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In this paper, we propose an ETA model (Estimated Time of Arrival) that leverages an attention mechanism over historical road speed patterns. As autonomous driving and intelligent transportation systems become increasingly prevalent, the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-21 ByeoungDo Kim , JunYeop Na , Kyungwook Tak , JunTae Kim , DongHyeon Kim , Duckky Kim

Recently, deep learning has achieved promising results in the calculation of Estimated Time of Arrival (ETA), which is considered as predicting the travel time from the start point to a certain place along a given path. ETA plays an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-11 Vadim Porvatov , Natalia Semenova , Andrey Chertok

Accurate expected time of arrival (ETA) information is crucial in maintaining the quality of service of public transit. Recent advances in artificial intelligence (AI) has led to more effective models for ETA estimation that rely heavily on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-06-25 Charul , Pravesh Biyani

Estimated time of arrival (ETA) is a very important factor in the transportation system. It has attracted increasing attentions and has been widely used as a basic service in navigation systems and intelligent transportation systems. In…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-02 YuRui Huang , Jie Zhang , HengDa Bao , Yang Yang , Jian Yang

Ensemble Machine Learning (EML) techniques, especially stacking, have been shown to improve predictive performance by combining multiple base models. However, they are often criticized for their lack of interpretability. In this paper, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-16 Moncef Garouani , Ayah Barhrhouj , Olivier Teste

Modern mobile applications such as navigation services and ride-sharing platforms rely heavily on geospatial technologies, most critically predictions of the time required for a vehicle to traverse a particular route, or the so-called…

Applications · Statistics 2023-12-04 Chiwei Yan , James Johndrow , Dawn Woodard , Yanwei Sun

Estimated time of arrival (ETA) for airborne aircraft in real-time is crucial for arrival management in aviation, particularly for runway sequencing. Given the rapidly changing airspace context, the ETA prediction efficiency is as important…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-14 Liping Huang , Yicheng Zhang , Yifang Yin , Sheng Zhang , Yi Zhang

Ensembling is a powerful technique for improving the accuracy of machine learning models, with methods like stacking achieving strong results in tabular tasks. In time series forecasting, however, ensemble methods remain underutilized, with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-20 Nathanael Bosch , Oleksandr Shchur , Nick Erickson , Michael Bohlke-Schneider , Caner Türkmen

The majority of public transport vehicles are fitted with Automatic Vehicle Location (AVL) systems generating a continuous stream of data. The availability of this data has led to a substantial body of literature addressing the development…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2019-04-11 Thilo Reich , Marcin Budka , Derek Robbins , David Hulbert

In this paper, we consider the task of predicting travel times between two arbitrary points in an urban scenario. We view this problem from two temporal perspectives: long-term forecasting with a horizon of several days and short-term…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-05-25 He Huang , Martin Pouls , Anne Meyer , Markus Pauly

Explainable Artificial Intelligence (XAI) is increasingly required in computational economics, where machine-learning forecasters can outperform classical econometric models but remain difficult to audit and use for policy. This survey…

General Economics · Economics 2025-12-16 Agustín García-García , Pablo Hidalgo , Julio E. Sandubete

This study presents the conflict-aware multi-agent estimated time of arrival (CAMETA) framework, a novel approach for predicting the arrival times of multiple agents in unstructured environments without predefined road infrastructure. The…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2025-03-04 Jonas le Fevre Sejersen , Erdal Kayacan

Recently, deep learning have achieved promising results in Estimated Time of Arrival (ETA), which is considered as predicting the travel time from the origin to the destination along a given path. One of the key techniques is to use…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-25 Yiwen Sun , Kun Fu , Zheng Wang , Changshui Zhang , Jieping Ye

Vehicle arrival time prediction has been studied widely. With the emergence of IoT devices and deep learning techniques, estimated time of arrival (ETA) has become a critical component in intelligent transportation systems. Though many…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-20 Hieu Tran , Son Nguyen , I-Ling Yen , Farokh Bastani

Estimated Time of Arrival (ETA) plays an important role in delivery and ride-hailing platforms. For example, Uber uses ETAs to calculate fares, estimate pickup times, match riders to drivers, plan deliveries, and more. Commonly used route…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-07 Xinyu Hu , Tanmay Binaykiya , Eric Frank , Olcay Cirit

Explainable Artificial Intelligence (XAI) models have recently attracted a great deal of interest from a variety of application sectors. Despite significant developments in this area, there are still no standardized methods or approaches…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-08 Sarit Maitra , Vivek Mishra , Pratima Verma , Manav Chopra , Priyanka Nath

Traffic flow forecasting is a crucial task in intelligent transport systems. Deep learning offers an effective solution, capturing complex patterns in time-series traffic flow data to enable the accurate prediction. However, deep learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-07 Qiyuan Zhu , A. K. Qin , Hussein Dia , Adriana-Simona Mihaita , Hanna Grzybowska

How can we benefit from large models without sacrificing inference speed, a common dilemma in self-driving systems? A prevalent solution is a dual-system architecture, employing a small model for rapid, reactive decisions and a larger model…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-06-10 Shadi Hamdan , Chonghao Sima , Zetong Yang , Hongyang Li , Fatma Güney

Accurate forecasts of segment-level sailing durations are fundamental to enhancing maritime schedule reliability and optimizing long-term port operations. However, conventional estimated time of arrival (ETA) models are primarily designed…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-19 Nairui Liu , Fang He , Xindi Tang , Yineng Wang

Estimated time of arrival (ETA) prediction, also known as travel time estimation, is a fundamental task for a wide range of intelligent transportation applications, such as navigation, route planning, and ride-hailing services. To…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-16 Jizhou Huang , Zhengjie Huang , Xiaomin Fang , Shikun Feng , Xuyi Chen , Jiaxiang Liu , Haitao Yuan , Haifeng Wang
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