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The prediction of electrical power in combined cycle power plants is a key challenge in the electrical power and energy systems field. This power output can vary depending on environmental variables, such as temperature, pressure, and…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-08-06 Jesus L. Lobo , Igor Ballesteros , Izaskun Oregi , Javier Del Ser

Accurate wind speed prediction is crucial for designing and selecting sites for offshore wind farms. This paper investigates the effectiveness of various machine learning models in predicting offshore wind power for a site near the Gulf of…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-03-19 Linhan Fang , Fan Jiang , Ann Mary Toms , Xingpeng Li

Chance-constrained optimization (CCO) has been widely used for uncertainty management in power system operation. With the prevalence of wind energy, it becomes possible to consider the wind curtailment as a dispatch variable in CCO.…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-04-06 Xingyu Lei , Zhifang Yang , Junbo Zhao , Juan Yu

This manuscript provides additional case analysis for the parameters setting of the distributed probabilistic modeling algorithm for the aggregated wind power forecast error.

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2018-09-05 Mengshuo Jia , Chen Shen , Zhiwen Wang

Energy forecasting is an essential task in power system operations. Operators usually issue forecasts and leverage them to schedule energy dispatch ahead of time. However, forecast models are typically developed in a way that overlooks the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-12-17 Yufan Zhang , Mengshuo Jia , Honglin Wen , Yuexin Bian , Yuanyuan Shi

Authors: Yifan Xu Abstract: Conventional wind power prediction methods often struggle to provide accurate and reliable predictions in the presence of sudden changes in wind speed and power output. To address this challenge, this study…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-19 Yifan Xu

This paper considers an empirical likelihood inference for parameters defined by general estimating equations, when data are missing at random. The efficiency of existing estimators depends critically on correctly specifying the conditional…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-12-06 Tianqing Liu , Xiaohui Yuan , Zhaohai Li , Aiyi Liu

Conditions ensuring optimal parameter estimation in the presence of missing data are well established in inference, typically relying on the Missing-at-Random (MAR) assumption. In prediction, similar principles are often assumed to apply.…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-19 Pierre Catoire , Robin Genuer , Cecile Proust-Lima

Accurate forecasting is critical for reliable power grid operations, particularly as the share of renewable generation, such as wind and solar, continues to grow. Given the inherent uncertainty and variability in renewable generation,…

Applications · Statistics 2025-10-20 Alireza Moradi , Mathieu Tanneau , Reza Zandehshahvar , Pascal Van Hentenryck

We consider a sequential decision making process, such as renewable energy trading or electrical production scheduling, whose outcome depends on the future realization of a random factor, such as a meteorological variable. We assume that…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2021-07-01 Peter Tankov , Laura Tinsi

We propose a new method to impute missing values in mixed datasets. It is based on a principal components method, the factorial analysis for mixed data, which balances the influence of all the variables that are continuous and categorical…

Applications · Statistics 2013-02-20 Vincent Audigier , François Husson , Julie Josse

World is looking for clean and renewable energy sources that do not pollute the environment, in an attempt to reduce greenhouse gas emissions that contribute to global warming. Wind energy has significant potential to not only reduce…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-31 Alif Bin Abdul Qayyum , Xihaier Luo , Nathan M. Urban , Xiaoning Qian , Byung-Jun Yoon

The simulation of stochastic wind loads is necessary for many applications in wind engineering. The proper orthogonal decomposition (POD)-based spectral representation method is a popular approach used for this purpose due to its…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2023-05-11 Thays Guerra Araujo Duarte , Srinivasan Arunachalam , Arthriya Subgranon , Seymour M J Spence

Score matching is a vital tool for learning the distribution of data with applications across many areas including diffusion processes, energy based modelling, and graphical model estimation. Despite all these applications, little work…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-03 Josh Givens , Song Liu , Henry W J Reeve

The increasing occurrence of continuous anomalous weather events has intensified the uncertainty in wind and photovoltaic power generation, posing significant challenges to the operation and optimization of building integrated energy…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-04-16 Deyi Shao , Hongru Li , Jingsheng Li , Xia Yu , Xiaoyu Sun , Bowen Han

Dynamic factor models are often estimated by point-estimation methods, disregarding parameter uncertainty. We propose a method accounting for parameter uncertainty by means of posterior approximation, using variational inference. Our…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-14 Erik Spånberg

The Optimal Power Flow (OPF) problem is pivotal for power system operations, guiding generator output and power distribution to meet demand at minimized costs, while adhering to physical and engineering constraints. The integration of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-27 Chen Li , Alexander Kies , Kai Zhou , Markus Schlott , Omar El Sayed , Mariia Bilousova , Horst Stoecker

Starting from basic physical principles, we present a novel derivation linking the global wind power to measurable atmospheric parameters. The resulting expression distinguishes three components of the atmospheric power (the kinetic power…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2015-08-28 A. M. Makarieva , V. G. Gorshkov , A. V. Nefiodov , D. Sheil , A. D. Nobre , B. -L. Li

Integrating renewable energy into the modern power grid requires risk-cognizant dispatch of resources to account for the stochastic availability of renewables. Toward this goal, day-ahead stochastic market clearing with high-penetration…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-11-17 Yu Zhang , Georgios B. Giannakis

In many application settings, the data have missing entries which make analysis challenging. An abundant literature addresses missing values in an inferential framework: estimating parameters and their variance from incomplete tables. Here,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-03-22 Julie Josse , Jacob M. Chen , Nicolas Prost , Erwan Scornet , Gaël Varoquaux
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