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We present recent results on the existence of a continuous time limit for Ensemble Kalman Filter algorithms. In the setting of continuous signal and observation processes, we apply the original Ensemble Kalman Filter algorithm proposed by…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-08 Theresa Lange , Wilhelm Stannat

We consider the problem of designing efficient particle filters for twisted Feynman--Kac models. Particle filters using twisted models can deliver low error approximations of statistical quantities and such twisting functions can be learnt…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-09 Joshua J Bon , Christopher Drovandi , Anthony Lee

We present a novel particle filtering framework for continuous-time dynamical systems with continuous-time measurements. Our approach is based on the duality between estimation and optimal control, which allows reformulating the estimation…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-10-08 Qinsheng Zhang , Amirhossein Taghvaei , Yongxin Chen

Particle filters flexibly represent multiple posterior modes nonparametrically, via a collection of weighted samples, but have classically been applied to tracking problems with known dynamics and observation likelihoods. Such generative…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-16 Ali Younis , Erik Sudderth

Particle smoothing methods are used for inference of stochastic processes based on noisy observations. Typically, the estimation of the marginal posterior distribution given all observations is cumbersome and computational intensive. In…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-05-24 H. -Ch. Ruiz , H. J. Kappen

Efficiently solving the continuous-time signal and discrete-time observation filtering problem for chaotic dynamical systems presents unique challenges in that the advected distribution between observations may encounter a separatrix…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2025-04-07 Ryne Beeson , Uwe Hanebeck

Particle filters (PFs) are recursive Monte Carlo algorithms for Bayesian tracking and prediction in state space models. This paper addresses continuous-discrete filtering problems, where the hidden state evolves as an It\^o stochastic…

Computation · Statistics 2026-04-24 Utku Erdogan , Gabriel J. Lord , Joaquin Miguez

Filtering in spatially-extended dynamical systems is a challenging problem with significant practical applications such as numerical weather prediction. Particle filters allow asymptotically consistent inference but require infeasibly large…

Computation · Statistics 2019-06-04 Matthew M. Graham , Alexandre H. Thiery

We introduce a new version of particle filter in which the number of "children" of a particle at a given time has a Poisson distribution. As a result, the number of particles is random and varies with time. An advantage of this scheme is…

Computation · Statistics 2019-08-05 Tomasz Cąkała , Błażej Miasojedow , Wojciech Niemiro

In the following article we develop a particle filter for approximating Feynman-Kac models with indicator potentials. Examples of such models include approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) posteriors associated with hidden Markov models…

Computation · Statistics 2013-04-02 Ajay Jasra , Anthony Lee , Christopher Yau , Xiaole Zhang

Several particle algorithms admit a Feynman-Kac representation such that the potential function may be expressed as a recursive function which depends on the complete state trajectory. An important example is the mixture Kalman filter, but…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-10-27 Nicolas Chopin , Pierre Del Moral , Sylvain Rubenthaler

This article is concerned with the design and analysis of discrete time Feynman-Kac particle integration models with geometric interacting jump processes. We analyze two general types of model, corresponding to whether the reference process…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-12-03 Pierre Del Moral , Pierre E. Jacob , Anthony Lee , Lawrence Murray , Gareth W. Peters

We consider multiscale stochastic systems that are partially observed at discrete points of the slow time scale. We introduce a particle filter that takes advantage of the multiscale structure of the system to efficiently approximate the…

Computation · Statistics 2007-10-29 Anastasia Papavasiliou

Particle Filter is an effective solution to track objects in video sequences in complex situations. Its key idea is to estimate the density over the possible states of the object using a weighted sample whose elements are called particles.…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2012-10-19 Severine Dubuisson , Christophe Gonzales , Xuan Son NGuyen

Particle Filtering (PF) methods are an established class of procedures for performing inference in non-linear state-space models. Resampling is a key ingredient of PF, necessary to obtain low variance likelihood and states estimates.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-07-01 Adrien Corenflos , James Thornton , George Deligiannidis , Arnaud Doucet

In this paper we introduce a novel particle filter scheme for a class of partially-observed multivariate diffusions. %continuous-time dynamic models where the %signal is given by a multivariate diffusion process. We consider a variety of…

Methodology · Statistics 2007-10-24 Paul Fearnhead , Omiros Papaspiliopoulos , Gareth Roberts

Particle filters provide Monte Carlo approximations of intractable quantities such as point-wise evaluations of the likelihood in state space models. In many scenarios, the interest lies in the comparison of these quantities as some…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-07-19 Pierre E. Jacob , Fredrik Lindsten , Thomas B. Schön

State-space models can be used to incorporate subject knowledge on the underlying dynamics of a time series by the introduction of a latent Markov state-process. A user can specify the dynamics of this process together with how the state…

Computation · Statistics 2017-09-14 Paul Fearnhead , Hans Künsch

This work provides a new multinomial resampling procedure for particle filter resampling, focused on the case where the number of samples required is less than or equal to the size of the underlying discrete distribution. This setting is…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2026-04-03 Andrey A. Popov

This work introduces progressive spatio-temporal filtering, an efficient method to build all-frequency approximations to the light transport distribution into a scene by filtering individual samples produced by an underlying path sampler,…

Graphics · Computer Science 2020-05-26 Jacopo Pantaleoni