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It is well known that individual beliefs cannot be identified using traditional choice data, unless we exogenously assume state-independent utilities. In this paper, I propose a novel methodology that solves this long-standing…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2023-11-23 Elias Tsakas

It is well-known that subjective beliefs cannot be identified with traditional choice data unless we impose the strong assumption that preferences are state-independent. This is seen as one of the biggest pitfalls of incentivized belief…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2021-12-28 Elias Tsakas

In imperfect-information games, agents must make decisions based on partial knowledge of the game state. The Belief Stochastic Game model addresses this challenge by delegating state estimation to the game model itself. This allows agents…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-08-20 Achille Morenville , Éric Piette

Agents receive private signals about an unknown state. The resulting joint belief distributions are complex and lack a simple characterization. Our key insight is that, when conditioned on the state, the structure of belief distributions…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2024-11-19 Itai Arieli , Yakov Babichenko , Fedor Sandomirskiy

We propose a method for an agent to revise its incomplete probabilistic beliefs when a new piece of propositional information is observed. In this work, an agent's beliefs are represented by a set of probabilistic formulae -- a belief base.…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2016-04-08 Gavin Rens , Thomas Meyer , Giovanni Casini

We present a behavioral definition of an agent's perceived implication that uniquely identifies a subjective state-space representing her view of a decision problem, and which may differ from the modeler's. By examining belief updating…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-01-26 Evan Piermont , Peio Zuazo-Garin

Belief revision is the process in which an agent incorporates a new piece of information together with a pre-existing set of beliefs. When the new information comes in the form of a report from another agent, then it is clear that we must…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2014-05-02 Aaron Hunter

Although perception is an increasingly dominant portion of the overall computational cost for autonomous systems, only a fraction of the information perceived is likely to be relevant to the current task. To alleviate these perception…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-09-14 Michael Hibbard , Takashi Tanaka , Ufuk Topcu

State resetting is a fundamental but often overlooked capability of simulators. It supports sample-based planning by allowing resets to previously encountered simulation states, and enables calibration of simulators using real data by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-27 Nan Jiang

Traditionally, an agent's beliefs would come from what the agent can see, hear, or sense. In the modern world, beliefs are often based on the data available to the agents. In this work, we investigate a dynamic logic of such beliefs that…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2025-11-04 Junli Jiang , Pavel Naumov , Wenxuan Zhang

This paper presents an approach to formalizing and enforcing a class of use privacy properties in data-driven systems. In contrast to prior work, we focus on use restrictions on proxies (i.e. strong predictors) of protected information…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2017-09-08 Anupam Datta , Matthew Fredrikson , Gihyuk Ko , Piotr Mardziel , Shayak Sen

We present a model for studying communities of epistemically interacting agents who update their belief states by averaging (in a specified way) the belief states of other agents in the community. The agents in our model have a rich belief…

Physics and Society · Physics 2014-05-15 Sylvia Wenmackers , Danny E. P. Vanpoucke , Igor Douven

Reinforcement learning in partially observable environments is typically challenging, as it requires agents to learn an estimate of the underlying system state. These challenges are exacerbated in multi-agent settings, where agents learn…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-04-14 Paul J. Pritz , Kin K. Leung

The traditional approach to POMDPs is to convert them into fully observed MDPs by considering a belief state as an information state. However, a belief-state based approach requires perfect knowledge of the system dynamics and is therefore…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-10-01 Amit Sinha , Aditya Mahajan

This work explores a social learning problem with agents having nonidentical noise variances and mismatched beliefs. We consider an $N$-agent binary hypothesis test in which each agent sequentially makes a decision based not only on a…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2019-10-02 Daewon Seo , Ravi Kiran Raman , Joong Bum Rhim , Vivek K Goyal , Lav R Varshney

Agents interacting with an incompletely known world need to be able to reason about the effects of their actions, and to gain further information about that world they need to use sensors of some sort. Unfortunately, both the effects of…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Fahiem Bacchus , Joseph Y. Halpern , Hector J. Levesque

We propose a new paradigm for Belief Change in which the new information is represented as sets of models, while the agent's body of knowledge is represented as a finite set of formulae, that is, a finite base. The focus on finiteness is…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2023-09-13 Ricardo Guimarães , Ana Ozaki , Jandson S. Ribeiro

In this work, we introduce a new and efficient solution approach for the problem of decision making under uncertainty, which can be formulated as decision making in a belief space, over a possibly high-dimensional state space. Typically, to…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-06-22 Khen Elimelech , Vadim Indelman

Proximal causal inference is a recently proposed framework for evaluating causal effects in the presence of unmeasured confounding. For point identification of causal effects, it leverages a pair of so-called treatment and outcome…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-30 AmirEmad Ghassami , Ilya Shpitser , Eric Tchetgen Tchetgen

Common sense suggests that when individuals explain why they believe something, we can arrive at more accurate conclusions than when they simply state what they believe. Yet, there is no known mechanism that provides incentives to elicit…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2025-02-20 Siddarth Srinivasan , Ezra Karger , Michiel Bakker , Yiling Chen
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