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Context:More than half the literature on software effort estimation (SEE) focuses on comparisons of new estimation methods. Surprisingly, there are no studies comparing state of the art latest methods with decades-old approaches.…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2016-09-30 Tim Menzies , Ye Yang , George Mathew , Barry Boehm , Jairus Hihn

Clinical prediction models provide a prediction (e.g., estimated risk) for each individual, typically expressed as a point estimate derived from a deterministic function such as a logistic regression equation. Such 'plug-in' predictions…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-20 Mohsen Sadatsafavi , Richard D. Riley

It is often the case that risk assessment and prognostics are viewed as related but separate tasks. This chapter describes a risk-based approach to prognostics that seeks to provide a tighter coupling between risk assessment and fault…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-08-18 John W. Sheppard

Estimates of the effects of treatment on cost from observational studies are subject to bias if there are unmeasured confounders. It is therefore advisable in practice to assess the potential magnitude of such biases. We derive a general…

Applications · Statistics 2014-01-09 Elizabeth A. Handorf , Justin E. Bekelman , Daniel F. Heitjan , Nandita Mitra

The aim of clinical effectiveness research using repositories of electronic health records is to identify what health interventions 'work best' in real-world settings. Since there are several reasons why the net benefit of intervention may…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-19 Jie Zhu , Blanca Gallego

AI models are often evaluated based on their ability to predict the outcome of interest. However, in many AI for social impact applications, the presence of an intervention that affects the outcome can bias the evaluation. Randomized…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-18 Winston Chen , Michael W. Sjoding , Jenna Wiens

Analyzing and effectively communicating the efficacy and toxicity of treatment is the basis of risk benefit analysis (RBA). More efficient and objective tools are needed. We apply Chauhan Weighted Trajectory Analysis (CWTA) to perform RBA…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-24 Utkarsh Chauhan , Daylen Mackey , John R Mackey

In molecular biology, advances in high-throughput technologies have made it possible to study complex multivariate phenotypes and their simultaneous associations with high-dimensional genomic and other omics data, a problem that can be…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-12-02 Zhi Zhao , Marco Banterle , Leonardo Bottolo , Sylvia Richardson , Alex Lewin , Manuela Zucknick

Energy economy optimization (EEO) models employ formal search techniques to explore the future decision space over several decades in order to deliver policy-relevant insights. EEO models are a critical tool for decision-makers who must…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-01-30 Joseph F. DeCarolis , Kevin Hunter , Sarat Sreepathi

When the data are stored in a distributed manner, direct application of traditional statistical inference procedures is often prohibitive due to communication cost and privacy concerns. This paper develops and investigates two…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-08-04 Jianqing Fan , Yongyi Guo , Kaizheng Wang

Nested data structures arise when observations are grouped into distinct units, such as patients within hospitals or students within schools. Accounting for this hierarchical organization is essential for valid inference, as ignoring it can…

Computation · Statistics 2025-08-14 Francesco Denti , Laura D'Angelo

Risk is unavoidable in business and risk management is needed amongst others to set up good security policies. Once the risks are evaluated, the next step is to decide how they should be treated. This involves managers making decisions on…

Other Computer Science · Computer Science 2013-03-08 Le Minh Sang Tran , Bjørnar Solhaug , Ketil Stølen

Quality control in industrial processes is increasingly making use of prior scientific knowledge, often encoded in physical models that require numerical approximation. Statistical prediction, and subsequent optimization, is key to ensuring…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2018-10-23 Antony Overstall , David Woods , Kieran Martin

Estimating personalized treatment effects from high-dimensional observational data is essential in situations where experimental designs are infeasible, unethical, or expensive. Existing approaches rely on fitting deep models on outcomes…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-02 Andrew Jesson , Panagiotis Tigas , Joost van Amersfoort , Andreas Kirsch , Uri Shalit , Yarin Gal

The health effects of environmental exposures have been studied for decades, typically using standard regression models to assess exposure-outcome associations found in observational non-experimental data. We propose and illustrate a…

Applications · Statistics 2017-09-20 Marie-Abele C. Bind , Donald B. Rubin

Randomized controlled experiments assess new policy impacts on performance metrics to inform launch decisions. Traditional approaches evaluate metrics independently despite correlations, and mixed results (e.g., positive revenue impact,…

Applications · Statistics 2026-01-29 Hoiyi Ng , Guido Imbens

It has been demonstrated that acoustic-emission (AE), inspection of structures can offer advantages over other types of monitoring techniques in the detection of damage; namely, an increased sensitivity to damage, as well as an ability to…

Applications · Statistics 2023-12-12 C. A. Lindley , M. R. Jones , T. J. Rogers , E. J. Cross , R. S. Dwyer-Joyce , N. Dervilis , K. Worden

Bayesian optimization methods allocate limited sampling budgets to maximize expensive-to-evaluate functions. One-step-lookahead policies are often used, but computing optimal multi-step-lookahead policies remains a challenge. We consider a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-07-13 J. Massey Cashore , Lemuel Kumarga , Peter I. Frazier

Background: The Expected Value of Sample Information (EVSI) determines the economic value of any future study with a specific design aimed at reducing uncertainty in a health economic model. This has potential as a tool for trial design;…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-04-26 Anna Heath , Ioanna Manolopoulou , Gianluca Baio

This paper considers the estimation of treatment assignment rules when the policy maker faces a general budget or resource constraint. Utilizing the PAC-Bayesian framework, we propose new treatment assignment rules that allow for flexible…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-06-12 Daniel F. Pellatt