a wide range of applications, the stochastic properties of the observed time series change over time. The changes often occur gradually rather than abruptly: the properties are (approximately) constant for some time and then slowly start…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-04-03 Michael Vogt , Holger Dette

We propose a new approach for deriving probabilistic inequalities based on bounding likelihood ratios. We demonstrate that this approach is more general and powerful than the classical method frequently used for deriving concentration…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-11-21 Xinjia Chen

Mixtures of generalized normal distributions (MGND) have gained popularity for modelling datasets with complex statistical behaviours. However, the estimation of the shape parameter within the maximum likelihood framework is quite complex,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-03 Pierdomenico Duttilo , Stefano Antonio Gattone

We consider a generalized method of moments framework in which a part of the data vector is missing for some units in a completely unrestricted, potentially endogenous way. In this setup, the parameters of interest are usually only…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-01-07 Grigory Franguridi , Hyungsik Roger Moon

Recently the identity method was proposed to calculate second moments of the multiplicity distributions from event-by-event measurements in the presence of the effects of incomplete particle identification. In this paper the method is…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2012-10-30 A. Rustamov , M. I. Gorenstein

Uniform bin width histograms are widely used so this data graphic should represent data as correctly as possible. Method of moments based on familiar mean, variance and Fisher-Pearson skewness cure this problem.

Methodology · Statistics 2019-09-11 James S. Weber , Nicole A. Lazar

We propose a hybrid moment method for the multi-scale kinetic equations in the framework of the regularized moment method [7]. In this method, the fourth order moment system is chosen as the governing equations in the fluid region. When…

Computational Physics · Physics 2020-04-14 Weiming Li , Peng Song , Yanli Wang

We use the method of Maximum (relative) Entropy to process information in the form of observed data and moment constraints. The generic "canonical" form of the posterior distribution for the problem of simultaneous updating with data and…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2016-09-08 Adom Giffin , Ariel Caticha

The latest generation of volatility derivatives goes beyond variance and volatility swaps and probes our ability to price realized variance and sojourn times along bridges for the underlying stock price process. In this paper, we give an…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-02 Claudio Albanese , Adel Osseiran

Meta-analyses are commonly used to provide solid evidence across numerous studies. Traditional moment methods, such as the DerSimonian-Laird method, remain popular in spite of the availability of more accurate alternatives. While moment…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-06 Keisuke Hanada , Tomoyuki Sugimoto

In this paper we propose an objective Bayesian estimation approach for the parameters of the generalized gamma distribution. Various reference priors are obtained, but showing that they lead to improper posterior distributions. We overcome…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-12-19 Pedro L. Ramos , Francisco Louzada

Dirichlet distributions are probability measures on the unit simplex. They are often used as prior distributions in modeling categorical data, such as in topic analysis of text data. Motivated by this application, we consider Monte Carlo…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-07 Ayeong Lee

Local projections (LPs) are widely used for impulse response analysis, but Bayesian methods face challenges due to the absence of a likelihood function. Existing approaches rely on pseudo-likelihoods, which often result in poorly calibrated…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-05-19 Masahiro Tanaka

Computation of moments of transformed random variables is a problem appearing in many engineering applications. The current methods for moment transformation are mostly based on the classical quadrature rules which cannot account for the…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-01-06 Jakub Prüher , Ondřej Straka

The classical problem of moments is addressed by the maximum entropy approach for one-dimensional discrete distributions. The numerical technique of adaptive support approximation is proposed to reconstruct the distributions in the region…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2014-09-02 Alexander Andreychenko , Linar Mikeev , Verena Wolf

This paper considers an extension of the multivariate symmetric Laplace distribution to matrix variate case. The symmetric Laplace distribution is a scale mixture of normal distribution. The maximum likelihood estimators (MLE) of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-09-18 Pooja Yadav , Tanuja Srivastava

Concentration inequalities, a major tool in probability theory, quantify how much a random variable deviates from a certain quantity. This paper proposes a systematic convex optimization approach to studying and generating concentration…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-08-30 Celine Moucer , Adrien Taylor , Francis Bach

This paper proposes a linear categorical random coefficient model, in which the random coefficients follow parametric categorical distributions. The distributional parameters are identified based on a linear recurrence structure of moments…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-03-01 Zhan Gao , M. Hashem Pesaran

This paper develops a systematic parametric method for analyzing stochastic systems under volatility uncertainty within the $G$-expectation framework. Leveraging the dual representation of the $G$-expectation as a supremum over a family of…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-27 Guangqian Zhao

We introduce two types of estimators of the finite-dimensional parameters in the case of observations of inhomogeneous Poisson processes. These are the estimators of the method of moments and multi-step MLE. It is shown that the estimators…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-06-19 Ali S. Dabye , Alix A. Gounoung , Yury A. Kutoyants