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A robust adaptive model predictive control (MPC) algorithm is presented for linear, time invariant systems with unknown dynamics and subject to bounded measurement noise. The system is characterized by an impulse response model, which is…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-11-21 Anilkumar Parsi , Andrea Iannelli , Mingzhou Yin , Mohammad Khosravi , Roy S. Smith

We propose a novel distribution-free scheme to solve optimization problems where the goal is to minimize the expected value of a cost function subject to probabilistic constraints. Unlike standard sampling-based methods, our idea consists…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-05-28 Francesco Cordiano , Matin Jafarian , Bart De Schutter

Bayesian optimization is a coherent, ubiquitous approach to decision-making under uncertainty, with applications including multi-arm bandits, active learning, and black-box optimization. Bayesian optimization selects decisions (i.e.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-13 Samuel Stanton , Wesley Maddox , Andrew Gordon Wilson

Portfolio optimization has been a major topic of research in finance, as it has a significant impact on investment profit. In this paper, we investigate the problem of data uncertainty in convex multi-objective portfolio optimization. We…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-04-11 Amin Mohazab Rahimzadeh , Alireza Saranj

The trade-off between robustness and accuracy has been widely studied in the adversarial literature. Although still controversial, the prevailing view is that this trade-off is inherent, either empirically or theoretically. Thus, we dig for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-17 Tianyu Pang , Min Lin , Xiao Yang , Jun Zhu , Shuicheng Yan

We consider the problem of minimizing a certainty equivalent of the total or discounted cost over a finite and an infinite time horizon which is generated by a Partially Observable Markov Decision Process (POMDP). The certainty equivalent…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-07-21 Nicole Bäuerle , Ulrich Rieder

We study a robust portfolio optimization problem under model uncertainty for an investor with logarithmic or power utility. The uncertainty is specified by a set of possible L\'evy triplets; that is, possible instantaneous drift, volatility…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-03-23 Ariel Neufeld , Marcel Nutz

Post-hoc explanation methods for machine learning models have been widely used to support decision-making. One of the popular methods is Counterfactual Explanation (CE), also known as Actionable Recourse, which provides a user with a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-10 Kentaro Kanamori , Takuya Takagi , Ken Kobayashi , Yuichi Ike , Kento Uemura , Hiroki Arimura

Long-term reservoir management often uses bounds on the reservoir level, between which the operator can work. However, these bounds are not always kept up-to-date with the latest knowledge about the reservoir drainage area, and thus become…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-01-29 Thibaut Cuvelier , Pierre Archambeau , Benjamin Dewals , Quentin Louveaux

This survey reviews recent developments in revealed preference theory. It discusses the testable implications of theories of choice that are germane to specific economic environments. The focus is on expected utility in risky environments;…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2019-12-04 Federico Echenique

Adaptive robust optimization (ARO) extends static robust optimization by allowing decisions to depend on the realized uncertainty - weakly dominating static solutions within the modeled uncertainty set. However, ARO makes previous…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-11-20 Karl Zhu , Dimitris Bertsimas

In this paper we study a robust utility maximization problem in continuous time under model uncertainty. The model uncertainty is governed by a continuous semimartingale with uncertain local characteristics. Here, the differential…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-08-04 David Criens , Lars Niemann

We formulate conditions for the solvability of the problem of robust utility maximization from final wealth in continuous time financial markets, without assuming weak compactness of the densities of the uncertainty set, as customary in the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-07-14 Julio Backhoff , Joaquín Fontbona

We combine forward investment performance processes and ambiguity averse portfolio selection. We introduce the notion of robust forward criteria which addresses the issues of ambiguity in model specification and in preferences and…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2014-11-17 Sigrid Kallblad , Jan Obloj , Thaleia Zariphopoulou

In a consideration set model, an individual maximizes utility among the considered alternatives. I relate a consideration set additive random utility model to classic discrete choice and the extended additive random utility model, in which…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-05-24 Roy Allen

In this paper, we consider an adaptive approach to address optimization problems with uncertain cost parameters. Here, the decision maker selects an initial decision, observes the realization of the uncertain cost parameters, and then is…

Computational Complexity · Computer Science 2013-12-17 Ebrahim Nasrabadi , James B. Orlin

We consider the maximization problem of monotone submodular functions under an uncertain knapsack constraint. Specifically, the problem is discussed in the situation that the knapsack capacity is not given explicitly and can be accessed…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2018-03-08 Yasushi Kawase , Hanna Sumita , Takuro Fukunaga

We gain robustness on the quantification of a risk measurement by accounting for all sources of uncertainties tainting the inputs of a computer code. We evaluate the maximum quantile over a class of distributions defined only by constraints…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-12-03 Jerome Stenger , Fabrice Gamboa , Merlin Keller , Bertrand Iooss

We develop an approach to risk minimization and stochastic optimization that provides a convex surrogate for variance, allowing near-optimal and computationally efficient trading between approximation and estimation error. Our approach…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-12-15 John Duchi , Hongseok Namkoong

Chance constraints are frequently used to limit the probability of constraint violations in real-world optimization problems where the constraints involve stochastic components. We study chance-constrained submodular optimization problems,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-09-27 Xiankun Yan , Anh Viet Do , Feng Shi , Xiaoyu Qin , Frank Neumann
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