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Large deviations principle is obtained for terminating multidimensional compound renewal processes. We also obtained the asymptotic of large deviations for the case when a Gibbs change of the original probability measure takes place. The…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-12-20 A. Logachov , A. Mogulskii , E. Prokopenko

We introduce a multivariate stochastic volatility model for asset returns that imposes no restrictions to the structure of the volatility matrix and treats all its elements as functions of latent stochastic processes. When the number of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-01-09 P. Dellaportas , A. Plataniotis , M. K. Titsias

This study deals with continuous limits of interacting one-dimensional diffusive systems, arising from stochastic distortions of discrete curves with various kinds of coding representations. These systems are essentially of a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2011-09-09 Guy Fayolle , Cyril Furtlehner

How heterogeneous multiscale methods (HMM) handle fluctuations acting on the slow variables in fast-slow systems is investigated. In particular, it is shown via analysis of central limit theorems (CLT) and large deviation principles (LDP)…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-01-12 David Kelly , Eric Vanden-Eijnden

In this paper, we first study the large deviation principle (LDP) for non-degenerate McKean-Vlasov stochastic differential equations (MVSDEs) with H\"{o}lder continuous drifts by using Zvonkin's transformation. When the drift only satisfies…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-07-22 Hao Wu , Junhao Hu , Chenggui Yuan

The Adaptive Multilevel Splitting (AMS) algorithm is a powerful and versatile method for the simulation of rare events. It is based on an interacting (via a mutation-selection procedure) system of replicas, and depends on two integer…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-02-25 Charles-Edouard Bréhier

In this paper, we prove a large deviation principle of Freidlin-Wentzell's type for the multivalued stochastic differential equations. As an application, we derive a functional iterated logarithm law for the solutions of multivalued…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-05-12 Jiagang Ren , Jing Wu , Hua Zhang

We prove a Large Deviations Principle (LDP) for systems of diffusions (particles) interacting through their ranks, when the number of particles tends to infinity. We show that the limiting particle density is given by the unique solution of…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-04-05 Amir Dembo , Mykhaylo Shkolnikov , S. R. Srinivasa Varadhan , Ofer Zeitouni

Stochastic domains often involve risk-averse decision makers. While recent work has focused on how to model risk in Markov decision processes using risk measures, it has not addressed the problem of solving large risk-averse formulations.…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2012-10-19 Marek Petrik , Dharmashankar Subramanian

Let $Z=\{Z(t): t\in \mathbb R\}$ be a stochastic process with trajectories in space $\mathbb D (\mathbb R)$. It is assumed that there exists an essentially smooth function $A:\mathbb R\to (-\infty, \infty] $ such that, for all $\alpha \in…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-01 A. A. Borovkov , K. A. Borovkov

Reliability-based topology optimization (RBTO) requires repeated estimation of small failure probabilities and their gradients, making conventional nested Monte Carlo approaches computationally prohibitive for large scale structural…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-05-01 Maryam Maghazeh , Ayyappan Unnikrishna Pillai , Mohammad Masiur Rahaman , Subhayan De

We propose a new framework, inspired by random matrix theory, for analyzing the dynamics of stochastic gradient descent (SGD) when both number of samples and dimensions are large. This framework applies to any fixed stepsize and the finite…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-02-09 Courtney Paquette , Kiwon Lee , Fabian Pedregosa , Elliot Paquette

This work is concerned with Freidlin-Wentzell type large deviation principle for a family of multi-scale quasilinear and semilinear stochastic partial differential equations. Employing the weak convergence method and Khasminskii's time…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-08-23 Wei Hong , Shihu Li , Wei Liu

Linear Parameter Varying (LPV) Systems are a well-established class of nonlinear systems with a rich theory for stability analysis, control, and analytical response finding, among other aspects. Although there are works on data-driven…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-07-18 Jean Panaioti Jordanou , Eduardo Camponogara , Eduardo Gildin

We consider two kinds of stochastic volatility models. Both kinds of models contain a stationary volatility process, the density of which, at a fixed instant in time, we aim to estimate. We discuss discrete time models where for instance a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-07-15 Bert van Es , Peter Spreij , Harry van Zanten

We study small noise large deviation asymptotics for stochastic differential equations with a multiplicative noise given as a fractional Brownian motion $B^H$ with Hurst parameter $H>\frac12$. The solutions of the stochastic differential…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-06-18 Amarjit Budhiraja , Xiaoming Song

The lifted Heston model is a stochastic volatility model emerging as a Markovian lift of the rough Heston model and the class of rough volatility processes. The model encodes the path dependency of volatility on a set of N square-root state…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-10-13 Nicola F. Zaugg , Lech A. Grzelak

Robust Bayesian inference using density power divergence (DPD) has emerged as a promising approach for handling outliers in statistical estimation. Although the DPD-based posterior offers theoretical guarantees of robustness, its practical…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-11 Naruki Sonobe , Tomotaka Momozaki , Tomoyuki Nakagawa

This paper introduces a framework based on Large Deviation Theory (LDT) to accurately and efficiently compute the rare probabilities of voltage collapse. We formulate the problem as finding the most probable failure point (the instanton) on…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-04-07 Tongtong Jin , Anirudh Subramanyam , D. Adrian Maldonado

This paper is devoted to the problem of sample path large deviations for the Markov processes on R_+^N having a constant but different transition mechanism on each boundary set {x:x_i=0 for i\notin\Lambda, x_i>0 for i\in\Lambda}. The global…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Irina Ignatiouk-Robert