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Distributionally robust control (DRC) aims to effectively manage distributional ambiguity in stochastic systems. While most existing works address inaccurate distributional information in fully observable settings, we consider a partially…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-12-23 Astghik Hakobyan , Insoon Yang

We advocate for a new statistical principle that combines the most desirable aspects of both parameter inference and density estimation. This leads us to the predictively oriented (PrO) posterior, which expresses uncertainty as a…

We address the problem of efficiently computing Wasserstein distances for multiple pairs of distributions drawn from a meta-distribution. To this end, we propose a fast estimation method based on regressing Wasserstein distance on sliced…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-04 Khai Nguyen , Hai Nguyen , Nhat Ho

We consider the problem of recovering a distribution function on the real line from observations additively contaminated with errors following the standard Laplace distribution. Assuming that the latent distribution is completely unknown…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-08-21 Catia Scricciolo

In Bayesian inference, making deductions about a parameter of interest requires one to sample from or compute an integral against a posterior distribution. A popular method to make these computations cheaper in high-dimensional settings is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-06-10 Anya Katsevich

Non-convex sampling is a key challenge in machine learning, central to non-convex optimization in deep learning as well as to approximate probabilistic inference. Despite its significance, theoretically there remain many important…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-18 Mohammad Reza Karimi , Ya-Ping Hsieh , Andreas Krause

Estimating time-varying correlation matrices is challenging because existing methods may adapt slowly to structural changes, impose insufficient regularization, or produce diffuse posterior uncertainty. In moderate dimensions, an additional…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-11 Daniel Andrew Coulson , David S. Matteson , Martin T. Wells

Laplacian-P-splines (LPS) associate the P-splines smoother and the Laplace approximation in a unifying framework for fast and flexible inference under the Bayesian paradigm. Gaussian Markov field priors imposed on penalized latent variables…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-18 Philippe Lambert , Oswaldo Gressani

Time series data arising in many applications nowadays are high-dimensional. A large number of parameters describe features of these time series. We propose a novel approach to modeling a high-dimensional time series through several…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-22 Arkaprava Roy , Anindya Roy , Subhashis Ghosal

B\'ezier simplex fitting algorithms have been recently proposed to approximate the Pareto set/front of multi-objective continuous optimization problems. These new methods have shown to be successful at approximating various shapes of Pareto…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-14 Akinori Tanaka , Akiyoshi Sannai , Ken Kobayashi , Naoki Hamada

This paper is motivated by the problem of quantitatively bounding the convergence of adaptive control methods for stochastic systems to a stationary distribution. Such bounds are useful for analyzing statistics of trajectories and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-10-19 Tyler Lekang , Andrew Lamperski

We consider sampling from a Gibbs distribution by evolving a finite number of particles using a particular score estimator rather than Brownian motion. To accelerate the particles, we consider a second-order score-based ODE, similar to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-19 Hong Ye Tan , Stanley Osher , Wuchen Li

Wasserstein barycenters define averages of probability measures in a geometrically meaningful way. Their use is increasingly popular in applied fields, such as image, geometry or language processing. In these fields however, the probability…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-03-13 Guillaume Carlier , Alex Delalande , Quentin Merigot

We study the contraction in Wasserstein distance of the coordinate ascent variational inference algorithm. This is shown to hold under a transport-information inequality at the fixed points and a functional smoothness condition. The results…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-29 Rocco Caprio , Adrien Corenflos , Sam Power

We employ techniques from optimal transport in order to prove decay of transfer operators associated to iterated functions systems and expanding maps, giving rise to a new proof without requiring a Doeblin-Fortet (or Lasota-Yorke)…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2015-08-25 Benoit Kloeckner , Artur Lopes , Manuel Stadlbauer

Constructing accurate, flexible, and efficient parametrizations is one of the great challenges in the numerical modelling of geophysical fluids. We consider here the simple yet paradigmatic case of a Lorenz 84 model forced by a Lorenz 63…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-11-16 Gabriele Vissio , Valerio Lucarini

A new Wasserstein multi-element polynomial chaos expansion (WPCE) is proposed, which is inspired by recent advances in computational optimal transport for estimating Wasserstein distances. The developed method combines unsupervised learning…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-10-17 Robert Gruhlke , Martin Eigel

Convex PCA, which was introduced in Bigot et al. (2017), modifies Euclidean PCA by restricting the data and the principal components to lie in a given convex subset of a Hilbert space. This setting arises naturally in many applications,…

Computation · Statistics 2024-09-04 Steven Campbell , Ting-Kam Leonard Wong

As the complexity of modern control systems increases, it becomes challenging to derive an accurate model of the uncertainty that affects their dynamics. Wasserstein Distributionally Robust Optimization (DRO) provides a powerful framework…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-09-09 Riccardo Cescon , Andrea Martin , Giancarlo Ferrari-Trecate

Although linear regression models are fundamental tools in statistical science, the estimation results can be sensitive to outliers. While several robust methods have been proposed in frequentist frameworks, statistical inference is not…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-15 Shintaro Hashimoto , Shonosuke Sugasawa