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Precise probabilistic forecasts are fundamental for energy risk management, and there is a wide range of both statistical and machine learning models for this purpose. Inherent to these probabilistic models is some form of uncertainty…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-10 Andreas Lebedev , Abhinav Das , Sven Pappert , Stephan Schlüter

Estimating the uncertainty of a neural network plays a fundamental role in safety-critical settings. In perception for autonomous driving, measuring the uncertainty means providing additional calibrated information to downstream tasks, such…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-12-30 Stefano Gasperini , Jan Haug , Mohammad-Ali Nikouei Mahani , Alvaro Marcos-Ramiro , Nassir Navab , Benjamin Busam , Federico Tombari

In this paper, the uncertainty is defined as the mean square error between a given enhanced noisy observation vector and the corresponding clean one. Then, a DNN is trained by using enhanced noisy observation vectors as input and the…

Sound · Computer Science 2017-05-31 José Novoa , Josué Fredes , Néstor Becerra Yoma

Development of an accurate, flexible, and numerically efficient uncertainty quantification (UQ) method is one of fundamental challenges in machine learning. Previously, a UQ method called DISCO Nets has been proposed (Bouchacourt et al.,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-06 Takuya Kanazawa , Chetan Gupta

Uncertainty estimation for unlabeled data is crucial to active learning. With a deep neural network employed as the backbone model, the data selection process is highly challenging due to the potential over-confidence of the model…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-14 Xingjian Li , Pengkun Yang , Yangcheng Gu , Xueying Zhan , Tianyang Wang , Min Xu , Chengzhong Xu

Epicardial adipose tissue (EAT) is a type of visceral fat that can secrete large amounts of adipokines to affect the myocardium and coronary arteries. EAT volume and density can be used as independent risk markers measurement of volume by…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-02-26 Kai Zhao , Zhiming Liu , Jiaqi Liu , Jingbiao Zhou , Bihong Liao , Huifang Tang , Qiuyu Wang , Chunquan Li

The success of deep active learning hinges on the choice of an effective acquisition function, which ranks not yet labeled data points according to their expected informativeness. Many acquisition functions are (partly) based on the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-08 Mohamadsadegh Khosravani , Sandra Zilles

Accurate and uncertainty-aware degradation estimation is essential for predictive maintenance in safety-critical systems like rotating machinery with rolling-element bearings. Many existing uncertainty methods lack confidence calibration,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-19 Waleed Razzaq , Yun-Bo Zhao

We use Gaussian stochastic weight averaging (SWAG) to assess the model-form uncertainty associated with neural-network-based function approximation relevant to fluid flows. SWAG approximates a posterior Gaussian distribution of each weight,…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2022-08-17 Masaki Morimoto , Kai Fukami , Romit Maulik , Ricardo Vinuesa , Koji Fukagata

Learning a medical image segmentation model is an inherently ambiguous task, as uncertainties exist in both images (noise) and manual annotations (human errors and bias) used for model training. To build a trustworthy image segmentation…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-08-17 Xinyu Bai , Wenjia Bai

Effective quantification of uncertainty is an essential and still missing step towards a greater adoption of deep-learning approaches in different applications, including mission-critical ones. In particular, investigations on the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-14 Marco Forgione , Dario Piga

Purpose: To compare the segmentation and detection performance of a deep learning model trained on a database of human-labelled clinical diffusion-weighted (DW) stroke lesions to a model trained on the same database enhanced with synthetic…

Accurate brain tumor segmentation from MRI scans is critical for diagnosis and treatment planning. Despite the strong performance of recent deep learning approaches, two fundamental limitations remain: (1) the lack of reliable uncertainty…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-03-24 Bahram Mohammadi , Yanqiu Wu , Vu Minh Hieu Phan , Sam White , Minh-Son To , Jian Yang , Michael Sheng , Yang Song , Yuankai Qi

In recent years, deep learning has rapidly become a method of choice for the segmentation of medical images. Deep Neural Network (DNN) architectures such as UNet have achieved state-of-the-art results on many medical datasets. To further…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-04-13 Truong Dang , Tien Thanh Nguyen , John McCall , Eyad Elyan , Carlos Francisco Moreno-García

Emerging deep-learning (DL)-based techniques have significant potential to revolutionize biomedical imaging. However, one outstanding challenge is the lack of reliability assessment in the DL predictions, whose errors are commonly revealed…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-05-07 Yujia Xue , Shiyi Cheng , Yunzhe Li , Lei Tian

Estimating matrices in the symmetric positive-definite (SPD) cone is of interest for many applications ranging from computer vision to graph learning. While there exist various convex optimization-based estimators, they remain limited in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-24 Can Pouliquen , Mathurin Massias , Titouan Vayer

We provide single-model estimates of aleatoric and epistemic uncertainty for deep neural networks. To estimate aleatoric uncertainty, we propose Simultaneous Quantile Regression (SQR), a loss function to learn all the conditional quantiles…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-09-09 Natasa Tagasovska , David Lopez-Paz

Shallow water equations (SWEs) are the backbone of most hydrodynamics models for flood prediction, river engineering, and many other water resources applications. The estimation of flow resistance, i.e., the Manning's roughness coefficient…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2026-05-12 Xiaofeng Liu , Yalan Song

Event cameras provide high temporal resolution, high dynamic range, and low latency, offering significant advantages over conventional frame-based cameras. In this work, we introduce an uncertainty-aware refinement network called URNet for…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-09-24 Yifeng Cheng , Alois Knoll , Hu Cao

Semantic segmentation neural networks require pixel-level annotations in large quantities to achieve a good performance. In the medical domain, such annotations are expensive, because they are time-consuming and require expert knowledge.…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-10-28 Grzegorz Chlebus , Andrea Schenk , Horst K. Hahn , Bram van Ginneken , Hans Meine
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