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Accurate short-term warnings for extreme precipitation are critical for global disaster mitigation but are hindered by a persistent predictability barrier at the 2-6 hour horizon -- the "nowcasting gray zone." In this window, traditional…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-01-29 Haofei Sun , Yunfan Yang , Wei Han , Wei Huang , Huaguan Chen , Zhiqiu Gao , Zeting Li , Zhaoyang Huo , Zeyi Niu

In this technical report we compare different deep learning models for prediction of water depth rasters at high spatial resolution. Efficient, accurate, and fast methods for water depth prediction are nowadays important as urban floods are…

Large aperture ground based solar telescopes allow the solar atmosphere to be resolved in unprecedented detail. However, observations are limited by Earths turbulent atmosphere, requiring post image corrections. Current reconstruction…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2025-06-06 Christoph Schirninger , Robert Jarolim , Astrid M. Veronig , Christoph Kuckein

Learning the fine-scale details of a coastal ocean simulation from a coarse representation is a challenging task. For real-world applications, high-resolution simulations are necessary to advance understanding of many coastal processes,…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-02-09 Zhi-Song Liu , Markus Büttner , Matthew Scarborough , Eirik Valseth , Vadym Aizinger , Bernhard Kainz , Andreas Rupp

The objective of this research is to develop techniques for assimilating GOES-R Series observations in precipitating scenes for the purpose of improving short-term convective-scale forecasts of high impact weather hazards. Whereas one…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-04-20 Kyle A. Hilburn , Imme Ebert-Uphoff , Steven D. Miller

Deep learning methods dominate short-term high-resolution precipitation nowcasting in terms of prediction error. However, their operational usability is limited by difficulties explaining dynamics behind the predictions, which are smoothed…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-30 Matej Choma , Petr Šimánek , Jakub Bartel

Machine learning-based precipitation nowcasting relies on high-fidelity radar reflectivity sequences to model the short-term evolution of convective storms. However, the development of models capable of predicting extreme weather has been…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-10-21 Andy Shi

The objective of this study is to develop and test a novel structured deep-learning modeling framework for urban flood nowcasting by integrating physics-based and human-sensed features. We present a new computational modeling framework…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-18 Hamed Farahmand , Yuanchang Xu , Ali Mostafavi

The utilization of Very Low Frequency (VLF) electromagnetic signals in navigation systems is widespread. However, the non-stationary behavior of lightning signals can affect VLF electromagnetic signal transmission. Accurately classifying…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-12-08 Jinghao Sun , Tingting Ji , Guoyu Wang , Rui Wang

We use machine learning to perform super-resolution analysis of grossly under-resolved turbulent flow field data to reconstruct the high-resolution flow field. Two machine-learning models are developed; namely the convolutional neural…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2019-05-08 Kai Fukami , Koji Fukagata , Kunihiko Taira

This work addresses the challenge of short-term precipitation forecasting by applying Convolutional Long Short-Term Memory (ConvLSTM) neural networks to weather radar data from the Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI). The…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-05 Petros Demetrakopoulos

Reliable earthquake forecasting methods have long been sought after, and so the rise of modern data science techniques raises a new question: does deep learning have the potential to learn this pattern? In this study, we leverage the large…

Geophysics · Physics 2023-07-06 Jonas Koehler , Wei Li , Johannes Faber , Georg Ruempker , Nishtha Srivastava

Despite marked progress over the past several decades, convective storm nowcasting remains a challenge because most nowcasting systems are based on linear extrapolation of radar reflectivity without much consideration for other…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2019-11-01 Lei Han , Juanzhen Sun , Wei Zhang , Yuanyuan Xiu , Hailei Feng , Yinjing Lin

Precipitation nowcasting is an important task for weather forecasting. Many recent works aim to predict the high rainfall events more accurately with the help of deep learning techniques, but such events are relatively rare. The rarity is…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-10-17 Ashesh , Buo-Fu Chen , Treng-Shi Huang , Boyo Chen , Chia-Tung Chang , Hsuan-Tien Lin

Accurate atmospheric wind field information is crucial for various applications, including weather forecasting, aviation safety, and disaster risk reduction. However, obtaining high spatiotemporal resolution wind data remains challenging…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-21 Yuchen Ye , Chaoxia Yuan , Mingyu Li , Aoqi Zhou , Hong Liang , Chunqing Shang , Kezuan Wang , Yifeng Zheng , Cong Chen

Climate models (CM) are used to evaluate the impact of climate change on the risk of floods and strong precipitation events. However, these numerical simulators have difficulties representing precipitation events accurately, mainly due to…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2021-02-15 Rilwan Adewoyin , Peter Dueben , Peter Watson , Yulan He , Ritabrata Dutta

The paper presents a spatio-temporal wind speed forecasting algorithm using Deep Learning (DL)and in particular, Recurrent Neural Networks(RNNs). Motivated by recent advances in renewable energy integration and smart grids, we apply our…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-07-27 Amir Ghaderi , Borhan M. Sanandaji , Faezeh Ghaderi

We propose a new sequential classification model for astronomical objects based on a recurrent convolutional neural network (RCNN) which uses sequences of images as inputs. This approach avoids the computation of light curves or difference…

Extreme floods pose escalating risks in a changing climate, yet forecasting remains challenging due to peak flow underestimation and high uncertainty. We introduce DRUM, a diffusion-based probabilistic deep learning approach that advances…

Severe convective storms are among the most dangerous weather phenomena and accurate forecasts mitigate their impacts. The recently released suite of AI-based weather models produces medium-range forecasts within seconds, with a skill…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-03-11 Monika Feldmann , Tom Beucler , Milton Gomez , Olivia Martius
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