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Robust and distributionally robust optimization are modeling paradigms for decision-making under uncertainty where the uncertain parameters are only known to reside in an uncertainty set or are governed by any probability distribution from…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-07-21 Jianzhe Zhen , Daniel Kuhn , Wolfram Wiesemann

We propose an empirically stable and asymptotically efficient covariate-balancing approach to the problem of estimating survival causal effects in data with conditionally-independent censoring. This addresses a challenge often encountered…

Beyond conditional average treatment effects, treatments may impact the entire outcome distribution in covariate-dependent ways, for example, by altering the variance or tail risks for specific subpopulations. We propose a novel estimand to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-18 Saksham Jain , Alex Luedtke

We present a new perspective on loss minimization and the recent notion of Omniprediction through the lens of Outcome Indistingusihability. For a collection of losses and hypothesis class, omniprediction requires that a predictor provide a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-09 Parikshit Gopalan , Lunjia Hu , Michael P. Kim , Omer Reingold , Udi Wieder

Algorithmic Bias can be due to bias in the training data or issues with the algorithm itself. These algorithmic issues typically relate to problems with model capacity and regularisation. This underestimation bias may arise because the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-01 William Blanzeisky , Pádraig Cunningham

We consider regression problems with binary weights. Such optimization problems are ubiquitous in quantized learning models and digital communication systems. A natural approach is to optimize the corresponding Lagrangian using variants of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-01 Nisan Chiprut , Amir Globerson , Ami Wiesel

Optimal statistical decisions should transcend the language used to describe them. Yet, how do we guarantee that the choice of coordinates - the parameterisation of an optimisation problem - does not subtly dictate the solution? This paper…

Other Computer Science · Computer Science 2025-05-06 William Cook

In multiple importance sampling we combine samples from a finite list of proposal distributions. When those proposal distributions are used to create control variates, it is possible (Owen and Zhou, 2000) to bound the ratio of the resulting…

Computation · Statistics 2014-11-18 Hera Y. He , Art B. Owen

We study losses for binary classification and class probability estimation and extend the understanding of them from margin losses to general composite losses which are the composition of a proper loss with a link function. We characterise…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2009-12-18 Mark D. Reid , Robert C. Williamson

We consider a general statistical linear inverse problem, where the solution is represented via a known (possibly overcomplete) dictionary that allows its sparse representation. We propose two different approaches. A model selection…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-10-31 Felix Abramovich , Daniela De Canditiis , Marianna Pensky

When longitudinal outcomes are evaluated in mortal populations, their non-existence after death complicates the analysis and its causal interpretation. Where popular methods often merge longitudinal outcome and survival into one scale or…

Inverse probability weighted estimators are the oldest and potentially most commonly used class of procedures for the estimation of causal effects. By adjusting for selection biases via a weighting mechanism, these procedures estimate an…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-06 Ashkan Ertefaie , Nima S. Hejazi , Mark J. van der Laan

The theory behind compressive sampling pre-supposes that a given sequence of observations may be exactly represented by a linear combination of a small number of basis vectors. In practice, however, even small deviations from an exact…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-06-30 Jonathan M. Nichols , Albert K. Oh , Rebecca M. Willett

Given a prediction task, understanding when one can and cannot design a consistent convex surrogate loss, particularly a low-dimensional one, is an important and active area of machine learning research. The prediction task may be given as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-17 Jessie Finocchiaro , Rafael Frongillo , Bo Waggoner

This article introduces a new estimator of average treatment effects under unobserved confounding in modern data-rich environments featuring large numbers of units and outcomes. The proposed estimator is doubly robust, combining outcome…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-10-30 Alberto Abadie , Anish Agarwal , Raaz Dwivedi , Abhin Shah

Win statistics, including the win ratio, net benefit, and win odds, summarize treatment effects on hierarchical composite endpoints by sequentially comparing patient pairs on component outcomes ordered by clinical importance, proceeding to…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-27 Xi Fang , Fan Li

We introduce a minorization-maximization approach to optimizing common measures of discovery significance in high energy physics. The approach alternates between solving a weighted binary classification problem and updating class weights in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-09-11 Lester Mackey , Jordan Bryan , Man Yue Mo

We establish statistical properties of random-weighting methods in LASSO regression under different regularization parameters $\lambda_n$ and suitable regularity conditions. The random-weighting methods in view concern repeated optimization…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-05-25 Tun Lee Ng , Michael A. Newton

We develop an approach for estimating models described via conditional moment restrictions, with a prototypical application being non-parametric instrumental variable regression. We introduce a min-max criterion function, under which the…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-06-15 Nishanth Dikkala , Greg Lewis , Lester Mackey , Vasilis Syrgkanis

Worst-case fairness with off-the-shelf demographics achieves group parity by maximizing the model utility of the worst-off group. Nevertheless, demographic information is often unavailable in practical scenarios, which impedes the use of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-06 Jing Li , Yinghua Yao , Yuangang Pan , Xuanqian Wang , Ivor W. Tsang , Xiuju Fu