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Distribution-free prediction sets play a pivotal role in uncertainty quantification for complex statistical models. Their validity hinges on reliable calibration data, which may not be readily available as real-world environments often…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-11 Elise Han , Chengpiao Huang , Kaizheng Wang

Mutual information is widely used, in a descriptive way, to measure the stochastic dependence of categorical random variables. In order to address questions such as the reliability of the descriptive value, one must consider…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2007-07-13 Marcus Hutter , Marco Zaffalon

Stable distributions are an important class of infinitely-divisible probability distributions, of which two special cases are the Cauchy distribution and the normal distribution. Aside from a few special cases, the density function for…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-08-31 Sebastian Ament , Michael O'Neil

We consider nonlinear, or "event-dependent", sampling, i.e. such that the sampling instances {tk} depend on the function being sampled. The use of such sampling in the construction of Lebesgue's integral sums is noted and discussed as…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2016-11-17 Emanuel Gluskin

We consider linear models with scalar responses and covariates from a separable Hilbert space. The aim is to detect change points in the error distribution, based on sequential residual empirical distribution functions. Expansions for those…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-11-08 Natalie Neumeyer , Leonie Selk

The method of maximum entropy is quite a powerful tool to solve the generalized moment problem, which consists of determining the probability density of a random variable X from the knowledge of the expected values of a few functions of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-10-15 Henryk Gzyl

Entropy-type integral functionals of densities are widely used in mathematical statistics, information theory, and computer science. Examples include measures of closeness between distributions (e.g., density power divergence) and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-03-08 David Källberg , Oleg Seleznjev

We propose a covariate-dependent discrete graphical model for capturing dynamic networks among discrete random variables, allowing the dependence structure among vertices to vary with covariates. This discrete dynamic network encompasses…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-19 Lyndsay Roach , Qiong Li , Nanwei Wang , Xin Gao

The distribution function of the sum $Z$ of two standard normally distributed random variables $X$ and $Y$ is computed with the concept of copulas to model the dependency between $X$ and $Y$. By using implicit copulas such as the Gauss- or…

Computation · Statistics 2021-07-02 Walter Schneider

We define generalized innovations associated with generalized error models having arbitrary distributions, that is, distributions that can be mixtures of continuous and discrete distributions. These models include stochastic volatility…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-15 Kilani Ghoudi , Bouchra R. Nasri , Bruno N. Remillard

The multinomial and related distributions have long been used to model categorical, count-based data in fields ranging from bioinformatics to natural language processing. Commonly utilized variants include the standard multinomial and the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-16 Steven Michael Lakin , Zaid Abdo

Density-based directed distances -- particularly known as divergences -- between probability distributions are widely used in statistics as well as in the adjacent research fields of information theory, artificial intelligence and machine…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-03-03 Michel Broniatowski , Wolfgang Stummer

In the study of natural and artificial complex systems, responses that are not completely determined by the considered decision variables are commonly modelled probabilistically, resulting in response distributions varying across decision…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-07 Athénaïs Gautier , David Ginsbourger , Guillaume Pirot

Training a diffusion model approximates a map from a data distribution $\rho$ to the optimal score function $s_t$ for that distribution. Can we differentiate this map? If we could, then we could predict how the score, and ultimately the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-30 Christopher Scarvelis , Justin Solomon

The paper considers high frequency sampled multivariate continuous-time ARMA (MCARMA) models, and derives the asymptotic behavior of the sample autocovariance function to a normal random matrix. Moreover, we obtain the asymptotic behavior…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-08-10 Vicky Fasen

Multivariate sign functions are often used for robust estimation and inference. We propose using data dependent weights in association with such functions. The proposed weighted sign functions retain desirable robustness properties, while…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-22 Subhabrata Majumdar , Snigdhansu Chatterjee

Context: Two-point correlation functions are used throughout cosmology as a measure for the statistics of random fields. When used in Bayesian parameter estimation, their likelihood function is usually replaced by a Gaussian approximation.…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2011-10-07 David Keitel , Peter Schneider

Use of copula for the purpose of modeling dependence has been receiving considerable attention in recent times. On the other hand, search for multivariate copulas with desirable dependence properties also is an important area of research.…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-18 Subhajit Chattopadhyay

We propose and analyze estimators for statistical functionals of one or more distributions under nonparametric assumptions. Our estimators are based on the theory of influence functions, which appear in the semiparametric statistics…

For the challenging task of modeling multivariate time series, we propose a new class of models that use dependent Mat\'ern processes to capture the underlying structure of data, explain their interdependencies, and predict their unknown…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-02-13 Alexander Vandenberg-Rodes , Babak Shahbaba
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