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Time series forecasting is often fundamental to scientific and engineering problems and enables decision making. With ever increasing data set sizes, a trivial solution to scale up predictions is to assume independence between interacting…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-18 Kashif Rasul , Abdul-Saboor Sheikh , Ingmar Schuster , Urs Bergmann , Roland Vollgraf

Many complex systems that exhibit temporal non-pairwise interactions can be represented by means of generative higher-order network models. Here, we propose a hidden variables formalism to analytically characterize a general class of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-02-12 Leonardo Di Gaetano , Federico Battiston , Michele Starnini

We investigate the problem of discovering and modeling regime shifts in an ecosystem comprising multiple time series known as co-evolving time series. Regime shifts refer to the changing behaviors exhibited by series at different time…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-16 Etienne Gael Tajeuna , Mohamed Bouguessa , Shengrui Wang

We develop a framework to track the structure of temporal networks with a signal processing approach. The method is based on the duality between networks and signals using a multidimensional scaling technique. This enables a study of the…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2015-05-13 Ronan Hamon , Pierre Borgnat , Patrick Flandrin , Céline Robardet

Network visualisation techniques are important tools for the exploratory analysis of complex systems. While these methods are regularly applied to visualise data on complex networks, we increasingly have access to time series data that can…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-08-26 Vincenzo Perri , Ingo Scholtes

In this paper, we aim to improve multivariate anomaly detection (AD) by modeling the \textit{time-varying non-linear spatio-temporal correlations} found in multivariate time series data . In multivariate time series data, an anomaly may be…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-19 Padmaksha Roy , Almuatazbellah Boker , Lamine Mili

Human social interactions are typically recorded as time-specific dyadic interactions, and represented as evolving (temporal) networks, where links are activated/deactivated over time. However, individuals can interact in groups of more…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-11-03 Alberto Ceria , Huijuan Wang

Higher-order networks, naturally described as hypergraphs, are essential for modeling real-world systems involving interactions among three or more entities. Stochastic block models offer a principled framework for characterizing mesoscale…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-11-27 Kazuki Nakajima , Yuya Sasaki , Takeaki Uno , Masaki Aida

The co-evolution of structure and dynamics, known as adaptivity, is a fundamental property in various systems and drives diverse emergent behaviors. However, the adaptivity in previous works is primarily stemmed from pairwise situations,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-08-22 Longzhao Liu , Hongwei Zheng , Zhihao Han , Xin Wang , Shaoting Tang

Changes in the timescales at which complex systems evolve are essential to predicting critical transitions and catastrophic failures. Disentangling the timescales of the dynamics governing complex systems remains a key challenge. With this…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-11 Giona Casiraghi , Georges Andres

Understanding cooperation in social dilemmas requires models that capture the complexity of real-world interactions. While network frameworks have provided valuable insights to model the evolution of cooperation, they are unable to encode…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-07-15 Onkar Sadekar , Andrea Civilini , Vito Latora , Federico Battiston

This paper introduces new methodology based on the field of Topological Data Analysis for detecting anomalies in multivariate time series, that aims to detect global changes in the dependency structure between channels. The proposed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-06-11 Frédéric Chazal , Martin Royer , Clément Levrard

Networks are a fundamental tool for understanding and modeling complex systems in physics, biology, neuroscience, engineering, and social science. Many networks are known to exhibit rich, lower-order connectivity patterns that can be…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2018-01-08 Austin R. Benson , David F. Gleich , Jure Leskovec

We describe a novel method for modeling non-stationary multivariate time series, with time-varying conditional dependencies represented through dynamic networks. Our proposed approach combines traditional multi-scale modeling and network…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-12-25 Xinyu Kang , Apratim Ganguly , Eric D. Kolaczyk

Temporal networks are commonly used to represent dynamical complex systems like social networks, simultaneous firing of neurons, human mobility or public transportation. Their dynamics may evolve on multiple time scales characterising for…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-02-27 Elsa Andres , Alain Barrat , Márton Karsai

Networks are well-established representations of social systems, and temporal networks are widely used to study their dynamics. Temporal network data often consist in a succession of static networks over consecutive time windows whose…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-09-30 Valeria Gelardi , Didier Le Bail , Alain Barrat , Nicolas Claidière

Ordinal time series analysis is based on the idea to map time series to ordinal patterns, i.e., order relations between the values of a time series and not the values themselves, as introduced in 2002 by C. Bandt and B. Pompe. Despite a…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2023-02-03 Klaus Lehnertz

The characterization of the "most connected" nodes in static or slowly evolving complex networks has helped in understanding and predicting the behavior of social, biological, and technological networked systems, including their robustness…

Physics and Society · Physics 2010-10-21 Scott A. Hill , Dan Braha

Many topological data analysis (TDA) pipelines compute large collections of persistence diagrams, yet vectorizations and kernel methods discard the rank-induced implication relations among persistence intervals that are essential for…

Computational Geometry · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Charles Fanning , Mehmet Aktas

Finding interdependency relations between (possibly multivariate) time series provides valuable knowledge about the processes that generate the signals. Information theory sets a natural framework for non-parametric measures of several…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2016-02-09 German Gomez-Herrero , Wei Wu , Kalle Rutanen , Miguel C. Soriano , Gordon Pipa , Raul Vicente