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We consider a stochastic process driven by a diffusion and jumps. We devise a technique, which is based on a discrete record of observations, for identifying the times when jumps larger than a suitably defined threshold occurred. The…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Cecilia Mancini

In this article, we introduce a novel non-parametric predictor, based on conditional expectation, for the unknown diffusion coefficient function $\sigma$ in the stochastic partial differential equation $Lu = \sigma(u)\dot{W}$, where $L$ is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-09-17 Martin Andersson , Benny Avelin , Valentin Garino , Pauliina Ilmonen , Lauri Viitasaari

We study a class of Stochastic Differential Equations (SDEs) with jumps modeling multistage Michaelis--Menten enzyme kinetics, in which a substrate is sequentially transformed into a product via a cascade of intermediate complexes. These…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-14 Arnab Ganguly , Wasiur R. KhudaBukhsh

Numerical approximation of the long time behavior of a stochastic differential equation (SDE) is considered. Error estimates for time-averaging estimators are obtained and then used to show that the stationary behavior of the numerical…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-11-26 Jonathan C. Mattingly , Andrew M. Stuart , M. V. Tretyakov

This paper proposes a novel low-rank approximation to the multivariate State-Space Model. The Stochastic Partial Differential Equation (SPDE) approach is applied component-wise to the independent-in-time Mat\'ern Gaussian innovation term in…

This work proposes stochastic partial differential equations (SPDEs) as a practical tool to replicate clustering effects of more detailed particle-based dynamics. Inspired by membrane-mediated receptor dynamics on cell surfaces, we…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2025-01-22 Nathalie Wehlitz , Mohsen Sadeghi , Alberto Montefusco , Christof Schütte , Grigorios A. Pavliotis , Stefanie Winkelmann

The coefficients in a second order parabolic linear stochastic partial differential equation (SPDE) are estimated from multiple spatially localised measurements. Assuming that the spatial resolution tends to zero and the number of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-07-26 Randolf Altmeyer , Anton Tiepner , Martin Wahl

We consider a system of interacting diffusions on the integer lattice. By letting the mesh size go to zero and by using a suitable scaling, we show that the system converges (in a strong sense) to a solution of the stochastic heat equation…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-04-29 Mathew Joseph , Davar Khoshnevisan , Carl Mueller

We study statistical inference for small-noise-perturbed multiscale dynamical systems under the assumption that we observe a single time series from the slow process only. We construct estimators for both averaging and homogenization…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-09-13 Siragan Gailus , Konstantinos Spiliopoulos

We address the problem of estimating unknown model parameters and state variables in stochastic reaction processes when only sparse and noisy measurements are available. Using an asymptotic system size expansion for the backward equation we…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2010-07-02 Andreas Ruttor , Manfred Opper

In this paper, we discuss and compare two probabilistic approaches for associating a stochastic differential equation with a McKean-type partial differential equation featuring a reaction term and path-dependent coefficients. The…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-10 Daniela Morale , Leonardo Tarquini , Stefania Ugolini

We address the problem of parameter estimation for degenerate diffusion processes defined via the solution of Stochastic Differential Equations (SDEs) with diffusion matrix that is not full-rank. For this class of hypo-elliptic diffusions…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-09-04 Yuga Iguchi , Alexandros Beskos

We study efficiency of non-parametric estimation of diffusions (stochastic differential equations driven by Brownian motion) from long stationary trajectories. First, we introduce estimators based on conditional expectation which is…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-05-26 Xi Chen , Ilya Timofeyev

We consider stochastic partial differential equations under minimal assumptions: the coefficients are merely bounded and measurable and satisfy the stochastic parabolicity condition. In particular, the diffusion term is allowed to be…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-10-18 Konstantinos Dareiotis , Máté Gerencsér

The macroscopic behavior of dissipative stochastic partial differential equations usually can be described by a finite dimensional system. This article proves that a macroscopic reduced model may be constructed for stochastic…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2008-12-11 Wei Wang , A. J. Roberts

Our first result is a stochastic sewing lemma with quantitative estimates for mild incremental processes, with which we study SPDEs driven by fractional Brownian motions in a random environment. We obtain uniform $L^p$-bounds. Our second…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-03-07 Xue-Mei Li , Julian Sieber

We consider the numerical approximation of a general second order semi--linear parabolic stochastic partial differential equation (SPDE) driven by additive space-time noise. We introduce a new modified scheme using a linear functional of…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2016-07-20 Gabriel J Lord , Antoine Tambue

In this article, we investigate the asymptotic behavior of the solution to a one-dimensional stochastic heat equation with random nonlinear term generated by a stationary, ergodic random field. We extend the well-known central limit theorem…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-09-12 Lu Xu

In the task of predicting spatio-temporal fields in environmental science using statistical methods, introducing statistical models inspired by the physics of the underlying phenomena that are numerically efficient is of growing interest.…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-23 Lucia Clarotto , Denis Allard , Thomas Romary , Nicolas Desassis

This article investigates the non-stationary reaction-diffusion-advection equation, emphasizing solutions with internal layers and the associated inverse problems. We examine a nonlinear singularly perturbed partial differential equation…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-02-06 Dmitrii Chaikovskii , Ye Zhang , Aleksei Liubavin