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Extremile regression, as a least squares analog of quantile regression, is potentially useful tool for modeling and understanding the extreme tails of a distribution. However, existing extremile regression methods, as nonparametric…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-03 Rong Jiang , Keming Yu , Jiangfeng Wang

In fitting a mixture of linear regression models, normal assumption is traditionally used to model the error and then regression parameters are estimated by the maximum likelihood estimators (MLE). This procedure is not valid if the normal…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-11-06 Yanyuan Ma , Shaoli Wang , Lin Xu , Weixin Yao

A joint conditional autoregressive expectile and Expected Shortfall framework is proposed. The framework is extended through incorporating a measurement equation which models the contemporaneous dependence between the realized measures and…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2019-06-25 Chao Wang , Richard Gerlach

Many causal estimands are only partially identifiable since they depend on the unobservable joint distribution between potential outcomes. Stratification on pretreatment covariates can yield sharper bounds; however, unless the covariates…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-11-19 Wenlong Ji , Lihua Lei , Asher Spector

The Infinitesimal Jackknife is a general method for estimating variances of parametric models, and more recently also for some ensemble methods. In this paper we extend the Infinitesimal Jackknife to estimate the covariance between any two…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-09-02 Indrayudh Ghosal , Yunzhe Zhou , Giles Hooker

We propose a new method for estimating the extreme quantiles for a function of several dependent random variables. In contrast to the conventional approach based on extreme value theory, we do not impose the condition that the tail of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-11-25 Jinguo Gong , Yadong Li , Liang Peng , Qiwei Yao

We introduce a class of semiparametric time series models by assuming a quasi-likelihood approach driven by a latent factor process. More specifically, given the latent process, we only specify the conditional mean and variance of the time…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-04-02 Gisele O. Maia , Wagner Barreto-Souza , Fernando S. Bastos , Hernando Ombao

We study a regression problem where for some part of the data we observe both the label variable ($Y$) and the predictors (${\bf X}$), while for other part of the data only the predictors are given. Such a problem arises, for example, when…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-04-14 David Azriel , Lawrence D. Brown , Michael Sklar , Richard Berk , Andreas Buja , Linda Zhao

We propose a method to detect model misspecifications in nonlinear causal additive and potentially heteroscedastic noise models. We aim to identify predictor variables for which we can infer the causal effect even in cases of such…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-28 Christoph Schultheiss , Peter Bühlmann

Aiming to estimate extreme precipitation forecast quantiles, we propose a nonparametric regression model that features a constant extreme value index. Using local linear quantile regression and an extrapolation technique from extreme value…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-03-06 Jasper Velthoen , Juan-Juan Cai , Geurt Jongbloed , Maurice Schmeits

We study prediction-powered conditional inference in the setting where labeled data are scarce, unlabeled covariates are abundant, and a black-box machine-learning predictor is available. The goal is to perform statistical inference on…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-09 Yang Sui , Jin Zhou , Hua Zhou , Xiaowu Dai

This paper proposes the asymmetric linear double autoregression, which jointly models the conditional mean and conditional heteroscedasticity characterized by asymmetric effects. A sufficient condition is established for the existence of a…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-04-22 Songhua Tan , Qianqian Zhu

We consider an empirical likelihood framework for inference for a statistical model based on an informative sampling design. Covariate information is incorporated both through the weights and the estimating equations. The estimator is based…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-05-03 Sanjay Chaudhuri , Mark S. Handcock

This paper is concerned with a semiparametric partially linear regression model with unknown regression coefficients, an unknown nonparametric function for the non-linear component, and unobservable Gaussian distributed random errors. We…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-08-16 Irène Gannaz

In this paper, we propose a new semiparametric regression estimator by using a hybrid technique of a parametric approach and a nonparametric penalized spline method. The overall shape of the true regression function is captured by the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-02-17 Takuma Yoshida , Kanta Naito

When solving forecasting problems including multiple time-series features, existing approaches often fall into two extreme categories, depending on whether to utilize inter-feature information: univariate and complete-multivariate models.…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-08-20 Jaehoon Lee , Hankook Lee , Sungik Choi , Sungjun Cho , Moontae Lee

We propose a nonparametric quantile regression method using deep neural networks with a rectified linear unit penalty function to avoid quantile crossing. This penalty function is computationally feasible for enforcing non-crossing…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-10-20 Wenlu Tang , Guohao Shen , Yuanyuan Lin , Jian Huang

Work in machine learning and statistics commonly focuses on building models that capture the vast majority of data, possibly ignoring a segment of the population as outliers. However, there does not often exist a good model on the whole…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-07-11 Diego Calderon , Brendan Juba , Sirui Li , Zongyi Li , Lisa Ruan

Randomized experiments are the gold standard for estimating the average treatment effect (ATE). While covariate adjustment can reduce the asymptotic variances of the unbiased Horvitz-Thompson estimators for the ATE, it suffers from…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-22 Xin Lu , Lei Shi , Hanzhong Liu , Peng Ding

We propose a nonparametric method for estimating the conditional quantile function that admits a generalized additive specification with an unknown link function. This model nests single-index, additive, and multiplicative quantile…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-06-07 Yebin Cheng , Jan G. De Gooijer